2014 US Senate predictions

[birddog]

Would be nice to see Obama campaign for as many Democrats as possible.

Kissing each one on both cheeks (OK, all four....) as he departs the stage.

Whaddya suppose those Democrat candidates might call that special kiss???

You are still operating under the assumption that Obama is not popular, even though he won re-election by a landslide right after the last time you were convinced he was unpopular.

Since his lies about Benghazi and Obamacare have been exposed even in the MSM, he would not win the election if it was held now. It's sad we have to have such a fraudulent liar for President!

 

[HenryBHough]

Since his lies about Benghazi and Obamacare have been exposed even in the MSM, he would not win the election if it was held now. It's sad we have to have such a fraudulent liar for President!

It WAS sad.

Now, on His better days, it's just delightfully amusing.

 

[Synthaholic]

Would be nice to see Obama campaign for as many Democrats as possible.

Kissing each one on both cheeks (OK, all four....) as he departs the stage.

Whaddya suppose those Democrat candidates might call that special kiss???

You are still operating under the assumption that Obama is not popular, even though he won re-election by a landslide right after the last time you were convinced he was unpopular.

This election clearly has the Dems more at risk of losing seats. They also have a POTUS who is unpopular to boot.........

See what I mean, folks?

 

[eagle1462010]

Would be nice to see Obama campaign for as many Democrats as possible.

Kissing each one on both cheeks (OK, all four....) as he departs the stage.

Whaddya suppose those Democrat candidates might call that special kiss???

You are still operating under the assumption that Obama is not popular, even though he won re-election by a landslide right after the last time you were convinced he was unpopular.

This election clearly has the Dems more at risk of losing seats. They also have a POTUS who is unpopular to boot.........

See what I mean, folks?

LOL

I guess you ignore the polls on his so called popularity.

Like your side cherry picks the great success of Obamacare.........

Take your medicine next election. The ACA says it's good for you.

 

[HenryBHough]

ACA won't help Republicans if people aren't constantly reminded that it's OBAMACARE. Let that ACA stuff get traction and the libs will then blame it on Bush.

 

[RandomVariable]

Would be nice to see Obama campaign for as many Democrats as possible.

Kissing each one on both cheeks (OK, all four....) as he departs the stage.

Whaddya suppose those Democrat candidates might call that special kiss???

You are still operating under the assumption that Obama is not popular, even though he won re-election by a landslide right after the last time you were convinced he was unpopular.

It is like they can see the future. Right up until just before the end where that little twist of events brings everything crashing down around them. Go ahead righties, run on unpopular Obama and Obamacare. I am going to squint as that train wreck of strategy of yours comes into the station.

 

[eagle1462010]

Would be nice to see Obama campaign for as many Democrats as possible.

Kissing each one on both cheeks (OK, all four....) as he departs the stage.

Whaddya suppose those Democrat candidates might call that special kiss???

You are still operating under the assumption that Obama is not popular, even though he won re-election by a landslide right after the last time you were convinced he was unpopular.

It is like they can see the future. Right up until just before the end where that little twist of events brings everything crashing down around them. Go ahead righties, run on unpopular Obama and Obamacare. I am going to squint as that train wreck of strategy of yours comes into the station.

Or Squirm when your bad karma bites you in the butt............

 

[candycorn]

It should be a landslide for the Republicans! There is a good chance of a 51-52 R senate, and the House will gain R seats. This should be obvious to anyone!

That is how I see it.

Then you are underestimating Obama and the Democrats. He learned from his mistake of not getting involved in the 2010 midterms. He just gave a speech talking about the need to engage and go on the offense this time.

Republicans have given Democrats all sorts of ammunition for the midterms, in every state, from Texans palling around with Ted Nugent, to Christie's corruption, to Scott Walker's corruption, to Rick Scott and his ilk denying health insurance to millions, to Snyder's bankruptcy of Detroit, to West Virginia's Republican deregulation resulting in chemically tainted water, to North Carolina's disenfranchisement of voters, and their governor being in bed with the corporation that just polluted their water.

The list goes on and on. The campaign ads write themselves.

I'd be pleased as punch if I'm wrong.

 

[candycorn]

Then you are underestimating Obama and the Democrats. He learned from his mistake of not getting involved in the 2010 midterms. He just gave a speech talking about the need to engage and go on the offense this time.

Republicans have given Democrats all sorts of ammunition for the midterms, in every state, from Texans palling around with Ted Nugent, to Christie's corruption, to Scott Walker's corruption, to Rick Scott and his ilk denying health insurance to millions, to Snyder's bankruptcy of Detroit, to West Virginia's Republican deregulation resulting in chemically tainted water, to North Carolina's disenfranchisement of voters, and their governor being in bed with the corporation that just polluted their water.

The list goes on and on. The campaign ads write themselves.

Even conceding all of your points, which I do not, the Ds still have to contend with:

A) Their world champion circular firing squad.

B) The D administration's continuing tap dancing over its own signature legislation.

If you look at the senate if not for non-Ds caucusing with the Ds Biden would not be able to leave the senate during any vote. So losing considerable numbers of senate seats to non-R parties like the Greens and socialists is a real possibility.

When was the last time the Socialists or the Greens won a Senate seat? I mean, besides never?

You can point out Bernie Sanders, but he caucuses with the Democrats. As would any Socialist or Green.

In the house the same possibility of primaries returning far more radical candidates in the primaries cannot be discounted.

In other words even if your predictions about the Rs were right that does not save you from a revolt on the left that will push independents into the arms of the Republicans.

How would a revolt on the Left convince Independents to vote against their own interests or vote for extremists on the Right?

Isn't it the current revolt on the Right that has pushed Independents into the arms of Democrats? Have they stopped that revolt and become sane and rational again? No.

It's not because of anything the Democrats are going to be doing...it's because of the public's sentiment to almost always vote against the party in the Oval during the 6th year of his administration. Not because of what the Dems would or would not be doing. Third parties have no bearing on it.

 

[Votto]

Dems hold Senate 51-49
Dems pick up 8 seats in the House
Dems pick up two Governorships

Things stay the same

Which is music to your ears. Just continue the status quo.

Over 100 years of progressivism and with only a 10% approval rating for Congress and they all keep getting elected anyway. Sounds about right to me.

Somehow I don't think it will take another 100 years to double the national debt though. I will give them 10 years to do it.

 

[RandomVariable]

You are still operating under the assumption that Obama is not popular, even though he won re-election by a landslide right after the last time you were convinced he was unpopular.

It is like they can see the future. Right up until just before the end where that little twist of events brings everything crashing down around them. Go ahead righties, run on unpopular Obama and Obamacare. I am going to squint as that train wreck of strategy of yours comes into the station.

Or Squirm when your bad karma bites you in the butt............

If this talk is from Senators and Representatives not falling over themselves to be seen with the President and vise versa I would think with all the Constitutionalists around here it would be known that separation of powers came before separation of parties. Although there were only a few short years between the two.

 

[Hoosier4Liberty]

It is like they can see the future. Right up until just before the end where that little twist of events brings everything crashing down around them. Go ahead righties, run on unpopular Obama and Obamacare. I am going to squint as that train wreck of strategy of yours comes into the station.

Or Squirm when your bad karma bites you in the butt............

If this talk is from Senators and Representatives not falling over themselves to be seen with the President and vise versa I would think with all the Constitutionalists around here it would be known that separation of powers came before separation of parties. Although there were only a few short years between the two.

While I admired Washington's convictions, political parties are inevitable when there's disagreement.

Look. President Obama's policies have been disastrous. Failed stimulus, $1 trillion healthcare law, NSA, IRS, AP, Fast and Furious, Benghazi, high unemployment, increasing poverty, and stagnant wages. It's unacceptable.

 

[RandomVariable]

Or Squirm when your bad karma bites you in the butt............

If this talk is from Senators and Representatives not falling over themselves to be seen with the President and vise versa I would think with all the Constitutionalists around here it would be known that separation of powers came before separation of parties. Although there were only a few short years between the two.

While I admired Washington's convictions, political parties are inevitable when there's disagreement.

Look. President Obama's policies have been disastrous. Failed stimulus, $1 trillion healthcare law, NSA, IRS, AP, Fast and Furious, Benghazi, high unemployment, increasing poverty, and stagnant wages. It's unacceptable.

What is is. The Democratic Congressmen and women and those running for office are individuals each with their unique merits. I think it best they say who they are on the stage alone before they start trying to show off who they are friends with.

 

[Shrimpbox]

While I know this is an intellectual exercise I am amazed how many people seem to be speaking with such authority. Will someone please resuscitate this thread after the elections.

The lesson I learned in the last election was that my perception of what was happening ended up having no relationship to the reality. In fl the vote was close to fifty fifty in the pres election which meant that every other person I met should have been an Obama supporter. But my experience was that 75 to 80 percent of the people I met professed to be against Obama. In traveling from ala. To s. Fla. To n. Carolina the bumper stickers on the interstates were four to one for Romney. Every small business person I talked to was anti obama . In my county which was overwhelmingly democratic Romney won the vote 60-40. So all I can conclude is that I don't know the people that voted for Obama and they don't know me. A troubling assessment about a truly divided country.

As far as the fl gov election we may have two of the weakest candidates on record. Scott who is known as skeletor Has alienated many state workers but may be able to patch up the snubs enough to win election vs crist. Crist, who is known as hypocrist, is the most pathetic ,spineless, and two faced politician in fl. He changes parties more than most people change underwear and his only motivation is to hold political office. Trying to call this election at this point is a fools errand.

 

[william the wie]

While I know this is an intellectual exercise I am amazed how many people seem to be speaking with such authority. Will someone please resuscitate this thread after the elections.

The lesson I learned in the last election was that my perception of what was happening ended up having no relationship to the reality. In fl the vote was close to fifty fifty in the pres election which meant that every other person I met should have been an Obama supporter. But my experience was that 75 to 80 percent of the people I met professed to be against Obama. In traveling from ala. To s. Fla. To n. Carolina the bumper stickers on the interstates were four to one for Romney. Every small business person I talked to was anti obama . In my county which was overwhelmingly democratic Romney won the vote 60-40. So all I can conclude is that I don't know the people that voted for Obama and they don't know me. A troubling assessment about a truly divided country.

As far as the fl gov election we may have two of the weakest candidates on record. Scott who is known as skeletor Has alienated many state workers but may be able to patch up the snubs enough to win election vs crist. Crist, who is known as hypocrist, is the most pathetic ,spineless, and two faced politician in fl. He changes parties more than most people change underwear and his only motivation is to hold political office. Trying to call this election at this point is a fools errand.

True.

 

[Hoosier4Liberty]

While I know this is an intellectual exercise I am amazed how many people seem to be speaking with such authority. Will someone please resuscitate this thread after the elections.

The lesson I learned in the last election was that my perception of what was happening ended up having no relationship to the reality. In fl the vote was close to fifty fifty in the pres election which meant that every other person I met should have been an Obama supporter. But my experience was that 75 to 80 percent of the people I met professed to be against Obama. In traveling from ala. To s. Fla. To n. Carolina the bumper stickers on the interstates were four to one for Romney. Every small business person I talked to was anti obama . In my county which was overwhelmingly democratic Romney won the vote 60-40. So all I can conclude is that I don't know the people that voted for Obama and they don't know me. A troubling assessment about a truly divided country.

As far as the fl gov election we may have two of the weakest candidates on record. Scott who is known as skeletor Has alienated many state workers but may be able to patch up the snubs enough to win election vs crist. Crist, who is known as hypocrist, is the most pathetic ,spineless, and two faced politician in fl. He changes parties more than most people change underwear and his only motivation is to hold political office. Trying to call this election at this point is a fools errand.

True.

Indeed. Bring it on!

 

[Nyvin]

Or Squirm when your bad karma bites you in the butt............

If this talk is from Senators and Representatives not falling over themselves to be seen with the President and vise versa I would think with all the Constitutionalists around here it would be known that separation of powers came before separation of parties. Although there were only a few short years between the two.

While I admired Washington's convictions, political parties are inevitable when there's disagreement.

Look. President Obama's policies have been disastrous. Failed stimulus, $1 trillion healthcare law, NSA, IRS, AP, Fast and Furious, Benghazi, high unemployment, increasing poverty, and stagnant wages. It's unacceptable.

The poverty rate has been going down since 2011, the "end" of the recession or at least the closest thing to an end so far.

NSA, IRS, Benghazi, and Fast and Furious are not Policies...they're goofy conspiracy theories that have not resulted in any official charges other then some lowbie IRS officials.

"failed" stimulus??? Can you tell me exactly what would've happened if the stimulus wasn't put into play? We would most likely be in a severe depression.

As for stagnant wages, he supports raising the minimum wage, and wages have been stagnant for the past 25 years at least.

The healthcare law can't be called off as failed, it probably will have problems...it's national healthcare reform afterall...but certainly will have many positive effects and good things worth keeping.

Some of the failed policies in my opinion would be extending the Bush tax cuts back in 2010, and possibly some fault on the enactment of the sequestration.

 

[Hoosier4Liberty]

If this talk is from Senators and Representatives not falling over themselves to be seen with the President and vise versa I would think with all the Constitutionalists around here it would be known that separation of powers came before separation of parties. Although there were only a few short years between the two.

While I admired Washington's convictions, political parties are inevitable when there's disagreement.

Look. President Obama's policies have been disastrous. Failed stimulus, $1 trillion healthcare law, NSA, IRS, AP, Fast and Furious, Benghazi, high unemployment, increasing poverty, and stagnant wages. It's unacceptable.

The poverty rate has been going down since 2011, the "end" of the recession or at least the closest thing to an end so far.

NSA, IRS, Benghazi, and Fast and Furious are not Policies...they're goofy conspiracy theories that have not resulted in any official charges other then some lowbie IRS officials.

"failed" stimulus??? Can you tell me exactly what would've happened if the stimulus wasn't put into play? We would most likely be in a severe depression.

As for stagnant wages, he supports raising the minimum wage, and wages have been stagnant for the past 25 years at least.

The healthcare law can't be called off as failed, it probably will have problems...it's national healthcare reform afterall...but certainly will have many positive effects and good things worth keeping.

Some of the failed policies in my opinion would be extending the Bush tax cuts back in 2010, and possibly some fault on the enactment of the sequestration.

The stimulus promised unemployment would be 5% now......it sure isn't. The healthcare law was rammed through with few reading it and the majority of Americans want to repeal it. Scandals are scandals, whether you like it or not. And wages grew under Reagan and fell under Obama.

 

[Nyvin]

While I admired Washington's convictions, political parties are inevitable when there's disagreement.

Look. President Obama's policies have been disastrous. Failed stimulus, $1 trillion healthcare law, NSA, IRS, AP, Fast and Furious, Benghazi, high unemployment, increasing poverty, and stagnant wages. It's unacceptable.

The poverty rate has been going down since 2011, the "end" of the recession or at least the closest thing to an end so far.

NSA, IRS, Benghazi, and Fast and Furious are not Policies...they're goofy conspiracy theories that have not resulted in any official charges other then some lowbie IRS officials.

"failed" stimulus??? Can you tell me exactly what would've happened if the stimulus wasn't put into play? We would most likely be in a severe depression.

As for stagnant wages, he supports raising the minimum wage, and wages have been stagnant for the past 25 years at least.

The healthcare law can't be called off as failed, it probably will have problems...it's national healthcare reform afterall...but certainly will have many positive effects and good things worth keeping.

Some of the failed policies in my opinion would be extending the Bush tax cuts back in 2010, and possibly some fault on the enactment of the sequestration.

The stimulus promised unemployment would be 5% now......it sure isn't. The healthcare law was rammed through with few reading it and the majority of Americans want to repeal it. Scandals are scandals, whether you like it or not. And wages grew under Reagan and fell under Obama.

Scandals that are unproven and have no legal charges behind them are looney conspiracy theories...especially fast and furious...the fact that you even mention that joke shows you believe in goofy conspiracy theories. Have you ever heard of the guy that started that story? He's a nutjob, plain and simple.

I don't remember President Bush saying that unemployment would be 5% from passing the stimulus when he first proposed it in 2008.

Healthcare reform of some kind was desperately needed and just repealing it and going back to the mess we had before is idiotic. Fix the broken parts, keep the good. Repealing the whole thing at this point is a pipe dream.

 

[candycorn]

Dems hold Senate 51-49
Dems pick up 8 seats in the House
Dems pick up two Governorships

Things stay the same

Have you studied it closely enough to determine which seats the Dems lose?
I hope you're right.