Daybreak Poll - Donald Trump Widens Lead over Clinton

[Mac1958]

the polls of straight popular vote was actually not that far off. Unfortunately it never was a national popularity contest, it was 51 popularity contests.

So what good were the polls then? why pay any attention to them if the data is correct but the reasoning and methodology is irrelevant?

This is just a guess of course, but 2016 may have been a one-off. There was a theory that many people who were going to vote for Trump didn't admit it to pollsters, and if that was going to happen in any election in recent history, this was the one.

Polls aren't perfect historically, but they're pretty good. And really, it was the polls in the rust belt states that were mainly off, and that's how he won. That may have been reflected in the above theory.
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[Frankeneinstein]

the polls of straight popular vote was actually not that far off. Unfortunately it never was a national popularity contest, it was 51 popularity contests.

So what good were the polls then? why pay any attention to them if the data is correct but the reasoning and methodology is irrelevant?

This is just a guess of course, but 2016 may have been a one-off. There was a theory that many people who were going to vote for Trump didn't admit it to pollsters, and if that was going to happen in any election in recent history, this was the one.

Polls aren't perfect historically, but they're pretty good. And really, it was the polls in the rust belt states that were mainly off, and that's how he won. That may have been reflected in the above theory.
.

Good call, good post

 

[PoliticalChic]

Damn. You'll believe anything.

I see you and your fageral friends are still in denial!

You're the one that's in denial. Hillary's odds are 4-1 over Lyin' Don and she leads by 4.6 points nationally.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

So? How did that work out for you leftards?????


(snicker)

It is such a joy to re-read this thread....

In full disclosure....I never thought the career criminal, congenital liar, communist would lose.

 

[Frankeneinstein]

Damn. You'll believe anything.

I see you and your fageral friends are still in denial!

You're the one that's in denial. Hillary's odds are 4-1 over Lyin' Don and she leads by 4.6 points nationally.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

So? How did that work out for you leftards?????


(snicker)

It is such a joy to re-read this thread....

In full disclosure....I never thought the career criminal, congenital liar, communist would lose.

I could have wrote that post