Clinton drops below 270

[Fang]

In every "virtual tie" of the last 50 years, it goes to the Republican, due to the bias in polling. A "tie" is a Trump win, especially given all of the new revelations of corruption by Hillary.

Clinton does NOT need Florida or even NC to win......She will need CO and NV, however.

Exactly. That's what makes the path much more narrow for Trump. Trump has to win all battle ground states AND pick off a blue state. Hillary merely needs to keep her blue states and pick off one battle ground state.

 

[nat4900]

Trump isn't winning this election, America is rejecting the open corruption of the Mafia Don. That puts Trump in office, but most are not voting FOR Trump, they are just keeping that corrupt piece of shit Hillary out.

Switch those names around and I'm in full agreement.

 

[rightwinger]

Clinton's electoral vote total is at 268 when you add up all the states that are solidly or leaning in her direction and Donald Trump's is 204 when you combine all the states that are solidly or leaning in his direction


Hardly something to celebrate for Republicans

 

[Jackson]

Pennsylvania

RCP on PA (Find ONE poll that shows Trump leading in PA)

Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/27 - 11/1 -- -- 48.3 44.8 Clinton +3.5
Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2
Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4
Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2

The Margin of Error is 3.8, so 2 is considered a tie

Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2

Clinton has the advantage of .1% when considering the Margin of Error

Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4

Clinton is within the Margin of Error, considered a tie

Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2

Clinton is within the margin of error, considered a tie

Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Those are dated polls, includes before the 28th before the reopening of the Clinton investigation

So with the polls that are within the approved dates, Clinton has a .1 lead....I consider that a tie!

 

[nat4900]

Pennsylvania

RCP on PA (Find ONE poll that shows Trump leading in PA)

Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/27 - 11/1 -- -- 48.3 44.8 Clinton +3.5
Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2
Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4
Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2

The Margin of Error is 3.8, so 2 is considered a tie

Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2

Clinton has the advantage of .1% when considering the Margin of Error

Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4

Clinton is within the Margin of Error, considered a tie

Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2

Clinton is within the margin of error, considered a tie

Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Those are dated polls, includes before the 28th before the reopening of the Clinton investigation

So with the polls that are within the approved dates, Clinton has a .1 lead....I consider that a tie!

As Jesse Jackson would say to you..."Keep hope alive..." LOL

 

[NYcarbineer]

Bullshit.

The realclear final poll average in 2012 was Obama by .7. That's a virtual tie.

He won by 3.9 points.

Exactly the opposite of what you claim happened is what really happened.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

You are going to be VERY unhappy next Wednesday, and I think you know it.

America is tired of open and blatant corruption.

It must stop, or there will be no nation left.

lol, I'll still be smarter than you, Goober.

 

[Fang]

Based on the interactive electoral map I just did Trump has no room for error. He needs to keep his red states and win Florida, Ohio, NC, Nevada, Iowa and a portion of Maine.

2016 Presidential Election Interactive Map

This is not my prediction, just what I think Trump needs to win.

 

[Uncensored2008]

[
Not everyone can be as "unbiased" as you are hon.

Sadly, far too many can be as dishonest and corrupt as you are.

 

[Jackson]

Pennsylvania

RCP on PA (Find ONE poll that shows Trump leading in PA)

Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/27 - 11/1 -- -- 48.3 44.8 Clinton +3.5
Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2
Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4
Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2

The Margin of Error is 3.8, so 2 is considered a tie

Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2

Clinton has the advantage of .1% when considering the Margin of Error

Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4

Clinton is within the Margin of Error, considered a tie

Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2

Clinton is within the margin of error, considered a tie

Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Those are dated polls, includes before the 28th before the reopening of the Clinton investigation

So with the polls that are within the approved dates, Clinton has a .1 lead....I consider that a tie!

As Jesse Jackson would say to you..."Keep hope alive..." LOL

You didn't take a statistics class in college? Or did you even get into one?

 

[Fenton Lum]

[
Not everyone can be as "unbiased" as you are hon.

Sadly, far too many can be as dishonest and corrupt as you are.

All that happened was you were not seen eye to eye with, get over it.

 

[nat4900]

You didn't take a statistics class in college? Or did you even get into one?

No, NO....I want you to still believe that PA is a win for Trump.....I mean, I'm firmly against right wingers' suicidal attempts.

 

[Uncensored2008]

lol, I'll still be smarter than you, Goober.

Oh yeah sploogy, everyone here can sure see that...

You know, it'd be a big improvement if you were as smart as the Dingo...

 

[AceRothstein]

No, Clinton is at 297.

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House

That's given FL goes to Clinton and every indication is it's a virtual tie..same as Colorado

In every "virtual tie" of the last 50 years, it goes to the Republican, due to the bias in polling. A "tie" is a Trump win, especially given all of the new revelations of corruption by Hillary.

Yeah I saw Reuters newest poll has Clinton up by 7....then looked at the demos, like 1200 dems and 900 repubs surveyed. No bias there at all, nope

You should just stop commenting on polls because you've clearly demonstrated that you don't have the mental capacity to understand how they work.

 

[Uncensored2008]

You didn't take a statistics class in college? Or did you even get into one?

No, NO....I want you to still believe that PA is a win for Trump.....I mean, I'm firmly against right wingers' suicidal attempts.

He doesn't need PA.

Florida and Virginia give him the win.

 

[AceRothstein]

You didn't take a statistics class in college? Or did you even get into one?

No, NO....I want you to still believe that PA is a win for Trump.....I mean, I'm firmly against right wingers' suicidal attempts.

He doesn't need PA.

Florida and Virginia give him the win.

Trump doesn't have a prayer in Virginia. Even the Republican pollster shows Clinton +4 there.

Clinton has led 4 of the last 5 Florida polls, looking solid there as well.

 

[The VOR]

Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com

I love it!!

Oh please. You don't actually believe anything CNN says, do you?

 

[AceRothstein]

Pennsylvania

RCP on PA (Find ONE poll that shows Trump leading in PA)

Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/27 - 11/1 -- -- 48.3 44.8 Clinton +3.5
Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2
Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4
Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2

The Margin of Error is 3.8, so 2 is considered a tie

Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2

Clinton has the advantage of .1% when considering the Margin of Error

Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4

Clinton is within the Margin of Error, considered a tie

Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2

Clinton is within the margin of error, considered a tie

Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Those are dated polls, includes before the 28th before the reopening of the Clinton investigation

So with the polls that are within the approved dates, Clinton has a .1 lead....I consider that a tie!

That's some wishful thinking, thinking every poll is wrong and the margin of error for all of them is going to swing towards Trump.

 

[Jackson]

Pennsylvania

RCP on PA (Find ONE poll that shows Trump leading in PA)

Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/27 - 11/1 -- -- 48.3 44.8 Clinton +3.5
Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2
Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4
Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2
Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Susquehanna* 10/31 - 11/1 681 LV 3.8 45 43 Clinton +2

The Margin of Error is 3.8, so 2 is considered a tie

Gravis 10/31 - 10/31 2606 RV 1.9 51 49 Clinton +2

Clinton has the advantage of .1% when considering the Margin of Error

Monmouth* 10/29 - 11/1 403 LV 4.9 48 44 Clinton +4

Clinton is within the Margin of Error, considered a tie

Remington Research (R)* 10/30 - 10/30 1249 LV 2.8 45 43 Clinton +2

Clinton is within the margin of error, considered a tie

Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/1 612 LV 4.0 50 44 Clinton +6
CNN/ORC 10/27 - 11/1 799 LV 3.5 51 46 Clinton +5

Those are dated polls, includes before the 28th before the reopening of the Clinton investigation

So with the polls that are within the approved dates, Clinton has a .1 lead....I consider that a tie!

As Jesse Jackson would say to you..."Keep hope alive..." LOL

Seems strange that Clinton has 3 rallies in Pennsylvania when she has the state locked up. Maybe some in her campaign can interpret the statistics, too.

Nov. 4 Pittsburgh, Pa Hillary Clinton
Nov. 5 Bucks Co. , Pa Joe Biden
Nov. 5 Pittsburgh Pa Joe Biden

 

[Uncensored2008]

Exactly. That's what makes the path much more narrow for Trump. Trump has to win all battle ground states AND pick off a blue state. Hillary merely needs to keep her blue states and pick off one battle ground state.

The Mafia will take Colorado, but not Nevada - which is interesting given the Mob influence in Vegas. But it's Florida and Virginia that will be the undoing of the Godmother. The Mafia lead has vanished and the parade of crime by Don Hillary continues. It's not that Hillary supporters will vote for Trump, they'll simply stay home.

 

[SassyIrishLass]

Bullshit.

The realclear final poll average in 2012 was Obama by .7. That's a virtual tie.

He won by 3.9 points.

Exactly the opposite of what you claim happened is what really happened.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

You are going to be VERY unhappy next Wednesday, and I think you know it.

America is tired of open and blatant corruption.

It must stop, or there will be no nation left.

lol, I'll still be smarter than you, Goober.

No, Clinton is at 297.

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House

That's given FL goes to Clinton and every indication is it's a virtual tie..same as Colorado

In every "virtual tie" of the last 50 years, it goes to the Republican, due to the bias in polling. A "tie" is a Trump win, especially given all of the new revelations of corruption by Hillary.

Yeah I saw Reuters newest poll has Clinton up by 7....then looked at the demos, like 1200 dems and 900 repubs surveyed. No bias there at all, nope

You should just stop commenting on polls because you've clearly demonstrated that you don't have the mental capacity to understand how they work.

Yeah troll, like anyone takes YOU serious, I mean really "ace"...what a goober. Now go try and impress someone else, you're way outa your league here, little dude