O'Rourke is not going to win.
Apparently 9 pts behind is creeping closer to these guys.
A IPSOS/Reuters poll has O'Rourke ahead by 2.
Yes. I'm aware of it. That's the online poll where they questioned "likely" voters from five different states. They also were loaded with Democrats and barely any independents
Tell me, do you think that's going to provide an accurate picture off a Texas Senate race.
The most recent poll using good methods has Cruz with a 9 pt lead
You people had no trouble using Reuters/IPSOS when they said the generic ballot was nearly even. What they found was more enthusiasm for O'Rourke than Cruz. More people saw Cruz as a politician than O'Rourke. There are no good methods except when it shows the results you want. Quinnipiac is actually one of those pollsters who got it wrong. They had Clinton up in places like Pennsylvania and Michigan.
I don't believe the polls. They have been manipulated for years. Martha Coakly up by 15 points on Scott Brown 7 days out and losing by 4 was the start for me.
This one for O'Rourke is just silly. O'Rourke will lose by double digits. But today's poll won't matter in their post election analysis. The only polls that matters to the polling companies are the final polls, where they can brag about their accuracy. It does keep those real clear politics averages looking good though.
If they showed Cruz up by 20, you would believe it.