13% of the population.
........the Dems can's take a chance on losing the black constituency....so, here we are.
They're pretty much saddled with this donkey.
"...what would happen if a smaller percentage of blacks turned out:
- At 90 percent black turn-out, Wisconsin’s 10 electoral votes slide into the GOP column.
- At 75 percent black turn-out, Pennsylvania’s 21 electoral votes go Republican.
- At 70 percent Michigan’s 17 electoral votes turn from blue to red.
- At 50 percent the GOP collects Delawre’s three electoral votes.
I don’t know what a realistic number to project is for the effects of angry black apathy, but I’ll stop at 50 percent. It may be that going as low as 75 percent is unrealistic. Most likely it’s impossible to say. (And this doesn’t take into account things like congressional districts where black voters make the margin of difference.)"
Do Democrats need the black vote? | RobertEmmet
But what exactly would that mean? In how many states do black voters make the difference? I ran some rough numbers over at Robert Emmet -- check them out. Depending on how much of a drop-off you assume, it could cost the Democrats 10 to 76 electoral votes.
![www.huffingtonpost.com](https://img.huffingtonpost.com/asset/default-entry.jpg?ops=1200_630)
The Democrats and the Black Vote
Were the superdelegates to nominate Clinton, despite Obama gaining a plurality among the pledged delegates, they would run the risk of alienating black voters in November.
Democrats are heavily dependent on the black vote. That’s an opportunity for the GOP.
The black vote has become important enough to the Democratic party that a small drop in support could make a big difference.
in the 1992 election, 13 percent of the Democratic vote came from black voters. In 2014, it was 23 percent.
That's the overall trend. On a state-by-state basis -- which is much more important in presidential politics -- it's more complex.
If there'd been a one-point swing from Obama to McCain in North Carolina in 2008, McCain would have won the state. And if the black vote in Florida and Ohio in 2012 had been as strong for the Republicans as it was in 2004 -- in the pre-Obama era -- Romney would have won both." https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...-black-vote-thats-an-opportunity-for-the-gop/