Live by the Polls, Die by the Polls

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The only poll that matters happens in November.

In the end. And Biden proved that in 2020.

But

Election 2024 Polls: Wisconsin​

The latest Wisconsin polls​

Election 2024 Polls: Wisconsin

See the latest election polls and polling averages for Wisconsin.

www.nytimes.com

 

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Election 2024 Polls: Wisconsin

See the latest election polls and polling averages for Wisconsin.

www.nytimes.com

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

Election 2024 Polls: Wisconsin

See the latest election polls and polling averages for Wisconsin.

www.nytimes.com

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

Harris Leads Trump in Three Key States, Times/Siena Polls Find​

New surveys of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania taken this week offer the latest indication of a dramatic reversal in standing for the Democratic Party since President Biden abandoned his re-election bid.

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald J. Trump in three crucial battleground states, according to new surveys by The New York Times and Siena College, the latest indication of a dramatic reversal in standing for Democrats after President Biden’s departure from the presidential race remade it.

Ms. Harris is ahead of Mr. Trump by four percentage points in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, 50 percent to 46 percent among likely voters in each state. The surveys were conducted from Aug. 5 to 9.

The polls, some of the first high-quality surveys in those states since Mr. Biden announced he would no longer run for re-election, come after nearly a year of surveys that showed either a tied contest or a slight lead for Mr. Trump over Mr. Biden.

[On question after question, the poll finds that voters don’t seem to have major reservations about Kamala Harris, Nate Cohn writes.]

New Battleground Polls Show Harris Has Fundamentally Changed the Race​

On question after question, at least for now, most voters don’t seem to have major reservations about her.

If there were any doubt whether Kamala Harris has transformed this year’s presidential election, this morning’s latest New York Times/Siena College polls put it to rest.

In our first swing state polls since her entry into the race, Vice President Harris leads Donald J. Trump by four points each in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin among likely voters. It’s a major shift from previous Times/Siena polls, which found Mr. Trump leading Ms. Harris and President Biden by an average of one or two points each across the same three states.

Sometimes, it can be hard to explain why polls shift from week to week or month to month. In today’s polarized politics, it can even be hard to explain why voters ever shift at all. In this case, it’s easy: Ms. Harris’s entry into the race has upended the fundamentals of this election.

Until now, the basic dynamic of the race was driven by Mr. Biden’s unpopularity. It prevented Democrats from running their usual strategy against Mr. Trump and his MAGA allies: Make an election a referendum on Mr. Trump by running a broadly acceptable candidate. Millions of voters were left with an agonizing choice between two candidates they disliked.

New Battleground Polls Show Harris Has Fundamentally Changed the Race

On question after question, at least for now, most voters don’t seem to have major reservations about her.

www.nytimes.com

 

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Tied in Wisconsin BEFORE she chose Timpon Stolen Valor

And now the NYT and the New Yorker are asking "Makala brings joy" to provide her policy.

Sweet?

We'll show you "sweet"

 

[SweetSue92]

Sweet?

We'll show you "sweet"
View attachment 993225

She's so sweet she can't keep any staff. She has a 90% plus turnover rate.

Yeah "sweet"

 

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She's so sweet she can't keep any staff. She has a 90% plus turnover rate.

Yeah "sweet"

Whatever you say. I'm sure others pay attention to you.