Kondor3
Cafeteria Centrist
- Jul 29, 2009
- 33,841
- 9,857
If sarin nerve-gas was, indeed, used in the suburbs of Damascus, on August 21st...
At first glance, it seems far more likely that the Syrian Government used it, rather than the Rebels...
1. you need access to such weaponized chemicals
2. you need handling competency for such materials
3. you need activating competency for such materials
4. you need delivery systems adequate for dispersal
5. you need a motive for such an attack
My own initial thoughts on all that includes...
1. Unless those supporting the Rebels provided sarin gas from some non-Syrian source, it seems highly unlikely that the Rebels could get their hands on the stuff in the first place, and I can't think of a single foreign 'power' foolish enough to trust Rebels with sarin gas.
2. Unless there has been some defection from amongst the Syrian Army's chemical weapons -handling technical staff, it seems highly unlikely that the Rebels would have the expertise to transport and store and prepare such materials.
3. Unless there has been some defection from amongst the Syrian Army's chemical weapons -handling technical staff, it seems highly unlikely that the Rebels would have the expertise to load, prime (activate) and fire-off such materials via rocketry, and actually hit something.
4. I was not aware that any of the various and diverse Rebel factions possessed surface to surface rocket-launchers in sufficient quantity to execute a 'barrage' of special dispersal rockets armed with sarin gas.
5. The Rebels have more to lose by bombarding their own people with sarin gas than they stand to gain through some prospective and uncertain international intervention that benefits the Rebel cause(s).
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Doesn't mean I'm right about any of that, but that's what first comes to mind, when I see folks squabbling about who fired what...
At first glance, it seems far more likely that the Syrian Government used it, rather than the Rebels...
1. you need access to such weaponized chemicals
2. you need handling competency for such materials
3. you need activating competency for such materials
4. you need delivery systems adequate for dispersal
5. you need a motive for such an attack
My own initial thoughts on all that includes...
1. Unless those supporting the Rebels provided sarin gas from some non-Syrian source, it seems highly unlikely that the Rebels could get their hands on the stuff in the first place, and I can't think of a single foreign 'power' foolish enough to trust Rebels with sarin gas.
2. Unless there has been some defection from amongst the Syrian Army's chemical weapons -handling technical staff, it seems highly unlikely that the Rebels would have the expertise to transport and store and prepare such materials.
3. Unless there has been some defection from amongst the Syrian Army's chemical weapons -handling technical staff, it seems highly unlikely that the Rebels would have the expertise to load, prime (activate) and fire-off such materials via rocketry, and actually hit something.
4. I was not aware that any of the various and diverse Rebel factions possessed surface to surface rocket-launchers in sufficient quantity to execute a 'barrage' of special dispersal rockets armed with sarin gas.
5. The Rebels have more to lose by bombarding their own people with sarin gas than they stand to gain through some prospective and uncertain international intervention that benefits the Rebel cause(s).
-----------------
Doesn't mean I'm right about any of that, but that's what first comes to mind, when I see folks squabbling about who fired what...