Litwin
Platinum Member
- Sep 3, 2017
- 36,815
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- #21
man, you are the king !I touched on this subject a while back. What got me thinking about it was the incredible variety of ammunition that Ukraine is using. I always freeze the videos and try to identify the exact munitions and how they are fused.
From the get-go, the US and other countries in the UDCG have been literally scouring the planet for 122mm and 152mm ammunition, and pulling old stocks from some really unlikely places.
I don't know how much stockpiles Russia began with, but they have been expending munitions at a pretty high rate, and the AFU has done a very good job when it comes to targeting the artillery logistics of the Russian side. A lot of Russian ammunition has been destroyed in the depots by the Ukrainian rocket artillery.
It seemed to me that when the Russians started looking for more ammo it might be hard to come by. Now we know- they have been getting artillery shells from North Korea for some time- well before the Iranian drones started appearing.
The Kalibr and Iskander inventory is said to be very low- around ~120 Iskander and only a few dozen remaining Kalibr. Those are both newer missiles, so the rate of production and the timeframe makes it easy to estimate the pre-war inventories. Until I have a good reason to think otherwise, I would say the estimates of remaining stocks are accurate, for that reason.
The 203 and 240mm shells are rare- I'm not sure anyone is producing them today (outside of maybe Russia). Whether or not Ukraine can actually make use of them depends on tube availability (since they are a little heavy to lift with an octocopter, lol).