JimBowie1958
Old Fogey
- Sep 25, 2011
- 63,590
- 16,772
- Thread starter
- #21
Who predicted that Trump would lose the popular vote by a substantial margin and still manage to win the electoral vote?
Who cares about the popular vote? That isn't the agreed upon game.
It was easy to predict. You knew she was going was going to win New York and California plus a couple of north east states. That is the popular vote right there. A bunch of people who vote for anything with a D next to their name.
Look at the DNC convention. Trump hadmore supporters than Hillary. At her own convention. This election one to predict since 96:
Hillary lost two primaries + the most passion she was ever able to dumb up is I don't hate her + the anti establishment anger in both parties= Trump win.
lol, who cares about the popular vote? The OP, since he listed as one of the correct predictors of the election as the LA Times poll
Just because they predicted the election doesn't mean they predicted the popular vote.
The LA Times poll had Trump winning the popular vote by 4 points, which translates into getting it wrong by 6 points.
That is not an expert prediction. That is a bad poll.
A bad poll beat out the "expert prediction" in the press.
There are some that predicted the popular vote for Trump, but that doesn't mean they all did.
It was the state by state polling that was horrendously off. Trump easily won Michigan and Wisconsin and Ohio and yet they were 'toss up' states on election eve, as was Florida and North Carolina.
The state polling sucked. The national polls were likely off as well because there was no effort to keep the illegals out of the vote in the blue states.