SavannahMann
Platinum Member
- Nov 16, 2016
- 14,540
- 6,816
Actually, Stacey Abrams stands a better than even chance at getting the win.
First, there are three people running for the GOP nomination. Current Governor Kemp, who is hated by the Trump camp, and thus unacceptable for the Trump Fanboys. Second is Purdue, who lost to Ossoff but is endorsed by Trump. Third is Vernon Jones. He endorsed Trump in 2020, and spoke at the RNC convention that year. So he’s a big Trump Supporter.
Now, if either Jones or Purdue win the nomination, they can claim to be Trump accolades and get the Trump Fanboy vote, but they’ll struggle to get the Conservative voters to turn out. Especially with the election of 2020 still being the issue argued amongst the GOP. If Kemp wins the nomination, then the Trump Fanboys won’t turn out in sufficient numbers to keep the seat Republican, why when Kemp has already shown he won’t overturn the results of an election in favor of Trump.
On the other side, you have Democrats who won big in 2020, taking both Senate Seats, and riding high from that.
If Purdue wins the nomination, expect his insider trading issues to be front and center. Yes, he can counter with the truth that he was cleared, but that is going to be weak considering how well he did in his trading portfolio as Senator, and imagine what he is going to accomplish when he controls the awards for contracts and all that sort of thing.
fortune.com
So Conservatives who didn’t turn out to support Purdue in 2020, won’t do so again in 2022. And Trump Fanboys who remain irrationally furious won’t turn out for Kemp who refused to stand up and say he was incompetent and incapable of running a fair election in Georgia.
On the other side, you have Democrats, who know they can win, and will be pushing turnout hard. Not only will they have people to drive others to the polls, but they’ll have people driving voters to the DMV to get Licenses and ID’s.
One of the solid voting blocks for the Republicans was the Boomers. But the Boomers are going to find it much harder to vote Absentee. I mentioned before, my Wife is handicapped, and has voted Republican absentee for nearly twenty years, travel is difficult, and painful, and she’s not alone. Her Drivers License is expired, because not only was the travel difficult, but why when she can’t operate a vehicle anyway.
So her voting absentee will be much more difficult and thanks to Challenges from the Republicans, probably just won’t happen. If the Republicans lose half of one percent of their voters that way, it sets up Abrams for a win.
And she didn’t lose by that much last time. She only lost by about fifty thousand votes.
Now, personally I don’t want to see Abrams be Governor. By the same token, I really don’t want to see Purdue either. Kemp is an ass, but he’s reasonably conservative. So he is the least revolting candidate.
Oh Vernon Jones. If he wins the Nomination, the fact that he was a Democrat for ten years before switching to Republican to endorse Trump will kill him in the election. Half of the Trump Fanboys won’t turn out for him because he is liable to end up being a closet Democrat, and he’s black, which they detest. And the Conservatives won’t turn out for him in nearly large enough numbers.
What Trump has done, is make it probable that the Democrats will win Georgia. We see again, that Trump is like a Crap Midas. Everything he touches, turns to shit. Bookmark this and see how my predictions turned out a year hence. FWIW, I was wrong when I said Hillary was going to win, I was wrong when I thought Trump would win in 2020 despite not voting for anyone that year. So it is entirely possible that I’m wrong now.
First, there are three people running for the GOP nomination. Current Governor Kemp, who is hated by the Trump camp, and thus unacceptable for the Trump Fanboys. Second is Purdue, who lost to Ossoff but is endorsed by Trump. Third is Vernon Jones. He endorsed Trump in 2020, and spoke at the RNC convention that year. So he’s a big Trump Supporter.
Now, if either Jones or Purdue win the nomination, they can claim to be Trump accolades and get the Trump Fanboy vote, but they’ll struggle to get the Conservative voters to turn out. Especially with the election of 2020 still being the issue argued amongst the GOP. If Kemp wins the nomination, then the Trump Fanboys won’t turn out in sufficient numbers to keep the seat Republican, why when Kemp has already shown he won’t overturn the results of an election in favor of Trump.
On the other side, you have Democrats who won big in 2020, taking both Senate Seats, and riding high from that.
If Purdue wins the nomination, expect his insider trading issues to be front and center. Yes, he can counter with the truth that he was cleared, but that is going to be weak considering how well he did in his trading portfolio as Senator, and imagine what he is going to accomplish when he controls the awards for contracts and all that sort of thing.
Sen. David Perdue’s suspicious stock success shows why members of Congress shouldn’t be allowed to trade individual stocks
Commentary: Sen. David Perdue was cleared of insider trading charges, but his stock success reveals problems with enforcement.
So Conservatives who didn’t turn out to support Purdue in 2020, won’t do so again in 2022. And Trump Fanboys who remain irrationally furious won’t turn out for Kemp who refused to stand up and say he was incompetent and incapable of running a fair election in Georgia.
On the other side, you have Democrats, who know they can win, and will be pushing turnout hard. Not only will they have people to drive others to the polls, but they’ll have people driving voters to the DMV to get Licenses and ID’s.
One of the solid voting blocks for the Republicans was the Boomers. But the Boomers are going to find it much harder to vote Absentee. I mentioned before, my Wife is handicapped, and has voted Republican absentee for nearly twenty years, travel is difficult, and painful, and she’s not alone. Her Drivers License is expired, because not only was the travel difficult, but why when she can’t operate a vehicle anyway.
So her voting absentee will be much more difficult and thanks to Challenges from the Republicans, probably just won’t happen. If the Republicans lose half of one percent of their voters that way, it sets up Abrams for a win.
And she didn’t lose by that much last time. She only lost by about fifty thousand votes.
Now, personally I don’t want to see Abrams be Governor. By the same token, I really don’t want to see Purdue either. Kemp is an ass, but he’s reasonably conservative. So he is the least revolting candidate.
Oh Vernon Jones. If he wins the Nomination, the fact that he was a Democrat for ten years before switching to Republican to endorse Trump will kill him in the election. Half of the Trump Fanboys won’t turn out for him because he is liable to end up being a closet Democrat, and he’s black, which they detest. And the Conservatives won’t turn out for him in nearly large enough numbers.
What Trump has done, is make it probable that the Democrats will win Georgia. We see again, that Trump is like a Crap Midas. Everything he touches, turns to shit. Bookmark this and see how my predictions turned out a year hence. FWIW, I was wrong when I said Hillary was going to win, I was wrong when I thought Trump would win in 2020 despite not voting for anyone that year. So it is entirely possible that I’m wrong now.
