A Coup Against Putin?

Toro

Diamond Member
Sep 29, 2005
108,806
47,823
Probably not.

But here's hoping!

Ukrainian intelligence has claimed that a coup is being prepared against Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.​
Although such intelligence claims may be dubious, analysts can assess the possibility of a coup d’etat by taking into account the economic and political situation in Russia.​
Some of them argue that a coup is highly unlikely, while others say it is almost inevitable due to Putin’s decision to unleash unprecedented aggression against Ukraine.​
Support is still high in Russia for Putin and his invasion of Ukraine, and the Western sanctions have not yet destroyed the Russian economy. There are not many people capable of overthrowing Putin or wishing to do it in his inner circle, and a coup is extremely risky.​
However, the likelihood of a coup may increase if the war against Ukraine becomes unpopular in Russia and if the Kremlin suffers major defeats in Ukraine. Further deterioration in the economic situation may also contribute to this scenario.​
“Putin has become a symbol,” Russian political analyst Dmitry Oreshkin told the Kyiv Independent. “As soon as people are disappointed with the symbol, the whole system will collapse. The whole system is focused on him.”​

 
So basically some person wrote an article "This might or might not happen" then typed up some words and posted it online.
 
If there was or wasn't something being hatched, such chatter would occur regardless so take with a grain of salt such assertions.

I would lean to this being artificially proposed only for the fact that if Ukrainian intelligence genuinely believed this, why would they allow it to leak? Why would a major paper in Ukraine (I'm assuming) release such classified information if not for Putins consumption, or, to attempt to influence those in his orbit?
 
Probably not.

But here's hoping!

Ukrainian intelligence has claimed that a coup is being prepared against Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.​
Although such intelligence claims may be dubious, analysts can assess the possibility of a coup d’etat by taking into account the economic and political situation in Russia.​
Some of them argue that a coup is highly unlikely, while others say it is almost inevitable due to Putin’s decision to unleash unprecedented aggression against Ukraine.​
Support is still high in Russia for Putin and his invasion of Ukraine, and the Western sanctions have not yet destroyed the Russian economy. There are not many people capable of overthrowing Putin or wishing to do it in his inner circle, and a coup is extremely risky.​
However, the likelihood of a coup may increase if the war against Ukraine becomes unpopular in Russia and if the Kremlin suffers major defeats in Ukraine. Further deterioration in the economic situation may also contribute to this scenario.​
“Putin has become a symbol,” Russian political analyst Dmitry Oreshkin told the Kyiv Independent. “As soon as people are disappointed with the symbol, the whole system will collapse. The whole system is focused on him.”​

Dumb as usual. You’d think you’d learn by now.
 
Probably not.

But here's hoping!

Ukrainian intelligence has claimed that a coup is being prepared against Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.​
Although such intelligence claims may be dubious, analysts can assess the possibility of a coup d’etat by taking into account the economic and political situation in Russia.​
Some of them argue that a coup is highly unlikely, while others say it is almost inevitable due to Putin’s decision to unleash unprecedented aggression against Ukraine.​
Support is still high in Russia for Putin and his invasion of Ukraine, and the Western sanctions have not yet destroyed the Russian economy. There are not many people capable of overthrowing Putin or wishing to do it in his inner circle, and a coup is extremely risky.​
However, the likelihood of a coup may increase if the war against Ukraine becomes unpopular in Russia and if the Kremlin suffers major defeats in Ukraine. Further deterioration in the economic situation may also contribute to this scenario.​
“Putin has become a symbol,” Russian political analyst Dmitry Oreshkin told the Kyiv Independent. “As soon as people are disappointed with the symbol, the whole system will collapse. The whole system is focused on him.”​

No, it won’t happen – but the idea is appealing.
 

A Coup Against Putin?​


imo, not going to happen. iow A pipe dream.

Why?

He's a fascist dictator who has consolidated power for many decades. He kills his opponents with aplomb and has a better "Rat Patrol" than even Stalin did...
 
Like I said, and the article said, probably not.

But the longer Russia's losses go on, the greater the probability!
Putin's popularity with the common Russian doesn't really matter much, but his popularity with the oligarchs matters a great deal and they are getting hurt by his actions. If there is a coup, it will be directed by the oligarchs to put someone more malleable on the Russian throne (and I use the term deliberately).
 
Who would want to take over power in the middle of a war? It would cause chaos within the command structure and likely lead to significant losses. Not a good way to start a new regime.
 

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