JimBowie1958
Old Fogey
- Sep 25, 2011
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The general concensus that I am reading is that Cantor's stance on immigration reform did him in.
Already, news reports are speculating that immigration reform is dead this year.
Now, whether or not that is good for the GOP in the long run could be fun to talk about, but one thing is clear: the Tea Party is far from dead in 2014. McDaniel is very likely to win the MS Senatorial runoff on June 24th, so it appears to me that the GOP field for 2014 will indeed be tacking hard to the right.
I was thinking that Cantor could lose, but was surprised at the margin. When the final canvasses are in, I will compare the vote to the 2010 primaries to see how voter turnout shaped up, but in VA-07, it sure doesn't look like a low turnout got him. It looks a lot more like the hard-core extreme Right of his party came out in droves and voted him out, which is their good right.
I would say we have seen the first real surprise of 2014!
BTW, I would have also included a screenshot from redstatereport - but absolutely nothing was reported there.
Yes, the run off system allows for divided opposition to unite against an incumbent, which is why most don't have run offs, lol.
Cantor's immigration stance and his dirty backstabbing tactics is what made him vulnerable, not just the Tea Party, though they were the catalyst. The margin of 11% was a lot higher than I thought it would be (I live in Cantors district).
Cantor forgot that he worked for the PEOPLE of his district, a lesson I hope more incumbents learn in the near future.