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Now, a new analysis published this week in PLOS Currents: Outbreaks has shed some light on the possibility of Ebola traveling outside of West Africa.
Using WHO data, researchers simulated potential situations where Ebola could spread to other countries by studying air traffic patterns and mobility between infected and non-infected countries. They ran simulations on two dates, Sept. 1 and Sept. 22. Their predictions show a sharp increase in the probability of another country getting infected. At the beginning of the month, the U.S. had only a five percent chance of importing an outbreak. By the 22nd, the probability jumps up to 18 percent. (Video via Voice of America)
"What is happening in West Africa is going to get here. We can't escape that at this point. ... Sooner or later, they will arrive," Alessandro Vespignani, the study's author, told NPR.
Now, there are a couple of important caveats to the researchers' findings. For one thing, an Ebola case reaching a developed country with an efficient healthcare system probably won't cause the mass epidemic levels we've seen in Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone. What's more, the numbers come with a pretty high probability range, so while the U.S. could have a 18 percent infection risk at the end of the month, that number could also be as low as 1 percent. Contrast that with the U.K., which has an infection risk of 25-28 percent by the end of the month.
Wow.
I hope it doesn't turn us all into zombies
And of course this is Bushes fault and anyone that thinks blacks are somehow spreading this disease via incompetence are racists. /s
And of course this is Bushes fault and anyone that thinks blacks are somehow spreading this disease via incompetence are racists. /s
Racist yes but more to the point, they're stupid.
Bubonic plague aka "The Black Death" which devastated medieval Europe on the other hand is here in the US today and killing Americans every year.
I thought the plagued was defeated long time ago and one could meet it in some research laboratories only.
OP, you need to change your name to Chicken Little.
Don't touch someone infected you have nothing to worry about.
.
And of course this is Bushes fault and anyone that thinks blacks are somehow spreading this disease via incompetence are racists. /s
Racist yes but more to the point, they're stupid.
Says a thread-hijacking retard.
Does the OP read his own links?
Does the OP read his own links?
jimbowie1958 said:Yes, so what is your fucking point, or are you sober enough to state what it is?
lol, these libtard tricks are so predictable. Dumbass here makes a vague statement suggesting that I didn't readmy own post, like libtards do all the time, and I am automatically supposed to go searching through my onw post, wondering what the fuck he is referring to, roflamo.
Does the OP read his own links?
jimbowie1958 said:Yes, so what is your fucking point, or are you sober enough to state what it is?
lol, these libtard tricks are so predictable. Dumbass here makes a vague statement suggesting that I didn't readmy own post, like libtards do all the time, and I am automatically supposed to go searching through my onw post, wondering what the fuck he is referring to, roflamo.
Personally, I think they're more like ticks than tricks, myself.
And of course this is Bushes fault and anyone that thinks blacks are somehow spreading this disease via incompetence are racists. /s
Study simulates likelihood of Ebola spread www.ajc.com
And of course this is Bushes fault and anyone that thinks blacks are somehow spreading this disease via incompetence are racists. /s
Study simulates likelihood of Ebola spread www.ajc.com
Does the OP read his own links?
Yes, so what is your fucking point, or are you sober enough to state what it is?
lol, these libtard tricks are so predictable. Dumbass here makes a vague statement suggesting that I didn't readmy own post, like libtards do all the time, and I am automatically supposed to go searching through my onw post, wondering what the fuck he is referring to, roflamo.
