Official Coronavirus Thread - Up to the minute Coronavirus map and count.

[georgephillip]

I’ll be 64 and went to the fitness center until Wednesday last week. I ain’t afraid of this. Why are you? I have confidence in my fellow neighbors they have hygiene

I'll be 73 in August.
Both of my gyms closed 9 days ago.
Hygiene alone won't curtail the spread of this virus.
Are you self quarantined?

 

[james bond]

I don't think one should be afraid, but to be careful. Keep one's distance from people. Greet people from afar with a wave or air elbow. Don't shake hands. I see more people wearing face masks, but unless one has or the flu, then it causes you to touch your face more. One needs a better face mask for protection. I stopped going to work outs as you don't know how clean it is. For now, I'm exercising on my own and walking two dogs. My family visits but we limit contact. Right now everything is on the upswing, so better to curtail activities and remain self-quarantined and wipe down with anti-corona cleaners and disinfectants. How people could get it from their cruise ship cabins even after two weeks was creepy. That LA sheriff should keep the guns stores open as necessary items.

 

[james bond]

Here's one great piece of news. Maybe we can contain this in the near future:

Stay positive: Here are 23 pieces of good news regarding COVID-19
Christina Ausley, SeattlePI
Updated 10:16 am PDT, Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Stay positive: Here are 23 pieces of good news regarding COVID-19

While headlines continuously read distressing news regarding the novel coronavirus, we've...

www.sfgate.com

 

[Pogo]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

nope. current running totals says the mortality rate right now is 320- million people with 600 deaths. first thirty days. one can't make a conclusion on next steps without it. that's the first thirty day rate. the next thirty days will be benchmarked against the first thirty days. that's how one create trend lines. and adjust. you all are fking stupid. hly shit.

funny, you all don't have a problem with climate and global warming trending. you still all hide the data. too fking funny.

WRONG, DIPSHIT. You don't take "600 deaths" --- whatever ass that comes from --- and subtract it from an entire population including those who aren't even infected, DUMBASS, because those non-infected HAVE NO CHANCE OF DYING FROM THE DISEASE, not to mention no chance of living through it either. You might as well throw in the numbers of Portuguese speakers or the population of Uganda. They're irrelevant too.

Therefore you take those who ARE or WERE infected and analyze what their OUTCOMES were. ONCE AGAIN not enough time has transpired to see that number but AT PRESENT with 698 dead and 378 recovered; 698 + 378 = 1076, divide that into 698 and your mortality rate is 65%. In 65% of cases that had an outcome, so far, that outcome was death.

And I've never posted on "climate and global warming trending" so cram that back up your ass with the fake numbers you pulled out of it, then put a cork on it.

 

[Pogo]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

nope. current running totals says the mortality rate right now is 320- million people with 600 deaths. first thirty days. one can't make a conclusion on next steps without it. that's the first thirty day rate. the next thirty days will be benchmarked against the first thirty days. that's how one create trend lines. and adjust. you all are fking stupid. hly shit.

funny, you all don't have a problem with climate and global warming trending. you still all hide the data. too fking funny.

Pull New York and New Jersey out and it moves the decimal moves even more.

The math has been debunked but where have I heard this before?

"Take California out of the count and Rump won the popular vote"

"Take out those 75 points we gave up in the third quarter and we coulda won the game".

"If only I had a time machine to go back a hundred years and invest in AT&T".

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

Pull New York and New Jersey out and it moves the decimal moves even more.

Pull out the Earth, and there are zero cases.

 

[Pogo]

Here's one great piece of news. Maybe we can contain this in the near future:

Stay positive: Here are 23 pieces of good news regarding COVID-19
Christina Ausley, SeattlePI
Updated 10:16 am PDT, Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Stay positive: Here are 23 pieces of good news regarding COVID-19

While headlines continuously read distressing news regarding the novel coronavirus, we've...

www.sfgate.com

Excellent stuff. Favorite highlights:

1. Of about 80,000 people sick from COVID-19 in China, more than 70% have recovered
2. Scientists have figured out how the novel coronavirus breaks into human cells, which will help significantly in developing treatments
11. South Korea recoveries are starting to outnumber new infections
13. China has also closed its last coronavirus hospital, not enough new cases to support them
16. Apple, Starbucks reopening all stores in China
21. China has reported just one new domestic coronavirus infection for a second day in a row.
23. A 103-year-old Chinese grandmother has made a full recovery from COVID-19

 

[Flopper]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

Actually, that's what I've been saying all along.

Until you test everyone, you dont know. What we DO know is the mortality rate is MUCH LOWER than this figure, meaning it's time to get back to work!

There are currently 55,000 cases in the US today. New cases are increasing by 25% to 40% a day. Assuming only a 25% increase, there will be approximately 3.8 million cases by Easter with 49,000 deaths if the current rate of increase does not change and mortality rate is 1.3%. If the cases grow at the current rate, within 3 weeks our hospitals will be overflowing, similar to that in Italy which has a mortality rate of 10%.

If we are successful at isolating people then it could be a lot better. However, if we significantly decrease isolation, logic tells us it will be a lot worse.

I'm sure you and a lot of other people don't believe any this but consider this. On March 4th, just a little over 3 weeks ago there were 5700 cases and 35 deaths in half dozen states. If I had said in 3 weeks Covid 19 will be in every state, there will be 55,000 cases, 670 deaths, you certainly would not have believe it.

I think the reason why most people are slow to accept the growth rates in an epidemic is they think in terms of an arithmetic progression but epidemic growth is a geometric progression. This is also why it's so hard to get drastic action when there are only a few cases and it so critical we act.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

Actually, that's what I've been saying all along.

Until you test everyone, you dont know. What we DO know is the mortality rate is MUCH LOWER than this figure, meaning it's time to get back to work!

There are currently 55,000 cases in the US today. New cases are increasing by 25% to 40% a day. Assuming only a 25% increase, there will be approximately 3.8 million cases by Easter with 49,000 deaths if the current rate of increase does not change and mortality rate is 1.3%. If the cases grow at the current rate, within 3 weeks our hospitals will be overflowing, similar to that in Italy which has a mortality rate of 10%.

If we are successful at isolating people then it could be a lot better. However, if we significantly decrease isolation, logic tells us it will be a lot worse.

I'm sure you and a lot of other people don't believe any this but consider this. On March 4th, just a little over 3 weeks ago there were 5700 cases and 35 deaths in half dozen states. If I had said in 3 weeks Covid 19 will be in every state, there will be 55,000 cases, 670 deaths, you certainly would not have believe it.

Italy disputes the quoting of that rate stating that they don't test any but the most suspect of cases. Their health dept suspects there are many cases out there they know nothing about (and probably never will).

On our end, New York and New Jersey have 50% of our cases and 40% of our deaths. New York is exploding. If I ever get ambitious, I'll filter those numbers out and we can see how the rest of the country is doing. We had started to nose down....until Cuomo's group got sick.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Here's one great piece of news. Maybe we can contain this in the near future:

Stay positive: Here are 23 pieces of good news regarding COVID-19
Christina Ausley, SeattlePI
Updated 10:16 am PDT, Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Stay positive: Here are 23 pieces of good news regarding COVID-19

While headlines continuously read distressing news regarding the novel coronavirus, we've...

www.sfgate.com

Excellent stuff. Favorite highlights:

1. Of about 80,000 people sick from COVID-19 in China, more than 70% have recovered
2. Scientists have figured out how the novel coronavirus breaks into human cells, which will help significantly in developing treatments
11. South Korea recoveries are starting to outnumber new infections
13. China has also closed its last coronavirus hospital, not enough new cases to support them
16. Apple, Starbucks reopening all stores in China
21. China has reported just one new domestic coronavirus infection for a second day in a row.
23. A 103-year-old Chinese grandmother has made a full recovery from COVID-19

While I would hope all that is true, I don't trust the Fuckwad leadership of the Chinese.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Can we get a side by side scorecard of the flue and corona ?

I mean....it seems like we were losing 10,000 people a month to the flu.

And we are flipped out over 750 deaths (40% of which are in a very small area) ?

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

nope. current running totals says the mortality rate right now is 320- million people with 600 deaths. first thirty days. one can't make a conclusion on next steps without it. that's the first thirty day rate. the next thirty days will be benchmarked against the first thirty days. that's how one create trend lines. and adjust. you all are fking stupid. hly shit.

funny, you all don't have a problem with climate and global warming trending. you still all hide the data. too fking funny.

Pull New York and New Jersey out and it moves the decimal moves even more.

The math has been debunked but where have I heard this before?

"Take California out of the count and Rump won the popular vote"

"Take out those 75 points we gave up in the third quarter and we coulda won the game".

"If only I had a time machine to go back a hundred years and invest in AT&T".

What the fuck asshole ?

If you pulled a heavily weighted piece of the calculation out, the overall numbers are going to change.

Are you really that fucking stupid ?

Or are you disputing that they are 1/2 the cases and 40% of the deaths ?

Shit, 7 or 8 states have yet to record a fatality.

New York is posting a hundred a day.

 

[Pogo]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

nope. current running totals says the mortality rate right now is 320- million people with 600 deaths. first thirty days. one can't make a conclusion on next steps without it. that's the first thirty day rate. the next thirty days will be benchmarked against the first thirty days. that's how one create trend lines. and adjust. you all are fking stupid. hly shit.

funny, you all don't have a problem with climate and global warming trending. you still all hide the data. too fking funny.

Pull New York and New Jersey out and it moves the decimal moves even more.

The math has been debunked but where have I heard this before?

"Take California out of the count and Rump won the popular vote"

"Take out those 75 points we gave up in the third quarter and we coulda won the game".

"If only I had a time machine to go back a hundred years and invest in AT&T".

What the fuck asshole ?

If you pulled a heavily weighted piece of the calculation out, the overall numbers are going to change.

Are you really that fucking stupid ?

Or are you disputing that they are 1/2 the cases and 40% of the deaths ?

Shit, 7 or 8 states have yet to record a fatality.

New York is posting a hundred a day.

Because you CAN'T just pull out what you want to, dickhead. That's dishonest.

Do you have right brain damage?

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

nope. current running totals says the mortality rate right now is 320- million people with 600 deaths. first thirty days. one can't make a conclusion on next steps without it. that's the first thirty day rate. the next thirty days will be benchmarked against the first thirty days. that's how one create trend lines. and adjust. you all are fking stupid. hly shit.

funny, you all don't have a problem with climate and global warming trending. you still all hide the data. too fking funny.

Pull New York and New Jersey out and it moves the decimal moves even more.

The math has been debunked but where have I heard this before?

"Take California out of the count and Rump won the popular vote"

"Take out those 75 points we gave up in the third quarter and we coulda won the game".

"If only I had a time machine to go back a hundred years and invest in AT&T".

What the fuck asshole ?

If you pulled a heavily weighted piece of the calculation out, the overall numbers are going to change.

Are you really that fucking stupid ?

Or are you disputing that they are 1/2 the cases and 40% of the deaths ?

Shit, 7 or 8 states have yet to record a fatality.

New York is posting a hundred a day.

Because you CAN'T just pull out what you want to, dickhead. That's dishonest.

Do you have right brain damage?

You obviously don't have much experience with statistics.

 

[Pogo]

We are now less than four hundred cases away from leading the world, eclipsing Italy, in active CV cases.

Think the shit got real YET denialists?

Country, Other	Total Cases	New Cases	Total Deaths	New Deaths	Total Recovered	Active Cases	Serious, Critical	Tot Cases/ 1M pop	Tot Deaths/ 1M pop
China	81,218	+47	3,281	+4	73,650	4,287	1,399	56	2
Italy	69,176		6,820		8,326	54,030	3,393	1,144	113
USA	54,823		778		378	53,667	1,175	166	2
Spain	42,058		2,991		3,794	35,273	2,636	900	64
Germany	32,991		159		3,290	29,542	23	394	2
Iran	24,811		1,934		8,913	13,964		295	23
France	22,304		1,100		3,281	17,923	2,516	342	17
Switzerland	9,877		122		131	9,624	141	1,141	14
S. Korea	9,037		120		3,507	5,410	59	176	2
UK	8,077		422		135	7,520	20	119	6
Netherlands	5,560		276		2	5,282	435	324	16
Austria	5,283		28		9	5,246	22	587	3
Belgium	4,269		122		461	3,686	381	368	11
Norway	2,866		12		6	2,848	44	529	2
Canada	2,792		26		112	2,654	1	74	0.7
Portugal	2,362		33		22	2,307	48	232	3
Australia	2,317		8		118	2,191	11	91	0.3

 

[Pogo]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

nope. current running totals says the mortality rate right now is 320- million people with 600 deaths. first thirty days. one can't make a conclusion on next steps without it. that's the first thirty day rate. the next thirty days will be benchmarked against the first thirty days. that's how one create trend lines. and adjust. you all are fking stupid. hly shit.

funny, you all don't have a problem with climate and global warming trending. you still all hide the data. too fking funny.

Pull New York and New Jersey out and it moves the decimal moves even more.

The math has been debunked but where have I heard this before?

"Take California out of the count and Rump won the popular vote"

"Take out those 75 points we gave up in the third quarter and we coulda won the game".

"If only I had a time machine to go back a hundred years and invest in AT&T".

What the fuck asshole ?

If you pulled a heavily weighted piece of the calculation out, the overall numbers are going to change.

Are you really that fucking stupid ?

Or are you disputing that they are 1/2 the cases and 40% of the deaths ?

Shit, 7 or 8 states have yet to record a fatality.

New York is posting a hundred a day.

Because you CAN'T just pull out what you want to, dickhead. That's dishonest.

Do you have right brain damage?

You obviously don't have much experience with statistics.

You obviously don't have much experience having bullshit called out.

 

[Marion Morrison]

O my ChrisL came back. Man, she has some moxy. I don't care what anybody says, and, I've had problems for this. I like ChrisL. Do not care if she hides...blabla blabla blabla.
Ho, ok cupcakes. ChrisL been my homie on the internet for a long time
Maybe not 1996 long time, yet a long enough time to where I Admire her.

ChrisL don't put up with no garbage, baby, and I don't either.

She is the real deal.

I wouldn't get mad if she slapped the everlovin' BeJeezus out of Pogo.

That's a real woman, there.

 

[Carl in Michigan]

We are now less than four hundred cases away from leading the world, eclipsing Italy, in active CV cases.

Think the shit got real YET denialists?

Country, Other	Total Cases	New Cases	Total Deaths	New Deaths	Total Recovered	Active Cases	Serious, Critical	Tot Cases/ 1M pop	Tot Deaths/ 1M pop
China	81,218	+47	3,281	+4	73,650	4,287	1,399	56	2
Italy	69,176		6,820		8,326	54,030	3,393	1,144	113
USA	54,823		778		378	53,667	1,175	166	2
Spain	42,058		2,991		3,794	35,273	2,636	900	64
Germany	32,991		159		3,290	29,542	23	394	2
Iran	24,811		1,934		8,913	13,964		295	23
France	22,304		1,100		3,281	17,923	2,516	342	17
Switzerland	9,877		122		131	9,624	141	1,141	14
S. Korea	9,037		120		3,507	5,410	59	176	2
UK	8,077		422		135	7,520	20	119	6
Netherlands	5,560		276		2	5,282	435	324	16
Austria	5,283		28		9	5,246	22	587	3
Belgium	4,269		122		461	3,686	381	368	11
Norway	2,866		12		6	2,848	44	529	2
Canada	2,792		26		112	2,654	1	74	0.7
Portugal	2,362		33		22	2,307	48	232	3
Australia	2,317		8		118	2,191	11	91	0.3

We have more than 5 times Italy's population

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Michigan now at 1800 known cases with 24 deaths. Mortality rate = 1.3%

You can't calculate a mortality rate from those two figures.
Not until all known cases have resolved.

nope. current running totals says the mortality rate right now is 320- million people with 600 deaths. first thirty days. one can't make a conclusion on next steps without it. that's the first thirty day rate. the next thirty days will be benchmarked against the first thirty days. that's how one create trend lines. and adjust. you all are fking stupid. hly shit.

funny, you all don't have a problem with climate and global warming trending. you still all hide the data. too fking funny.

Pull New York and New Jersey out and it moves the decimal moves even more.

The math has been debunked but where have I heard this before?

"Take California out of the count and Rump won the popular vote"

"Take out those 75 points we gave up in the third quarter and we coulda won the game".

"If only I had a time machine to go back a hundred years and invest in AT&T".

What the fuck asshole ?

If you pulled a heavily weighted piece of the calculation out, the overall numbers are going to change.

Are you really that fucking stupid ?

Or are you disputing that they are 1/2 the cases and 40% of the deaths ?

Shit, 7 or 8 states have yet to record a fatality.

New York is posting a hundred a day.

Because you CAN'T just pull out what you want to, dickhead. That's dishonest.

Do you have right brain damage?

You obviously don't have much experience with statistics.

You obviously don't have much experience having bullshit called out.

I'll take that as an admission that my earlier claim is true.

In any analysis you would look for concentrations or anomalies.

You would pull those out and do a separate analysis. You don't throw the first away. But it gives you a better perspective.

It also forces you to think about additional variables.

Oh, wait...why am I explaining this to you.

You don't know shit.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

We are now less than four hundred cases away from leading the world, eclipsing Italy, in active CV cases.

Think the shit got real YET denialists?

Country, Other	Total Cases	New Cases	Total Deaths	New Deaths	Total Recovered	Active Cases	Serious, Critical	Tot Cases/ 1M pop	Tot Deaths/ 1M pop
China	81,218	+47	3,281	+4	73,650	4,287	1,399	56	2
Italy	69,176		6,820		8,326	54,030	3,393	1,144	113
USA	54,823		778		378	53,667	1,175	166	2
Spain	42,058		2,991		3,794	35,273	2,636	900	64
Germany	32,991		159		3,290	29,542	23	394	2
Iran	24,811		1,934		8,913	13,964		295	23
France	22,304		1,100		3,281	17,923	2,516	342	17
Switzerland	9,877		122		131	9,624	141	1,141	14
S. Korea	9,037		120		3,507	5,410	59	176	2
UK	8,077		422		135	7,520	20	119	6
Netherlands	5,560		276		2	5,282	435	324	16
Austria	5,283		28		9	5,246	22	587	3
Belgium	4,269		122		461	3,686	381	368	11
Norway	2,866		12		6	2,848	44	529	2
Canada	2,792		26		112	2,654	1	74	0.7
Portugal	2,362		33		22	2,307	48	232	3
Australia	2,317		8		118	2,191	11	91	0.3

Look who sitting at the top. Go down about 25 and see who probably doesn't know what shit you are talking about.

USA State	Total Cases	New Cases	Total Deaths	New Deaths	Active Cases
New York	26,348	+5,473	271	+114	25,969
New Jersey	3,675	+831	44	+17	3,631
California	2,566	+433	51	+11	2,507
Washington	2,469	+248	123	+13	2,222
Michigan	1,791	+463	24	+9	1,767
Illinois	1,535	+250	16	+4	1,517
Florida	1,467	+240	20	+2	1,447
Louisiana	1,388	+216	46	+11	1,342
Massachusetts	1,159	+382	11	+2	1,147
Georgia	1,097	+294	38	+12	1,059
Texas	1,048	+242	12	+3	1,025
Colorado	912	+192	11	+4	901
Pennsylvania	851	+207	7	+1	844
Tennessee	773	+158	2		771
Connecticut	618	+203	12	+2	606
Ohio	564	+122	8	+2	556
North Carolina	498	+88			498
Wisconsin	457	+41	5		451
Indiana	365	+106	12	+5	353
Maryland	349	+61	4	+1	341
South Carolina	342	+43	5		337
Arizona	326	+92	5	+3	318
Mississippi	320	+71	1		319
Utah	298	+41	1		297
Virginia	290	+36	7		281
Nevada	278	+33	4		274
Missouri	270	+74	8	+3	260
Minnesota	262	+27	1		173
Alabama	242	+46			242
Arkansas	232	+35	2	+2	220
Oregon	209	+18	5		204
District of Columbia	183	+46	2		181
Kentucky	157	+33	4		151
Iowa	124	+19			124
Rhode Island	124	+18			124
Maine	118	+11			115
New Hampshire	108	+7	1		107
Oklahoma	106	+25	3	+1	102
Delaware	104	+36			104
New Mexico	100	+17			100
Kansas	98	+16	2		96
Vermont	95	+20	7	+2	88
Hawaii	90	+13	1	+1	89
Idaho	81	+34			81
Nebraska	61	+11			61
Montana	46	+1			46
Alaska	36	+4			36
North Dakota	34	+2			34
South Dakota	30	+2	1		21
Wyoming	30	+4			30
West Virginia	20	+4			20
Diamond Princess Cruise	49				49
Grand Princess Cruise	30		1		29
Total:	54,823	11,089	778	225	53,667

Total Coronavirus Cases in the United States