Toddsterpatriot
Diamond Member
Yes , they can sell their t-bills, indeed , they've been doing that for a couple of years now.Reserves & T-bills. Sory for the imprecission... enough to bailout to whoever they want. Hardly an unescapable situation. Hard to manage , yes , certainly . Collapse... meh not so much.
They can't just turn in T-bills/bonds on demand. They have a specific mature date.
The only option would be to sell them on the open market. In small amounts, that would be perfectly fine. But in large numbers, that would start to lower bond prices. While that might screw up the US government (assuming we were borrowing like mad at the time), it would also hurt themselves. The amount of money for the bonds would drop.
The Chinese would end up selling the US bonds at a huge loss.
I don't see that as a realistic option.
The other option, is more possible, but it has a slippery slope to oblivion. They can start printing money, but as we've seen their economy still doesn't have the stability that even the US economy has.
If they printed money, inflation would jump. This would require them to increase pay towards the military, which is their only life line to holding power. With the required increases in military pay, that would require ever increasing the printing of cash, which would cause more inflation, which would require more pay to the military. This is exactly what happened in Mugabe in Zimbabwe. Once he got on that track, he was locked in with no hope of changing it.
I honestly doubt China will jump on either one of those.
If the debt is in yen they can do QE just like the US did or simply write-off debts.
Foreign debt is more complicated.
Simply write it off? Really. You think that debt owed to Union Pension funds, is going to be written off? Yeah, that will go over real well.
No, not that way, rather the QE write-off method :
Create a government bond, exchange it for the bad asset ( unrecoverable debt) and turn the bond into capital.
Deja vu... Where have I seen that ? Oh, my memory fails...
Alternatively:
Emit a bonds , distribute the bonds among the debtors. The bond would be limited in the sense that any entity with debt would have to apply the bond directly to their debt.
Would this cause inflation . Yea, sure, but the government will have controll over how much inflation it will cause.
What are you talking about.........
Create a bond.... ok....
Exchange the bond for a bad asset..... ok.... So national debt, and interest payments go up, in exchange for a asset whose value is going down..... got it.....
Turn the bond into capital...... The bond doesn't turn into capital. Whoever we gave the bond to, in exchange for the asset, we still have to pay back.
And now we have a depreciating asset we can sell for penny on the dollar, to pay back the bond with?
How does that end up with us ahead? Let's just sell the bond, and leave it at that. Then we don't have to pay millions of dollars to the IRS to process the assets. Exchanging bonds for bad assets, is not a way to avoid debt. It's a way to increase our debt. But it looks better on paper.... yes, I can see this as a voting tool. You convince the idiots, that the bonds are exchanged for assets that can be sold.
But no one is going to sell a good asset that get's a 10% ROI, for a bond that has current interest rate of ZERO.
So, like you said, the only assets we can get.... are bad assets. Assets dropping in value. So we're going to sell a bond for several hundred thousand, for an asset that will be almost impossible to sell.... thus nearly worthless. How is this a win?
You sell me an IOU, for my Grand Marquis worth $3,000. When you get the Grand Marquis it will be worth a few hundred bucks, and then you'll owe me $3K plus some interest. Good win there buddy.
And your alternative, while great for institution in debt.... would make the national debt skyrocket. That's not a solution... unless the goal is to wipe out the government.....
I hate to say this, but this post of yours, makes me question if you even understand what you are talking about..... Either you are not explaining it right..... or you are clueless.
Either you are not explaining it right..... or you are clueless
The answer is........................................................^this one