Hillary Clinton’s Lead Shrinks to 1 Point in Latest USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll

[bripat9643]

So much for the Dim victory dance:

Hillary Clinton's Lead Shrinks to 1 Point in Latest USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll

Hillary Clinton’s lead is down to 1 point in the latest USC Dornsife- LA Times poll released on Friday. The Hillary “bounce” from the media manufactured “unity” convention in Philadelphia has completely been erased. Hillary is ahead by only one point despite the complete support from every media outlet except for FOX Business Network and her supporters in the tech world. usc poll From the poll: This chart tracks our best estimate, over time, of how America plans to vote in November The final blue and red figures on the right side of the chart represent our most recent estimates...​

 

[NYcarbineer]

So much for the Dim victory dance:

Hillary Clinton's Lead Shrinks to 1 Point in Latest USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll

Hillary Clinton’s lead is down to 1 point in the latest USC Dornsife- LA Times poll released on Friday. The Hillary “bounce” from the media manufactured “unity” convention in Philadelphia has completely been erased. Hillary is ahead by only one point despite the complete support from every media outlet except for FOX Business Network and her supporters in the tech world. usc poll From the poll: This chart tracks our best estimate, over time, of how America plans to vote in November The final blue and red figures on the right side of the chart represent our most recent estimates...​

Is it comforting to have no shame?

 

[The VOR]

So much for the Dim victory dance:

Hillary Clinton's Lead Shrinks to 1 Point in Latest USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll

Hillary Clinton’s lead is down to 1 point in the latest USC Dornsife- LA Times poll released on Friday. The Hillary “bounce” from the media manufactured “unity” convention in Philadelphia has completely been erased. Hillary is ahead by only one point despite the complete support from every media outlet except for FOX Business Network and her supporters in the tech world. usc poll From the poll: This chart tracks our best estimate, over time, of how America plans to vote in November The final blue and red figures on the right side of the chart represent our most recent estimates...​

Douchebags!!!
Douchebags!!!
Douchebags!!!

The bitter old man screams, as he froths at the mouth with clenched fists slamming his keyboard while he hops up and down in his seat with steam coming out of his ears.

ROTFLMAO.

 

[Rexx Taylor]

what this means is that Trump is actually ahead by 10 points because they oversample the rats by 12 to 15%

 

[AceRothstein]

This is what is known as an outlier.

 

[konradv]

This is what is known as an outlier.

Agreed. The real experts have her at better than a 3-1 chance to win and give her a 4 point advantage nationally.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

 

[theDoctorisIn]

This is what is known as an outlier.

Actually, it's less that it's an outlier and more than it's an entirely different way to poll.

The Daybreak poll has been tracking the same group of 3,000 people since the campaigns got off the ground. It's an interesting model, but not an established one - and significantly different than the normal new random sample from the population at large for each poll.

I don't know enough about the methodology to make any strong claims about it's mathematical validity, but I can say for certain that it's not very well tested.

 

[HappyJoy]

So much for the Dim victory dance:

Hillary Clinton's Lead Shrinks to 1 Point in Latest USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll

Hillary Clinton’s lead is down to 1 point in the latest USC Dornsife- LA Times poll released on Friday. The Hillary “bounce” from the media manufactured “unity” convention in Philadelphia has completely been erased. Hillary is ahead by only one point despite the complete support from every media outlet except for FOX Business Network and her supporters in the tech world. usc poll From the poll: This chart tracks our best estimate, over time, of how America plans to vote in November The final blue and red figures on the right side of the chart represent our most recent estimates...​

Here you go again, Ned. You clear cut an entire forest of polls to find the own that supports your own bias. Why do you do that? Why do you think this poll is more accurate than the others?

 

[Juan de Fuca]

Is this the same poll that had Trump at 30% with Hispanics and 3% with blacks?

 

[NYcarbineer]

This is from the OP's poll. Notice where it says that this predicts elections better than asking people how they plan to vote.

lol. I win.

 

[Rexx Taylor]

well now that 100 Million people will soon find out that Hillary has Parkinsons, she will dip to 30%

 

[amrchaos]

This is what is known as an outlier.

Agreed. The real experts have her at better than a 3-1 chance to win and give her a 4 point advantage nationally.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

Wait

In some battleground states, Hillary is breaking out by more than 4 pts!
Does that mean she is losing by more than 4 pts in red states?

2nd, given that Utah is about to turn and Georgia is going blue, what are the red states?

 

[HappyJoy]

well now that 100 Million people will soon find out that Hillary has Parkinsons, she will dip to 30%

Other than that being a complete lie, I hope Trump buys this stupid Alex Jones type conspiracy and makes fun of her for it. That would be awesome.

However, this isn't a thread about conspiracies, it's a thread about a wingnut's inability to to honest to himself about presidential polling.

 

[NYcarbineer]

well now that 100 Million people will soon find out that Hillary has Parkinsons, she will dip to 30%

Given that Americans believe the worst thing Trump has done was when he made fun of the handicapped guy,

Parkinson's would send her higher in the polls.

 

[Dekster]

I swear my brain read "
USC Dornsife Daybreak"

as

US Doomsday Poll

 

[RodISHI]

So much for the Dim victory dance:

Hillary Clinton's Lead Shrinks to 1 Point in Latest USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll

Hillary Clinton’s lead is down to 1 point in the latest USC Dornsife- LA Times poll released on Friday. The Hillary “bounce” from the media manufactured “unity” convention in Philadelphia has completely been erased. Hillary is ahead by only one point despite the complete support from every media outlet except for FOX Business Network and her supporters in the tech world. usc poll From the poll: This chart tracks our best estimate, over time, of how America plans to vote in November The final blue and red figures on the right side of the chart represent our most recent estimates...​

Is it comforting to have no shame?

You should know!

 

[RodISHI]

This is what is known as an outlier.

Agreed. The real experts have her at better than a 3-1 chance to win and give her a 4 point advantage nationally.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

Wait

In some battleground states, Hillary is breaking out by more than 4 pts!
Does that mean she is losing by more than 4 pts in red states?

2nd, given that Utah is about to turn and Georgia is going blue, what are the red states?

You must not be keeping up very well on Georgia. Trump's team can't get signs out to them fast enough!

 

[HappyJoy]

This is what is known as an outlier.

Agreed. The real experts have her at better than a 3-1 chance to win and give her a 4 point advantage nationally.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

Wait

In some battleground states, Hillary is breaking out by more than 4 pts!
Does that mean she is losing by more than 4 pts in red states?

2nd, given that Utah is about to turn and Georgia is going blue, what are the red states?

You must not be keeping up very well on Georgia. Trump's team can't get signs out to them fast enough!

Yard signs. Who gives a fuck about yard signs?

 

[Dekster]

This is what is known as an outlier.

Agreed. The real experts have her at better than a 3-1 chance to win and give her a 4 point advantage nationally.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

Wait

In some battleground states, Hillary is breaking out by more than 4 pts!
Does that mean she is losing by more than 4 pts in red states?

2nd, given that Utah is about to turn and Georgia is going blue, what are the red states?

You must not be keeping up very well on Georgia. Trump's team can't get signs out to them fast enough!

Yard signs. Who gives a fuck about yard signs?

Me. I want a bunch. I use the wire frames to train up beans in the garden.

 

[HappyJoy]

This is what is known as an outlier.

Agreed. The real experts have her at better than a 3-1 chance to win and give her a 4 point advantage nationally.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

Wait

In some battleground states, Hillary is breaking out by more than 4 pts!
Does that mean she is losing by more than 4 pts in red states?

2nd, given that Utah is about to turn and Georgia is going blue, what are the red states?

You must not be keeping up very well on Georgia. Trump's team can't get signs out to them fast enough!

Yard signs. Who gives a fuck about yard signs?

Me. I want a bunch. I use the wire frames to train up beans in the garden.

Good point.