Cook Political Report shifts 13 House races toward Dems

DrLove

Diamond Member
Jun 15, 2016
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This is gonna leave a mark :biggrin:

In total, 13 races were shifted by Cook to the left in the latest rankings, including those involving Reps. Tom MacArthur (R-N.J.), David Valadao (R-Calif.) and Robert Pittenger (R-N.C.), who all saw their districts move from "likely" Republican to the more vulnerable category of "lean" Republican.

Cook also shifted some races involving Democratic incumbents, including Reps. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.) and Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.), from "likely" Democratic to the "solidly" Democratic category.​

Cook Political Report shifts 13 House races toward Dems
 
Oh my! I’m so scared! Lol


Now that Donald Trump is the presumptive Republican nominee, 12 states just shifted in Democrats' favor and one went Trump’s direction in the latest set of ratings from The Cook Political Report.

The nonpartisan newsletter announced Thursday that it was changing 13 ratings on its Electoral Vote scorecard now that Trump has pretty much clinched his the GOP nomination, much to the dismay of some in his party (like say, House Speaker Paul Ryan).

“Although we remain convinced that Hillary Clinton is very vulnerable and would probably lose to most other Republicans, Donald Trump's historic unpopularity with wide swaths of the electorate — women, millennials, independents and Latinos — make him the initial November underdog,” The Cook Political Report writes. “As a result, we are shifting 13 ratings on our Electoral Vote scorecard, almost all of them favoring Democrats.”

Indiana, Missouri and Nebraska’s 2nd district, which had all been labeled “solid” Republican territory, have shifted leftward in Cook's ratings. Indiana and Missouri are now labeled “likely” Republican and Nebraska’s 2nd district has moved into a “toss up” between parties. (Nebraska, like Maine, can split its electoral votes.)


Arizona and Georgia, which were “likely” Republican states previously, are now rated as “lean” Republican. North Carolina, which was previously a “lean” state for Republicans, has been moved to “toss up.”

Colorado, Florida, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin were all “toss up” states, but The Cook Political Report now predicts they’ll “lean” toward Democrats. New Mexico, which was rated "Likely Democratic," has shifted solidly blue.



http://cookpolitical.com/story/9583

Hmmm, that page can no longer be found. I wonder why....

Cook Political Report shifts a dozen states more blue
 
In mid-October, Charlie Cook rocked the political world and called the race for Hillary Clinton via Twitter.



Take a close look at the new Fox News poll released tonight. This race is OVER. Fox News Poll: October 13, 2016

— Charlie Cook (@CharlieCookDC) October 14, 2016


Less than two weeks ago, Cook told The Hill there was no “moon shot” scenario possible for Trump to win the White House.
Election Guru Charlie Cook Retracts Previous Assessment, Says Trump Now Has a Path to Victory

His report changes as the wind blows. No guru there. Great way to make money. Tell someone today the wind is blowing east, as it changes from north, according to the nws, and get paid for it.
 
Who is Cook? Lol

That's deep - Maybe I can help :rolleyes-41:

The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan[1] online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. It was founded by political analyst Charlie Cook in 1984. Coverage of Senate and Gubernatorial races is headed up by Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy and coverage of House races is led by David Wasserman. Amy Walter serves as national editor.

Reports include Charlie Cook's two weekly columns for National Journal magazine, and NationalJournal Daily. In addition, changes are generally made each week to the House, Senate, and Governors At-A-Glance charts, which list every candidate running in each state and district in the country, in addition to other candidates who are rumored to be considering a run. The House Summary lists the current makeup of the House of Representatives, as well as all announced retirements, potential retirements, and candidates possibly running for higher office. All House and Senate contests are rated, regardless of competitiveness on a seven-point scale; Solid Democrat, Likely Democrat, Lean Democrat, Toss-Up, Lean Republican, Likely Republican, and Solid Republican.

The Cook Political Report employs what it calls the Cook Partisan Voting Index (the PVI), which lists each congressional district in the country according to propensity for voting Democratic or Republican. Every four years following a presidential election, the PVI is updated to reflect how Democratic or Republican a district is, based on how that district voted in the presidential election compared with the rest of the country.

Previously a hard copy publication, the Cook Political Report moved to an all online format in 2004.
 
No, they found a way to make money off of others polls, analyses.
Who is Cook? Lol

That's deep - Maybe I can help :rolleyes-41:

The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan[1] online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. It was founded by political analyst Charlie Cook in 1984. Coverage of Senate and Gubernatorial races is headed up by Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy and coverage of House races is led by David Wasserman. Amy Walter serves as national editor.

Reports include Charlie Cook's two weekly columns for National Journal magazine, and NationalJournal Daily. In addition, changes are generally made each week to the House, Senate, and Governors At-A-Glance charts, which list every candidate running in each state and district in the country, in addition to other candidates who are rumored to be considering a run. The House Summary lists the current makeup of the House of Representatives, as well as all announced retirements, potential retirements, and candidates possibly running for higher office. All House and Senate contests are rated, regardless of competitiveness on a seven-point scale; Solid Democrat, Likely Democrat, Lean Democrat, Toss-Up, Lean Republican, Likely Republican, and Solid Republican.

The Cook Political Report employs what it calls the Cook Partisan Voting Index (the PVI), which lists each congressional district in the country according to propensity for voting Democratic or Republican. Every four years following a presidential election, the PVI is updated to reflect how Democratic or Republican a district is, based on how that district voted in the presidential election compared with the rest of the country.

Previously a hard copy publication, the Cook Political Report moved to an all online format in 2004.
 
In mid-October, Charlie Cook rocked the political world and called the race for Hillary Clinton via Twitter.

Take a close look at the new Fox News poll released tonight. This race is OVER. Fox News Poll: October 13, 2016

— Charlie Cook (@CharlieCookDC) October 14, 2016

Less than two weeks ago, Cook told The Hill there was no “moon shot” scenario possible for Trump to win the White House.
Election Guru Charlie Cook Retracts Previous Assessment, Says Trump Now Has a Path to Victory

His report changes as the wind blows. No guru there. Great way to make money. Tell someone today the wind is blowing east, as it changes from north, according to the nws, and get paid for it.

Oh Gawd - not this again ^ ^ ^ :icon_rolleyes:

The pollsters and analysts pretty much had this right Goober. Hillary won by 3 million votes - Trump squeaked an electoral win out by 77,000 votes in three states. with help of 2 Comey announcements 11 days in, and assistance from Russian hackers, Bots and thousands of trolls.

Nobody predicted it except maybe Dick Morris (every dog has its day ;-)
 

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