Bombur
VIP Member
- Jan 9, 2014
- 1,812
- 117
Are you suggesting Congress control monetary policy directly or that the Fed Reserve have more power to control the creation and destruction of currency?
Here's my point: the Treasury doesn't "borrow" from the Federal Reserve in any real sense of the word or what out leaders and media pundits imply. They seem to imply that the FED has some source of $$$$ not available to the Treasury, and that the Federal Reserve lends $$$$ to the Treasury at some market price or something. This is utterly crazy talk. All the FED does is provide a monetary basis for Treasury's fiscal policy.
Either way the people making those decisions is not really the issue and neither is the accounting. I have never argued with your assessment of the accounting btw, I just find the analysis immaterial.
If you found the accounting logic sound, why would you say the federal government has to borrow its own fiat?
In the end you still have a formula with dependent variables. The capacity to issue currency is dependent on inflation. IMO you are essentially trying to merge this variable with the borrowing and taxation variables in an attempt to establish that if there is capacity to issue more currency there is capacity to increase borrowing or decrease taxation. Alternatively I would consider the two as being segregated as the decision to issue more currency should be largely based on inflationary implications and taxation/spending/borrowing should be based on cost benefit analysis.
Inflationary conditions change and the impact of borrowing yesterday has most certainly impacted our spending today.
Spending is only a political decision.
For example, from a macroeconomic perspective, the federal government should base its spending and taxing decisions to ensure that total net spending in the overall economy is enough to produce a sufficient level of real output at which any and all firms employ any and all available labor. Logically, in my opinion, budgets should revolve around this goal.
I'm NOT saying deficits don't matter as some have tried to imply. Yes, only risk is inflation, not insolvency, as many of this board don't seem to understand no matter how many times I walk them through it. With that being said, any type of OVERSPENDING can lead to inflation whether it's exports, consumption, investments, or government spending. Increased government spending isn't always the culprit.
I totally realize that budget deficits can become excessive and they can also be extremely deficient, such as is the case over the last eight years. Budget deficits can be too small or too large, the goal of the federal government should be to get them just right as to employ and and all productive capacity.
The Federal government's budget still has debt service payments. Describing the accounting doesn't negate that fact and it is those payments that ultimately matter.
The limiting factor on spending shouldn't really be inflation but cost benefit analysis. By combining inflationary implications (and to a certain extent employment) you distort the nature of that marginal analysis.
In other words when considering spending the marginal benefit of that spending should be compared to the cost of the marginal change in borrowing (or possibly taxation) as opposed to a marginal change in monetary policy. Monetary policy should essentially be considered first with taxation/borrowing considered last.