Democrats nervous about up coming election...

No, they are just paranoid. They were SO SO shocked when the Orange clown beat the Bulldyke that they are guarding themselves against another shock. It’s human nature. But alas, they Dems will take the house and very likely gain seats in the senate. Sorry, they just will.

Based on what?

History.

United States midterm election - Wikipedia
Midterm elections are sometimes regarded as a referendum on the sitting president's and/or incumbent party's performance.[4][5] The party of the incumbent president tends to lose ground during midterm elections: over the past 21 midterm elections, the President's party has lost an average 30 seats in the House, and an average 4 seats in the Senate; moreover, in only two of those has the President's party gained seats in both houses.

History doesn't matter because Trump is President. History did not predict that, did it?
 

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