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More flawed modeling masquerading as science. It never ends with you people does it?
No actual research...no need to observe....lets just make a model and call the results fact.
"We simulated the effects of breeding synchrony on chick mortality in storms. We simulated the proportion of chicks likely to die in a storm on a given day by the hatching spread: for 13 days (the mean for 1983–1986) and 27 days (the predicted value for the early 2080s, based on an increase of 0.15 days per year; see results)."
Then to tie these simulated chick deaths to climate change they say "Climate models predict that the frequency and intensity of storms will continue to increase." Except study after study is finding that the frequency and intensity of storms has not increased as the failed models claim. So we have a simulation justifying itself by gloaming onto another failed model.
How stupid do you have to be to take any of this seriously?
Abraham now said:Well, now here's an odd thing. Were they running models for 27 years? Maybe that was in model years. See, Sidd, it wasn't all an exercise in modeling. They'd been studying these chicks for a long time. The chicks were dying from weather at a growing pace. the chicks conundrum - can't swim to cool off and can't get warm under Mom and Dad - makes them something of a canary in a coal mine. So, like I said, it wasn't a model. Chicks were dying and they were dying from weather.
Abraham3 now said:See, Sidd. This isn't modeling. No one has mentioned a model yet. This is real dead birds and real weather records.
"The birds are coming back later and on average laying their eggs three days later than they did a decade ago, so they have a shorter breeding season and that cuts down the amount of time they have to raise their chicks," said Prof Boersma.Abraham3 now said:Again, these are more factual observations. This is not modeling. Many species have been altering many behavioral schedules due to a warming world. And this puts out of synch groups of predator/prey/food species that had formerly acted together. This has led to numerous undesirable consequences - these deaths are of course one of them.
Oh noooooooooooooooo! SAVE THE PENGUIN EGGS!!
I loves me a good omelette.
And so changes in seasonal timing and increased precipitation are killing those chicks: A very real consequence to AGW.
Says the man who spends every waking moment typing "No one is listening" into his computer.
And so changes in seasonal timing and increased precipitation are killing those chicks: A very real consequence to AGW.
And so changes in seasonal timing and increased precipitation are killing those chicks: A very real consequence to AGW.
I hate to do this to you and do your best to keep up, but...
from the article:
As well as more downpours, the researchers believe that altered fish behaviour is contributing to the rising numbers of deaths.
Over the 27-year period, the penguin parents have arrived at the breeding site later and later in the year, probably because the fish they eat are arriving later too.