Official Coronavirus Thread - Up to the minute Coronavirus map and count.

According to this article, the CDC and FEMA have new models that project that by June 1, 2020, there will be 200,000 confirmed cases EACH DAY and 3,000 deaths, EACH DAY. Here I was hoping we would be under a 1,000 deaths a day and 10,000 infections each day by then. We'll know the truth in 4 weeks. This makes it sound like June will be the worst month yet and what will July be like? When is the peak? The flattening of the curve? How about going down the other side of the peak and leveling off to only a few cases and deaths per day?

Here is the link: Coronavirus Live Updates: Trump Administration Models Predict Near Doubling of Daily Death Toll by June

This makes it seem like the first wave will be much longer than was originally believed. It makes opening up now which some states are doing even more crazy. Do we wanna see 6,000 deaths a day by July?

By June TAIWAN will possibly be enjoying an environment with ZERO active cases and only 6 deaths from this pandemic. The United States will be on its way to being the #1 nation in per capita deaths and per capita infections on the planet from Covid-19, with no end in sight. That is, if this model from the CDC is correct.
Another worst case possible projection after all previous such have grossly failed
Models are no good for this and have not been so time to wise up and not buy into panic projections.
 
Looks like for first time serious/critical decreased from Friday to Saturday by 7. That could be the beginning of huge improvements. Deaths do take people off the list but that has been the case all along and the numbers never decreased.
I fail to see how there will be any serious improvement this summer with the increase in contact between people. At the very best, the numbers stay where they are. There were only 9 deaths in the US two months ago and the number today is pushing 70,000. That tells me there is a hell of a lot more of the virus going around today looking for hosts than there were then and with the opening up of the country, there is going to be a lot of available hosts. Although I don't see any way to avoid opening up the economy, it surely is going send the number skyrocketing by the end of summer.
 
Looks like for first time serious/critical decreased from Friday to Saturday by 7. That could be the beginning of huge improvements. Deaths do take people off the list but that has been the case all along and the numbers never decreased.
I fail to see how there will be any serious improvement this summer with the increase in contact between people. At the very best, the numbers stay where they are. There were only 9 deaths in the US two months ago and the number today is pushing 70,000. That tells me there is a hell of a lot more of the virus going around today looking for hosts than there were then and with the opening up of the country, there is going to be a lot of available hosts. Although I don't see any way to avoid opening up the economy, it surely is going send the number skyrocketing by the end of summer.
Except we’ve been locked down for over a month and before that everyone mingled like normal so between the two and with the time that has passes every host that had it mostly mildly passed it on the every other possible host who also mostly had it mildly. Anybody that could host already has so it’s time to stop nervously peeking around the corner for the next boogeyman and live like free people
 
Looks like for first time serious/critical decreased from Friday to Saturday by 7. That could be the beginning of huge improvements. Deaths do take people off the list but that has been the case all along and the numbers never decreased.
I fail to see how there will be any serious improvement this summer with the increase in contact between people. At the very best, the numbers stay where they are. There were only 9 deaths in the US two months ago and the number today is pushing 70,000. That tells me there is a hell of a lot more of the virus going around today looking for hosts than there were then and with the opening up of the country, there is going to be a lot of available hosts. Although I don't see any way to avoid opening up the economy, it surely is going send the number skyrocketing by the end of summer.

It would seem that the real issue is the compact living of the densely populated cities. That is what requires mitigation.

1. Even if a case hits a place like Phoenix (millions) it does not seem to spread real fast.
2. You hit New York City....and BOOM !!!
 
End-of-day totals for yesterday May 3 --- Brazil and Russia still following as #2 and #3 in daily new infections, although Brazil is doing much worse that Russia in death toll for the day:

Country,
Other
Total
Cases
New
Cases
Total
Deaths
New
Deaths
Total
Recovered
Active
Cases
Serious,
Critical
Tot Cases/
1M pop
Deaths/
1M pop
Total
Tests
Tests/
1M pop
World3,563,689+82,260248,146+3,4811,153,8472,161,69650,04045731.8
USA1,188,122+27,34868,598+1,154178,263941,26116,1393,5892077,196,74021,742
Spain247,122+1,53325,264+164148,55873,3002,3865,2855401,932,45541,332
Italy210,717+1,38928,884+17481,654100,1791,5013,4854782,153,77235,622
UK186,599+4,33928,446+315N/A157,8091,5592,7494191,206,40517,771
France168,693+29724,895+13550,78493,0143,8192,5843811,100,22816,856
Germany165,664+6976,866+54130,60028,1981,9791,977822,547,05230,400
Russia134,687+10,6331,280+5816,639116,7682,30092394,100,00028,095
Turkey126,045+1,6703,397+6163,15159,4971,4241,495401,135,36713,462
Brazil101,147+4,5887,025+27542,99151,1318,31847633339,5521,597
Iran97,424+9766,203+4778,42212,7992,6901,16074496,2735,909
China82,877+24,63377,71353134583
Canada59,474+2,7603,682+11624,90830,8845571,57698897,44423,778

 
Looks like for first time serious/critical decreased from Friday to Saturday by 7. That could be the beginning of huge improvements. Deaths do take people off the list but that has been the case all along and the numbers never decreased.
I fail to see how there will be any serious improvement this summer with the increase in contact between people. At the very best, the numbers stay where they are. There were only 9 deaths in the US two months ago and the number today is pushing 70,000. That tells me there is a hell of a lot more of the virus going around today looking for hosts than there were then and with the opening up of the country, there is going to be a lot of available hosts. Although I don't see any way to avoid opening up the economy, it surely is going send the number skyrocketing by the end of summer.
Except we’ve been locked down for over a month and before that everyone mingled like normal so between the two and with the time that has passes every host that had it mostly mildly passed it on the every other possible host who also mostly had it mildly. Anybody that could host already has so it’s time to stop nervously peeking around the corner for the next boogeyman and live like free people
Obvious everyone has not had the virus or we wouldn't be adding 10,000 to 20,000 cases a day in the US. The shutdown is closer to two months, not one month. In most states the shutdown began between March 9 and March 16th. From a medical standpoint it is insane to abandon the measures that have stabilized the increase in new cases. From an economic standpoint we don't really have much choice. Unfortunately, it's a lose lose situation. If we don't open the country, we will have riots, starvation, marshal law, and the worst depression the country has ever seen. However, it we do open the country, we will have more deaths in the US than any epidemic in history in less than a year accompanied by more shutdowns. Even it we have a vaccine by end of year, it will be at least another year before life is back to normal in the US.
 
Infection rate of those tested.

4/3: 39.7%
4/4: 20.2%
4/7: 19.3%
4/10: 19.7%
4/11: 20.0%
4/13: 19.8%
4/14: 20.0%
4/15: 19.8%
4/19: 19.8%
4/20: 19.7%
4/21: 19.6%
4/22: 19.6%
4/23: 18.7%
4/26: 18.1%
4/28: 17.5%
4/29: 17.3%
5/1: 16.9%
5/4: 16.3%
 
U.S. deaths are down. New York is doing much better.

5 states with over 1,000 cases.

The pattern of low weekend reporting seems to be emerging as you see the constant camel humps that peak at about the same level.
 
Sweden underreports over the weekend and then spikes to 90 on Monday.

The overall trend has peaked and is now declining.

Looks like there is no crazy spread there.

Good job Sweden.

And you have not had to put up with this fucking bullshit lockdown.
 
TOTAL NUMBER AND DAILY RATE OF INCREASE IN CORONAVIRUS INFECTIONS BY DATE:

March 24, 2020 - United States - 54,916
March 25, 2020 - United States - 68,489 - 24.7% increase
March 26, 2020 - United States - 85,594 - 24.97% increase
March 27, 2020 - United States - 104,256 - 21.8% increase
March 28, 2020 - United States - 123,776 - 18.7% increase
March 29, 2020 - United States - 142,224 - 14.9% increase
March 30, 2020 - United States - 164,266 - 15.5% increase
March 31, 2020 - United States - 188,578 - 14.8% increase
April 1, 2020 - United States - 215,300 - 14.2% increase
April 2, 2020 - United States - 245,193 - 13.9% increase
April 3, 2020 - United States - 277,475 - 13.2% increase
April 4, 2020 - United States - 311,635 - 12.3% increase
April 5, 2020 - United States - 336,830 - 8.1% increase
April 6, 2020 - United States - 367,629 - 9.1% increase
April 7, 2020 - United States - 400,540 - 9.0% increase
April 8, 2020 - United States - 435,160 - 8.6% increase
April 9, 2020 - United States - 468,895 - 7.8% increase
April 10, 2020 - United States - 502,876 - 7.3% increase
April 11, 2020 - United States - 533,115 - 6.0% increase
April 12, 2020 - United States - 560,433 - 5.1% increase
April 13, 2020 - United States - 587,155 - 4.8% increase
April 14, 2020 - United States - 614,246 - 4.6% increase
April 15, 2020 - United States - 644,089 - 4.9% increase
April 16, 2020 - United States - 678,144 - 5.3% increase
April 17, 2020 - United States - 710,272 - 4.7% increase
April 18, 2020 - United States - 738,923 - 4.0% increase
April 19, 2020 - United States - 764,265 - 3.4% increase
April 20, 2020 - United States - 792,913 - 3.8% increase
April 21, 2020 - United States - 819,175 - 3.3% increase
April 22, 2020 - United States - 849,092 - 3.7% increase
April 23, 2020 - United States - 886,709 - 4.4% increase
April 24, 2020 - United States - 925,758 - 4.4% increase
April 25, 2020 - United States - 960,896 - 3.8% increase
April 26, 2020 - United States - 987,322 - 2.8% increase
April 27, 2020 - United States - 1,010,507 - 2.4% increase
April 28, 2020 - United States - 1,035,765 - 2.5% increase
April 29, 2020 - United States - 1,064,572 - 2.8% increase
April 30, 2020 - United States - 1,095,210 - 2.9% increase
May 1, 2020 - United States - 1,131,492 - 3.3% increase
May 2, 2020 - United States - 1,160,838 - 2.6% increase
May 3, 2020 - United States - 1,188,122 - 2.4% increase
May 4, 2020 - United States - 1,212,955 - 2.1% increase


TOTAL NUMBER AND DAILY RATE OF INCREASE IN CORONAVIRUS DEATHS BY DATE:

March 26, 2020 - United States - 1,000
April 6, 2020 - United States - 10,000 - 900% increase
April 19, 2020 - United States - 40,000 - 300% increase
April 23, 2020 - United States - 50,243 - 25.6% increase
April 24, 2020 - United States - 52,217 - 3.9% increase
April 25, 2020 - United States - 54,265 - 3.9% increase
April 26, 2020 - United States - 55,415 - 2.1% increase
April 27, 2020 - United States - 56,803 - 2.5% increase
April 28, 2020 - United States - 59,266 - 4.3% increase
April 29, 2020 - United States - 61,669 - 4.1% increase
April 30, 2020 - United States - 63,861 - 3.6% increase
May 1, 2020 - United States - 65,776 - 3.0% increase
May 2, 2020 - United States - 67,448 - 2.5% increase
May 3, 2020 - United States - 68,598 - 1.7% increase
May 4, 2020 - United States - 69,925 - 1.9% increase
 
quote-if-the-populace-knew-with-what-idiocy-they-were-ruled-they-would-revolt-charlemagne-140-...jpg
 
How the hell would you go about mitigating population density? lol

Well, apparently you don't, you stupid fuck.

You just keep letting NYC die.

If they are to fucking stupid to figure it out, I sure as hell have no interest in explaining to them.

No, no. Please continue and tell us all about your plan on how to mitigate the population density of New York City. You brought it up. Let's hear what you have.

"Hey guys. We need 5 million of you to move to a different city. But don't move to the same city."

Is that your plan? I bet you have something even better in mind, don't you? :icon_rolleyes:
 

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