C_Clayton_Jones
Diamond Member
here's the problem the GOP.
Like most American Political parties, it is a coalition.
In this case, the combination of LIbertarians, Theocrats, Plutocrats, and Militarists.
The Militarist wing (or Neo-Cons) are declining. There's simply no taste for more war and adventurism right now.
The Libertarians are on the rise.
The Plutocrats took a thrubbing. The nomination of Romney was really the man behind the curtain being exposed, and it wasn't a pretty sight.
The Theocrats are the big question mark. Clearly, they are not going down without a fight. The Establishment has never been happy with them (note their throwing of 2008 rather than risk Huckabee getting the nomination.)
Now, all that said, I think the GOP will probably make a good showing in 2014 and that will give them confidence going into 2016.
The questions are-
1) Which wing becomes dominant in the next cycle.
2) Who do the Democrats nominate?
3) Will the Republican nominee be likable?
4) What the state of the economy will be?
True, they arent going away without a fight.
The Christian fundamentalist base is deeply rooted in the Southern stronghold, which dominates much of the Party. The social conservatives along with the quasi-libertarians and TPM anti-government extremists constitute much of the gerrymandered Congressional districts, where incumbents are kept in line with threats of being primaried.
Again, the prognosis is grim.