Brain357
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- Mar 30, 2013
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Yes we don't actually know how many there are. The NCVS says 108,000 per year which I think is the most accurate. Most gun surveys are tiny(5,000 or fewer surveyed) and filled with false positives. The NCVS study involves 90k households. There simply isn't any real world facts to support the huge numbers. You can't believe there are 800,000 DGUs a year, but only 230 criminals shot and killed in defense? Only about 50 make the news even though guns and crime make great stories?
The 1993 NCVS number is acknowledged by almost all researchers as understating the true number of DGU's because the participants in the study are never directly asked whether they used a gun for self-protection.
"Philip Cook, the director of Duke University's public policy institute, has examined the data behind the 108,000 and the 2.5 million figures and suspects the truth lies somewhere in between. "Many of the basic statistics about guns are in wide disagreement with each other depending on which source you go to," says Cook, a member of the apolitical National Consortium on Violence Research. "That's been a real puzzle to people who are trying to understand what's going on."
As I said, most researchers believe the actual number is at least 500,000 per year.
Well look at the facts we know. Only about 230 criminals killed in defense each year. Only about 50 defenses makes the news each year. People who have had a DGU are rare, I don't know anyone.
The NCVS asks about crime which is what you need to have a DGU. And it does ask what happened very clearly so DGUs would be noted.
Most people don't want to kill other people. The reason why there are so few DGU with fatalities I because people are nice and don't just shoot people because they can.
On this very board there are people who can't wait to shoot a criminal. Certainly what you are saying is true for many people. To believe there are 2 million defenses each year you'd have to believe a criminal is shot and killed one out of every 8700 defenses. People just aren't that nice. Keep in mind that 500 people are accidently shot and killed each year.
Yeah? So? They're in the minority and further, they are anonymous posters who could just as likely be lying to you.
Here are the results of an actual study on the subject:
At least one assailant was killed in 34% of all incidents. At least one assailant
was wounded in an additional 29% of all incidents. Of the incidents where shots are fired by a defender,
at least one assailant is killed in 53% of those incidents.
https://tacticalprofessor.files.wordpress.com/2014/12/tac-5-year-w-tables.pdf