- Banned
- #1,001
We will start paying down your debt when there is a job for everyone, just like Clinton did.
If Clinton balanced the budget, then why did the national debt go up every year he was in office?
You have to give them, Congress and Clinton, props for the effort though Kaz. And depending on whose charts and graphs you look at, the debt clock did almost stop when we were running surplusses for the first time, WAY ahead of schedule by the way than expected--see that montage of Clinton comments on the budget I posted a few posts ago.
But you are correct that to say that those surpluses were real surpluses does require a few smoke and mirror techniques.
The Clinton era surplus numbers look something like this:
1998 - $69.2 billion surplus
1999 - $125.6 billion surplus
2000 - $236.4 billion surplus
2001 - $127.3 billion surplus
Let's take one year to focus on - 2000. The "official" surplus number for that year was $236.4 billion. So the national debt must have declined that year, right?
Wrong.
Let's take a look at the numbers.
The total national debt on October 1st, 1999 was:
$5,540,570,493,226.32
The total national debt on September 30th, 2000 was:
$5,656,270,901,633.43
That's an INCREASE of over $100 billion, despite the fact that the country posted a surplus.
So what gives?
There are two things that happened here:
1) The "on-budget" surplus was actually much smaller than the number that included both the "on-budget" and "off-budget" numbers, which is the number that is widely reported by the media.
2) Any excess revenues from the Social Security trust funds are automatically invested in government-issued debt:
"Federal law requires that all excess funds be invested in interest-bearing securities backed by the full faith and credit of the United States."
Why Did The National Debt Go Up During The Clinton Surplus Years?
In 2001, the CBO told Bush, that if he continued Clinton's fiscal policies, the entire debt would be paid off by 2006. In fact it was a concern because so much of the rest of the world invests in US Treasuries, which would no longer exist. In addition, they said that by 2011, we'd have a surplus of over $2,000,000,000,000.
He ignored that advice. That's why his true cost to us is the $17,000,000,000,000 that is from his unpaid bills plus the cost of recovery from his damages plus the $2,000,000,000,000 in surplus that we would have had if he had followed the CBO's advice.
A nearly $20T swing.