DigitalDrifter
Diamond Member
- Feb 22, 2013
- 49,170
- 27,846
Apparently there are more disgusted people than I thought, and a lot more people who will stay home than I thought.
I'll believe it when I see it. I have consistently predicted a gain in the Senate, but not enough to flip, and a few additional net gain seats in the House.
more: Nate Silver 74 Percent Chance GOP Will Take Senate
I'll believe it when I see it. I have consistently predicted a gain in the Senate, but not enough to flip, and a few additional net gain seats in the House.
NATE SILVER: 74 PERCENT CHANCE GOP WILL TAKE SE
On Sunday's broadcast of ABC's "This Week," Nate Silver of Fivethirtyeight.com said statistically, the Republican Party has strong odds for its chances of taking control of the U.S. Senate following next week's midterm elections.
Partial transcript as follows:
STEPHANOPOULOS: You might remember Nate Silver from 2012. He's the forecast from fivethirtyeight.com. And his statistical take on the presidential election was dead on, correctly predicting how all 50 states would break. He's inspired all kinds of imitators. This time around, all of them are predicting a big election for the GOP. The New York Times giving the Republicans a 70 percent chance of retaking the Senate. Huffington Post at 74 percent, and the Washington Post puts GOP chances at a whopping 94 percent. Let's hear from Nate himself. Thanks for joining us, Nate. Saw your post this morning, 72 percent and climbing for Republican takeover.
SILVER: Yes, we saw some new polls this morning in states like Georgia, Kentucky, that have further good news for the GOP.
Looks, it's still a close election. You have six or seven or eight races that can go either way. But like that poll in Iowa last night, which, as you mentioned, is one of the most reliable polls in the country. All these races are being held in purple or red states too. So the bar isn't that high. The polls are clearer now that the GOP will -- will probably win the Senate. We can bet a 73, 74 percent chance right now.
more: Nate Silver 74 Percent Chance GOP Will Take Senate