ScienceRocks
Democrat all the way!
- Banned
- #341
So Phil Jones is THE expert?
He was THE MAN for the k00ks for years and years........until the hockey stick got blown to shit!!
How did it get blown to shit?
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So Phil Jones is THE expert?
He was THE MAN for the k00ks for years and years........until the hockey stick got blown to shit!!
So Phil Jones is THE expert?
He was THE MAN for the k00ks for years and years........until the hockey stick got blown to shit!!
How did it get blown to shit?
He was THE MAN for the k00ks for years and years........until the hockey stick got blown to shit!!
How did it get blown to shit?
I don't really understand that particular outcome either, however the hockey stick has been comprehensively discredited. It seems the math he used was not up to snuff.
mmm so in a few hundred years of man made pollution we really did this ...mmm i doubt that. the earth is natural always getting warmer and colder we know this for a fact so everyone who says buy hybrids and electric cars hahaha those lithium ion batteries are so bad for the environment. Also one your most famous meteorologist jim cantore says global warming is crap also..
How did it get blown to shit?
I don't really understand that particular outcome either, however the hockey stick has been comprehensively discredited. It seems the math he used was not up to snuff.
Pure bullshit. Dr. Mann's graph has been confirmed multiple times.
Is the hockey stick broken?
While many continue to fixate on Mann's early work on proxy records, the science of paleoclimatology has moved on. Since 1999, there have been many independent reconstructions of past temperatures, using a variety of proxy data and a number of different methodologies. All find the same result - that the last few decades are the hottest in the last 500 to 2000 years (depending on how far back the reconstruction goes). What are some of the proxies that are used to determine past temperature?
Changes in surface temperature send thermal waves underground, cooling or warming the subterranean rock. To track these changes, underground temperature measurements were examined from over 350 bore holes in North America, Europe, Southern Africa and Australia (Huang 2000). Borehole reconstructions aren't able to give short term variation, yielding only century-scale trends. What they find is that the 20th century is the warmest of the past five centuries with the strongest warming trend in 500 years
mmm so in a few hundred years of man made pollution we really did this ...mmm i doubt that. the earth is natural always getting warmer and colder we know this for a fact so everyone who says buy hybrids and electric cars hahaha those lithium ion batteries are so bad for the environment. Also one your most famous meteorologist jim cantore says global warming is crap also..
Why would you doubt it? Historical CO2 was 280-300 ppm during most of human evolution, now it's passing 380. Sure the earth has been getting warmer and colder, but you're missing the point. In the past those changes happened over millenia, while now we're talking only ~200+ years since the advent of the Industrial Revolution. You can't point to the past as a template for the future, if underlying conditions have changed, like humans emitting more CO2 in days than all the volcanoes on earth do in a normal year!!!
mmm so in a few hundred years of man made pollution we really did this ...mmm i doubt that. the earth is natural always getting warmer and colder we know this for a fact so everyone who says buy hybrids and electric cars hahaha those lithium ion batteries are so bad for the environment. Also one your most famous meteorologist jim cantore says global warming is crap also..
Why would you doubt it? Historical CO2 was 280-300 ppm during most of human evolution, now it's passing 380. Sure the earth has been getting warmer and colder, but you're missing the point. In the past those changes happened over millenia, while now we're talking only ~200+ years since the advent of the Industrial Revolution. You can't point to the past as a template for the future, if underlying conditions have changed, like humans emitting more CO2 in days than all the volcanoes on earth do in a normal year!!!
Totally and completely untrue as evidenced by the flash frozen plant life found as the South American glaciers are retreating and of course the famously flash frozen Mammoths found in Siberia and who were notably turned into steaks for the people who discovered them. Imagine that 10,000 year old meat grilled up on teh 'barbie! Yes they preserved most of the critters.
I don't really understand that particular outcome either, however the hockey stick has been comprehensively discredited. It seems the math he used was not up to snuff.
Pure bullshit. Dr. Mann's graph has been confirmed multiple times.
Is the hockey stick broken?
While many continue to fixate on Mann's early work on proxy records, the science of paleoclimatology has moved on. Since 1999, there have been many independent reconstructions of past temperatures, using a variety of proxy data and a number of different methodologies. All find the same result - that the last few decades are the hottest in the last 500 to 2000 years (depending on how far back the reconstruction goes). What are some of the proxies that are used to determine past temperature?
Changes in surface temperature send thermal waves underground, cooling or warming the subterranean rock. To track these changes, underground temperature measurements were examined from over 350 bore holes in North America, Europe, Southern Africa and Australia (Huang 2000). Borehole reconstructions aren't able to give short term variation, yielding only century-scale trends. What they find is that the 20th century is the warmest of the past five centuries with the strongest warming trend in 500 years
Yeah right, well I'll see your biased blog and raise you several more biased blogs. I dare you to read them. In fact I double dare you!
Terence Corcoran whopper: Manns hockey stick eliminated some of the data from 1960 forward and then spliced on actual temperature data | Deep Climate
Fraudulent hockey sticks and hidden data « JoNova
Richard Littlemore | A Review of Michael Mann's Exoneration
Bluegrass Pundit: Mann's 'Hockey Stick' Graph Without The 'Hide The Data' Trick
The Hockey Stick: A New Low in Climate Science
AccuWeather.com - Weather Video - Steve McIntyre on Mann's Hockey Stick
I can present you with at least another hundred sources for you if you wish.
Pure bullshit. Dr. Mann's graph has been confirmed multiple times.
Is the hockey stick broken?
While many continue to fixate on Mann's early work on proxy records, the science of paleoclimatology has moved on. Since 1999, there have been many independent reconstructions of past temperatures, using a variety of proxy data and a number of different methodologies. All find the same result - that the last few decades are the hottest in the last 500 to 2000 years (depending on how far back the reconstruction goes). What are some of the proxies that are used to determine past temperature?
Changes in surface temperature send thermal waves underground, cooling or warming the subterranean rock. To track these changes, underground temperature measurements were examined from over 350 bore holes in North America, Europe, Southern Africa and Australia (Huang 2000). Borehole reconstructions aren't able to give short term variation, yielding only century-scale trends. What they find is that the 20th century is the warmest of the past five centuries with the strongest warming trend in 500 years
Yeah right, well I'll see your biased blog and raise you several more biased blogs. I dare you to read them. In fact I double dare you!
Terence Corcoran whopper: Manns hockey stick eliminated some of the data from 1960 forward and then spliced on actual temperature data | Deep Climate
Fraudulent hockey sticks and hidden data « JoNova
Richard Littlemore | A Review of Michael Mann's Exoneration
Bluegrass Pundit: Mann's 'Hockey Stick' Graph Without The 'Hide The Data' Trick
The Hockey Stick: A New Low in Climate Science
AccuWeather.com - Weather Video - Steve McIntyre on Mann's Hockey Stick
I can present you with at least another hundred sources for you if you wish.
the truely disappointing part of the hockey stick fiasco was how so many other scientists, especially the statisticians, refused to deal with the main issues and just dealt with peripheral points. I find it hard to believe that obvious lies were ignored and meaningless side issues were used to soak up the time.
For instance. Mann lied about the r2 (standard type of validation) by saying he didnt calculate them, even to the investigators. but when he had to release his code the r2 validation was right there with the CE (obscure type of validation). Nobody pressed him on his lie or the fact that the r2 figures were ridiculously low, in one case Mann actually went out to 5 decimal places just so he didnt have to put down zero (r2 of 0.688 for calibration period, 0.00003 for validation period, 1700-1729), all periods were low and most were practically zero.
Yeah right, well I'll see your biased blog and raise you several more biased blogs. I dare you to read them. In fact I double dare you!
Terence Corcoran whopper: Manns hockey stick eliminated some of the data from 1960 forward and then spliced on actual temperature data | Deep Climate
Fraudulent hockey sticks and hidden data « JoNova
Richard Littlemore | A Review of Michael Mann's Exoneration
Bluegrass Pundit: Mann's 'Hockey Stick' Graph Without The 'Hide The Data' Trick
The Hockey Stick: A New Low in Climate Science
AccuWeather.com - Weather Video - Steve McIntyre on Mann's Hockey Stick
I can present you with at least another hundred sources for you if you wish.
the truely disappointing part of the hockey stick fiasco was how so many other scientists, especially the statisticians, refused to deal with the main issues and just dealt with peripheral points. I find it hard to believe that obvious lies were ignored and meaningless side issues were used to soak up the time.
For instance. Mann lied about the r2 (standard type of validation) by saying he didnt calculate them, even to the investigators. but when he had to release his code the r2 validation was right there with the CE (obscure type of validation). Nobody pressed him on his lie or the fact that the r2 figures were ridiculously low, in one case Mann actually went out to 5 decimal places just so he didnt have to put down zero (r2 of 0.688 for calibration period, 0.00003 for validation period, 1700-1729), all periods were low and most were practically zero.
I will be the first to say I hate statistics. I had to learn them because when involved in science you just have to know how to do them. However, they are so easy to manipulate that you can pretty much have them say anything you wish. But, Mann took the deception to new levels.
The reluctance to ask hard questions is caused by two things, first off, most of the researchers are true believers and secondly the ones who are not don't like conflict. It is very distasteful to confront a colleague and tell them "you are a prevaricating piece of dog shit" to their face. I was forced to do it once and I was picked because I didn't have tenure so they figured if anything bad happened they couldn't get hurt by the prick.
Also, I wasn't afraid of him and that helps. Most people are cowards when it gets right down to it. They don't want to rock the boat and would much rather let the person silently creep out. The problem is every now and then you get a bully like Mann in position and then it is very, very difficult to deal with them. They understand how to abuse the system and they have no shame, so will continue their lies and try and reverse the attack onto their enemies.
It is a problem in all aspects of the human condition.
the truely disappointing part of the hockey stick fiasco was how so many other scientists, especially the statisticians, refused to deal with the main issues and just dealt with peripheral points. I find it hard to believe that obvious lies were ignored and meaningless side issues were used to soak up the time.
For instance. Mann lied about the r2 (standard type of validation) by saying he didnt calculate them, even to the investigators. but when he had to release his code the r2 validation was right there with the CE (obscure type of validation). Nobody pressed him on his lie or the fact that the r2 figures were ridiculously low, in one case Mann actually went out to 5 decimal places just so he didnt have to put down zero (r2 of 0.688 for calibration period, 0.00003 for validation period, 1700-1729), all periods were low and most were practically zero.
I will be the first to say I hate statistics. I had to learn them because when involved in science you just have to know how to do them. However, they are so easy to manipulate that you can pretty much have them say anything you wish. But, Mann took the deception to new levels.
The reluctance to ask hard questions is caused by two things, first off, most of the researchers are true believers and secondly the ones who are not don't like conflict. It is very distasteful to confront a colleague and tell them "you are a prevaricating piece of dog shit" to their face. I was forced to do it once and I was picked because I didn't have tenure so they figured if anything bad happened they couldn't get hurt by the prick.
Also, I wasn't afraid of him and that helps. Most people are cowards when it gets right down to it. They don't want to rock the boat and would much rather let the person silently creep out. The problem is every now and then you get a bully like Mann in position and then it is very, very difficult to deal with them. They understand how to abuse the system and they have no shame, so will continue their lies and try and reverse the attack onto their enemies.
It is a problem in all aspects of the human condition.
I think another aspect of why so many fail to forcefully speak out is the part about McIntyre being just an amateur in the field. They have circled the wagons, so to speak. I suppose in a field where so many observations are only glorified guesses to begin with, there is a great risk of just about everything tumbling down if showcased and important papers are shown to be fraudulent, or at least immaterial. MBH98 is both fraudulent and worthless.
I will be the first to say I hate statistics. I had to learn them because when involved in science you just have to know how to do them. However, they are so easy to manipulate that you can pretty much have them say anything you wish. But, Mann took the deception to new levels.
The reluctance to ask hard questions is caused by two things, first off, most of the researchers are true believers and secondly the ones who are not don't like conflict. It is very distasteful to confront a colleague and tell them "you are a prevaricating piece of dog shit" to their face. I was forced to do it once and I was picked because I didn't have tenure so they figured if anything bad happened they couldn't get hurt by the prick.
Also, I wasn't afraid of him and that helps. Most people are cowards when it gets right down to it. They don't want to rock the boat and would much rather let the person silently creep out. The problem is every now and then you get a bully like Mann in position and then it is very, very difficult to deal with them. They understand how to abuse the system and they have no shame, so will continue their lies and try and reverse the attack onto their enemies.
It is a problem in all aspects of the human condition.
I think another aspect of why so many fail to forcefully speak out is the part about McIntyre being just an amateur in the field. They have circled the wagons, so to speak. I suppose in a field where so many observations are only glorified guesses to begin with, there is a great risk of just about everything tumbling down if showcased and important papers are shown to be fraudulent, or at least immaterial. MBH98 is both fraudulent and worthless.
There is an awful lot of truth to that. Climatology for some reason has been elevated to the level of a cult religion where only the properly annointed ones are capable of understanding what they are talking about which is simply ludicrous. In no other field of science has the paternal religious BS taken over so completely.
In my own field there is a terrible amount of prejudice against the lowly "rockhounder" even though they are in the field far more than the average geologist, and would smoke that same geologist in a mineral identification test.
What I love about the McIntyre case is he attacked them on the math and that is hard to argue. It is either correct or it isn't...and in Manns case it clearly isn't.
Pure bullshit. Dr. Mann's graph has been confirmed multiple times.
Is the hockey stick broken?
While many continue to fixate on Mann's early work on proxy records, the science of paleoclimatology has moved on. Since 1999, there have been many independent reconstructions of past temperatures, using a variety of proxy data and a number of different methodologies. All find the same result - that the last few decades are the hottest in the last 500 to 2000 years (depending on how far back the reconstruction goes). What are some of the proxies that are used to determine past temperature?
Changes in surface temperature send thermal waves underground, cooling or warming the subterranean rock. To track these changes, underground temperature measurements were examined from over 350 bore holes in North America, Europe, Southern Africa and Australia (Huang 2000). Borehole reconstructions aren't able to give short term variation, yielding only century-scale trends. What they find is that the 20th century is the warmest of the past five centuries with the strongest warming trend in 500 years
Yeah right, well I'll see your biased blog and raise you several more biased blogs. I dare you to read them. In fact I double dare you!
Terence Corcoran whopper: Mann’s hockey stick “eliminated some of the data from 1960 forward … and then spliced on actual temperature data” | Deep Climate
Fraudulent hockey sticks and hidden data « JoNova
Richard Littlemore | A Review of Michael Mann's Exoneration
Bluegrass Pundit: Mann's 'Hockey Stick' Graph Without The 'Hide The Data' Trick
The Hockey Stick: A New Low in Climate Science
AccuWeather.com - Weather Video - Steve McIntyre on Mann's Hockey Stick
I can present you with at least another hundred sources for you if you wish.
the truely disappointing part of the hockey stick fiasco was how so many other scientists, especially the statisticians, refused to deal with the main issues and just dealt with peripheral points. I find it hard to believe that obvious lies were ignored and meaningless side issues were used to soak up the time.
For instance. Mann lied about the r2 (standard type of validation) by saying he didnt calculate them, even to the investigators. but when he had to release his code the r2 validation was right there with the CE (obscure type of validation). Nobody pressed him on his lie or the fact that the r2 figures were ridiculously low, in one case Mann actually went out to 5 decimal places just so he didnt have to put down zero (r2 of 0.688 for calibration period, 0.00003 for validation period, 1700-1729), all periods were low and most were practically zero.
mmm so in a few hundred years of man made pollution we really did this ...mmm i doubt that. the earth is natural always getting warmer and colder we know this for a fact so everyone who says buy hybrids and electric cars hahaha those lithium ion batteries are so bad for the environment. Also one your most famous meteorologist jim cantore says global warming is crap also..
Why would you doubt it? Historical CO2 was 280-300 ppm during most of human evolution, now it's passing 380. Sure the earth has been getting warmer and colder, but you're missing the point. In the past those changes happened over millenia, while now we're talking only ~200+ years since the advent of the Industrial Revolution. You can't point to the past as a template for the future, if underlying conditions have changed, like humans emitting more CO2 in days than all the volcanoes on earth do in a normal year!!!
Totally and completely untrue as evidenced by the flash frozen plant life found as the South American glaciers are retreating and of course the famously flash frozen Mammoths found in Siberia and who were notably turned into steaks for the people who discovered them. Imagine that 10,000 year old meat grilled up on teh 'barbie! Yes they preserved most of the critters.
How did it get blown to shit?
I don't really understand that particular outcome either, however the hockey stick has been comprehensively discredited. It seems the math he used was not up to snuff.
Pure bullshit. Dr. Mann's graph has been confirmed multiple times.
Is the hockey stick broken?
While many continue to fixate on Mann's early work on proxy records, the science of paleoclimatology has moved on. Since 1999, there have been many independent reconstructions of past temperatures, using a variety of proxy data and a number of different methodologies. All find the same result - that the last few decades are the hottest in the last 500 to 2000 years (depending on how far back the reconstruction goes). What are some of the proxies that are used to determine past temperature?
Changes in surface temperature send thermal waves underground, cooling or warming the subterranean rock. To track these changes, underground temperature measurements were examined from over 350 bore holes in North America, Europe, Southern Africa and Australia (Huang 2000). Borehole reconstructions aren't able to give short term variation, yielding only century-scale trends. What they find is that the 20th century is the warmest of the past five centuries with the strongest warming trend in 500 years
mmm so in a few hundred years of man made pollution we really did this ...mmm i doubt that. the earth is natural always getting warmer and colder we know this for a fact so everyone who says buy hybrids and electric cars hahaha those lithium ion batteries are so bad for the environment. Also one your most famous meteorologist jim cantore says global warming is crap also..
Why would you doubt it? Historical CO2 was 280-300 ppm during most of human evolution, now it's passing 380. Sure the earth has been getting warmer and colder, but you're missing the point. In the past those changes happened over millenia, while now we're talking only ~200+ years since the advent of the Industrial Revolution. You can't point to the past as a template for the future, if underlying conditions have changed, like humans emitting more CO2 in days than all the volcanoes on earth do in a normal year!!!