Here is why Ds have a solid shot at the Senate

O'Rourke is not going to win.

If Cook rates it a tossup, then it's a tossup!
Accuracy
So flip a coin, then wait for all those newly registered young voters, white suburban women and brown people who Trump's been insulting for 2.5 years to show up. Could get fun!

It's Texas. He's not going to win. It will be closer than one would expect a Texas Senate race to be, but at the end of the day Beto will come up short. California was considered a toss up in 2010 when Barbara Boxer ran for her final term and while Republicans cleaned up across the board, at the end of the day it was still California and Boxer won pretty convincingly.
 
Mountains of debt? Lol. Your savior, O, added 9 trillion, and we didn't hear nary a peep from you. Deal with it.

Yeah, the tax cuts for the Trump kids which now enjoy a 35% approval rating were a bigly win! :rolleyes-41:
POLITICO analysis: At $2.3 trillion cost, Trump tax cuts leave big gap

3 trillion has been added to the economy with those tax cuts. Politico? Lol. A liberal rag. Why am I not surprised.

Do you seriously believe that the money that the top 1% and Fortune 1000s saved in taxes is being reinvested into the economy?
Ehhh no, you've been duped Brownie. It went to stock buybacks, but I did hear that Paris Hilton hired an extra gardner and a hot pool boy.
*Go to 2 minute mark



Meanwhile, the economy is on fire, 3.9, gdp is higher, 4.2, than O ever could dream of achieving, record numbers of jobs added this last month, and on and on. Everyone is moving on and you're worried about paris hilton.


You are intellectually dishonest - Same as your Orange Overlord.

Obama-GDP.jpg


DP38KmUU8AA_QiH.jpg


O had 4 quarters of over 4 percent gdp out of 32 quarters total. Dismal. His average growth was 1.5, the worst of all presidents since WW2. Os best year of economic growth,2.6 percent, in 2015, has been weaker than any other postwar president’s.
 
Now before you go bitching about polls, The Cook Report is not a pollster. They weigh many factors - poll trends and averages just one of many.

Can't wait to see the gnashing of teeth if Beto wins :19:

In recent weeks, several public polls have shown O’Rourke inching ever closer to Cruz. As of Friday, there is yet another indication that O’Rourke could have a fighting chance come November: the Cook Political Report updated its rating for the race, moving it from leans Republican to toss-up.​

2018 Senate Race ratings | The Cook Political Report
It would be wise and appropriate of the American people to acknowledge the mistake they made electing Trump by giving control of Congress to Democrats as a check on a reckless, irresponsible president.
 
Yeah, the tax cuts for the Trump kids which now enjoy a 35% approval rating were a bigly win! :rolleyes-41:
POLITICO analysis: At $2.3 trillion cost, Trump tax cuts leave big gap

3 trillion has been added to the economy with those tax cuts. Politico? Lol. A liberal rag. Why am I not surprised.

Do you seriously believe that the money that the top 1% and Fortune 1000s saved in taxes is being reinvested into the economy?
Ehhh no, you've been duped Brownie. It went to stock buybacks, but I did hear that Paris Hilton hired an extra gardner and a hot pool boy.
*Go to 2 minute mark



Meanwhile, the economy is on fire, 3.9, gdp is higher, 4.2, than O ever could dream of achieving, record numbers of jobs added this last month, and on and on. Everyone is moving on and you're worried about paris hilton.


You are intellectually dishonest - Same as your Orange Overlord.

Obama-GDP.jpg


DP38KmUU8AA_QiH.jpg


O had 4 quarters of over 4 percent gdp out of 32 quarters total. Dismal. His average growth was 1.5, the worst of all presidents since WW2. Os best year of economic growth,2.6 percent, in 2015, has been weaker than any other postwar president’s.


Think about all the money being pumped into the economy during Obama's years in office. QE, Operation Twist, cash for clunkers, 99 weeks of unemployment benefits, zero percent rates, trillion dollar stimulus package to name just a few. Trump's numbers are actually even more impressive when you consider none of those factors are still in play to help the economy.
 
Here is why Ds have a solid shot at the Senate

So what? So what if you're right? Let's say the D's regain the entire Congress, they've had it before and where did it ever get us? The SNL meltdown? Massive recession? Takeover of banks? Socialization of healthcare bankrupting the nation? Over the past 1.5 years, this country has gained on every front: economically, financially, immigration, trade, foreign relations-- -- -- people are working, making more money, stock market up, more disposable income, illegal aliens down, crime down, trade balances leveling out, Korean nuclear threat, ISIS and other matters better resolved-- -- -- and that is with all the crap Trump has been forced to deal with. Why should I care much less be happy knowing that if the D's get back in total control, they're just going to start the same shit all over again that put us in this mess in the first place that lead to THREE major election losses in 2010, 2014 and 2016?

Put another way, when are you going to start putting country ahead of your own personal politics?

You a funny guy but always wrong Tooby. Trump has done nothing but turn this country into an international embarrassment and add mountains of debt. The economic success is a straight-up continuation of Obama's last 7 years.

So what? Because the Orange Clown needs a CHECK on his most horrific impulses.
The only thing that has turned this country into a world embarrassment is the crybaby antics of you clowns.

Trump is a POS, but he is doing what he said he would do, and he is turning this country away from the progressive track it was on and that is something that is good.

The rest of the world is pissed that they don't get free money with no questions asked.
 
A couple of months ago they were predicting a "blue wave" and now it seems that they are down to hoping for a "solid shot". What happened?
 
Now before you go bitching about polls, The Cook Report is not a pollster. They weigh many factors - poll trends and averages just one of many.

Can't wait to see the gnashing of teeth if Beto wins :19:

In recent weeks, several public polls have shown O’Rourke inching ever closer to Cruz. As of Friday, there is yet another indication that O’Rourke could have a fighting chance come November: the Cook Political Report updated its rating for the race, moving it from leans Republican to toss-up.​

2018 Senate Race ratings | The Cook Political Report
Keep showing how childish you are, there will be a red wave in november.

Even Republicans are not buying that.

Trump Sees a 'Red Wave' Where His Party Sees a Red Alert | Rejuvenation Media
 
Here is why Ds have a solid shot at the Senate

So what? So what if you're right? Let's say the D's regain the entire Congress, they've had it before and where did it ever get us? The SNL meltdown? Massive recession? Takeover of banks? Socialization of healthcare bankrupting the nation? Over the past 1.5 years, this country has gained on every front: economically, financially, immigration, trade, foreign relations-- -- -- people are working, making more money, stock market up, more disposable income, illegal aliens down, crime down, trade balances leveling out, Korean nuclear threat, ISIS and other matters better resolved-- -- -- and that is with all the crap Trump has been forced to deal with. Why should I care much less be happy knowing that if the D's get back in total control, they're just going to start the same shit all over again that put us in this mess in the first place that lead to THREE major election losses in 2010, 2014 and 2016?
Put another way, when are you going to start putting country ahead of your own personal politics?
You a funny guy but always wrong Tooby. Trump has done nothing but turn this country into an international embarrassment and add mountains of debt. The economic success is a straight-up continuation of Obama's last 7 years.
So what? Because the Orange Clown needs a CHECK on his most horrific impulses.
The only thing that has turned this country into a world embarrassment is the crybaby antics of you clowns.
Trump is a POS, but he is doing what he said he would do, and he is turning this country away from the progressive track it was on and that is something that is good.
The rest of the world is pissed that they don't get free money with no questions asked.

Thing is, if Trump is that ONE RARE politician to actually DO WHAT HE PROMISED, is actually turning the country around in a good direction doing things others would not do and is still a POS, then what does that say about all the other "regular," "normal" politicians???
 
O'Rourke is not going to win.


Apparently 9 pts behind is creeping closer to these guys.

A IPSOS/Reuters poll has O'Rourke ahead by 2.

Yes. I'm aware of it. That's the online poll where they questioned "likely" voters from five different states. They also were loaded with Democrats and barely any independents

Tell me, do you think that's going to provide an accurate picture off a Texas Senate race.

The most recent poll using good methods has Cruz with a 9 pt lead
 
Now before you go bitching about polls, The Cook Report is not a pollster. They weigh many factors - poll trends and averages just one of many.

Can't wait to see the gnashing of teeth if Beto wins :19:

In recent weeks, several public polls have shown O’Rourke inching ever closer to Cruz. As of Friday, there is yet another indication that O’Rourke could have a fighting chance come November: the Cook Political Report updated its rating for the race, moving it from leans Republican to toss-up.​

2018 Senate Race ratings | The Cook Political Report
Keep showing how childish you are, there will be a red wave in november.

Even Republicans are not buying that.

Trump Sees a 'Red Wave' Where His Party Sees a Red Alert | Rejuvenation Media

is that why the Huffington post is worried about losing a Senate seat in NJ?
 
Mountains of debt? Lol. Your savior, O, added 9 trillion, and we didn't hear nary a peep from you. Deal with it.

Yeah, the tax cuts for the Trump kids which now enjoy a 35% approval rating were a bigly win! :rolleyes-41:
POLITICO analysis: At $2.3 trillion cost, Trump tax cuts leave big gap

3 trillion has been added to the economy with those tax cuts. Politico? Lol. A liberal rag. Why am I not surprised.

Even the non-partisan CBO is projecting higher deficits because of the tax cuts. When Reagan reformed the tax code, he lowered rates and in turn got rid of tax shelters. Trump and the Republicans did not do that. They kept the carried interest deduction, created a new passthrough rate and a new break for real estate trusts. That gives the rich huge tax cuts.
 
O'Rourke is not going to win.


Apparently 9 pts behind is creeping closer to these guys.

A IPSOS/Reuters poll has O'Rourke ahead by 2.

Yes. I'm aware of it. That's the online poll where they questioned "likely" voters from five different states. They also were loaded with Democrats and barely any independents

Tell me, do you think that's going to provide an accurate picture off a Texas Senate race.

The most recent poll using good methods has Cruz with a 9 pt lead

You people had no trouble using Reuters/IPSOS when they said the generic ballot was nearly even. What they found was more enthusiasm for O'Rourke than Cruz. More people saw Cruz as a politician than O'Rourke. There are no good methods except when it shows the results you want. Quinnipiac is actually one of those pollsters who got it wrong. They had Clinton up in places like Pennsylvania and Michigan.
 
A couple of months ago they were predicting a "blue wave" and now it seems that they are down to hoping for a "solid shot". What happened?

No one ever had thought the Democrats had a shot at taking the Senate. However with Arizona and Tennessee in play and Republicans even in a number of races, they do have a shot at taking the Senate.
 
LordBrownTrout, post: 20835699
His average growth was 1.5, the worst of all presidents since WW2.

Obama inherited the largest and highest magnitude of any recession since World War II, with 6.5% of jobs lost. Plus the recovery ran in parallel with the task of finishing both of Bush!s unfinished wars.

That type of scenario was faced by no President since WWII. So an avg growth of 1.5 for eight years was decent pace of recovery as far you know.

So why make the comparison that you did?
 
Now before you go bitching about polls, The Cook Report is not a pollster. They weigh many factors - poll trends and averages just one of many.

Can't wait to see the gnashing of teeth if Beto wins :19:

In recent weeks, several public polls have shown O’Rourke inching ever closer to Cruz. As of Friday, there is yet another indication that O’Rourke could have a fighting chance come November: the Cook Political Report updated its rating for the race, moving it from leans Republican to toss-up.​

2018 Senate Race ratings | The Cook Political Report
Keep showing how childish you are, there will be a red wave in november.

Even Republicans are not buying that.

Trump Sees a 'Red Wave' Where His Party Sees a Red Alert | Rejuvenation Media
No, even liberal women see what your trying to pull. Real victims are offended. See you in november!
 

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