Weird Weather

Damn straight weird weather........Im sipping coffee over here on Long Island and freezing my ass off this morning. Wearing a lined hoodie............this is stoopid. :uhh::uhh:

45 here upstate.

45

Thought heating season was over. That damn global warm...er, climate change
 
Just Crazy, Texas was in extreme drought until these rains ended that drought.

Experts Recent rains end worst of years-old Texas drought

DALLAS - Recent heavy rains have helped Texas emerge from the worst of the years-long drought.

The U.S. Drought Monitor on Thursday indicated Texas, for the first time since mid-2012, is no longer in the "exceptional drought" category. That's the most dire of five drought designations on the weekly map by federal agencies.

The drought has ravaged parts of Texas since 2011. Sections of the state were still listed Thursday as abnormally dry or in moderate, severe or extreme drought.

The Houston area received more than 10 inches of rain this week. Corsicana last weekend was doused with 11 inches of rain.

So global warming causes floods and droughts, in no particular order and just as predicted by the AGWCult models which state, we predict the climate will change.
 
Damn straight weird weather........Im sipping coffee over here on Long Island and freezing my ass off this morning. Wearing a lined hoodie............this is stoopid. :uhh::uhh:

45 here upstate.

45

Thought heating season was over. That damn global warm...er, climate change



People are laughing about it by me..........especially after this past winter AND on the heels of last summer where beachgoing was almost non-existent because temps were in the low 80's all summer = low 70's by the ocean. Ghey. In New York in 2015, f you are talking about global warming, you're being looked at as the next possible mass murderer.:coffee:
 
Damn straight weird weather........Im sipping coffee over here on Long Island and freezing my ass off this morning. Wearing a lined hoodie............this is stoopid. :uhh::uhh:

45 here upstate.

45

Thought heating season was over. That damn global warm...er, climate change



People are laughing about it by me..........especially after this past winter AND on the heels of last summer where beachgoing was almost non-existent because temps were in the low 80's all summer = low 70's by the ocean. Ghey. In New York in 2015, f you are talking about global warming, you're being looked at as the next possible mass murderer.:coffee:

Yes, but it's cooler BECAUSE of Global warming.

I predict the weather today will closely mirror whatever story is on the Weather Channel.
 
Yep, the Northeast is still cold. And here in the West, we are warm, and too dry. Stuck weather pattern. Just as predicted by Dr. Francis.
 
Yep, the Northeast is still cold. And here in the West, we are warm, and too dry. Stuck weather pattern. Just as predicted by Dr. Francis.

And not even close to an El Nino flow... Its called Natural Variation...

Zero days in May above 80 Degrees F in Wyoming... Very uncommon.. and May was -19.2 degrees below average. While snow pack remains above 98% through May.. Never before been seen since record keeping began and a solid indicator of hemispheric cooling as we were not alone.. Montana, Idaho, NDakota, SDAkota, Colorado, Nebraska and most of the rest of Midwest states were in the same pattern.

Empirical evidence lays your hype waste and shows it pure unadulterated bull shit.
 
Just Crazy, Texas was in extreme drought until these rains ended that drought.

Experts Recent rains end worst of years-old Texas drought

DALLAS - Recent heavy rains have helped Texas emerge from the worst of the years-long drought.

The U.S. Drought Monitor on Thursday indicated Texas, for the first time since mid-2012, is no longer in the "exceptional drought" category. That's the most dire of five drought designations on the weekly map by federal agencies.

The drought has ravaged parts of Texas since 2011. Sections of the state were still listed Thursday as abnormally dry or in moderate, severe or extreme drought.

The Houston area received more than 10 inches of rain this week. Corsicana last weekend was doused with 11 inches of rain.
Here are some stories for the last two years prior to 2015.

North Texas credit USA today:
Severe storms flooding rain hit North Texas
"DALLAS (AP) — A strong storm system has deluged North Texas with up to 4 inches of rain, triggered flash-flood warnings and prompted a high-water rescue of a group of children."

from Weather underground from 2013:
Austin Texas Flooding Kills 2 Prompts Dozens of Rescues Weather Underground

"AUSTIN, Texas -- Two men were killed as heavy rains across Central Texas swelled rivers and creeks and triggered flash flooding Thursday, prompting dozens of rescues across a region that's been dealing with a long, punishing drought.

About 10 miles south of Austin, one frightening rescue involved a couple whose SUV was swept away by floodwaters. They were forced to cling to trees for hours until a helicopter rescued them on Halloween morning."

2014 again care of The Weather Channel:
http://www.weather.com/storms/severe/news/el-paso-texas-flooding-20140922
Flash flood warnings were reissued Monday afternoon as a new round of heavy thunderstorms developed over the El Paso, Texas, metropolitan area, where flash floods earlier in the day turned deadly. By Monday night, numerous roads were flooded in the Las Cruces area.

"Earlier Monday, a cluster of heavy rain parked over the north side of El Paso and triggered deadly flash flooding. 64-year-old Consance Manzanares drowned Monday after her car was trapped in a canal by flood waters, KVIA reports."

Care of USA Today:
Floods from former Hurricane Odile swamp Texas

"HOUSTON — Cities across Texas and the Southwest are experiencing rainfall from the remnants of Hurricane Odile that is creating flash-flooding problems.

Weather may be to blame for a five-vehicle crash here that sent some cars early Thursday into a flooded ditch and closed a commuter route for several hours."

Oh look Houston.
 
Yep, the Northeast is still cold. And here in the West, we are warm, and too dry. Stuck weather pattern. Just as predicted by Dr. Francis.
meaning no el nino right?

Those pesky little facts keep biting him on the ass.. Old fraud keeps spewing the mantra. Its like they have added a few more paid shills to flood this board with AGW crap.. now we have 8 who spew the same drivel over and over again..
 
Yep, the Northeast is still cold. And here in the West, we are warm, and too dry. Stuck weather pattern. Just as predicted by Dr. Francis.

meaning no el nino right?

Those pesky little facts keep biting him on the ass.. Old fraud keeps spewing the mantra. Its like they have added a few more paid shills to flood this board with AGW crap.. now we have 8 who spew the same drivel over and over again..


Climate Prediction Center ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

Accessed 03 June 2015

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)
DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION

issued by
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society
14 May 2015

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory



Synopsis: There is an approximately 90% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere summer 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015.

By early May 2015, weak to moderate El Niño conditions were reflected by above-average sea surface temperatures (SST) across the equatorial Pacific (Fig. 1), and by the corroborating tropical atmospheric response. The latest weekly Niño indices were +1.2oC in the Niño-4 region, +1.0oC in the Niño-3.4 region, and +1.2oC and +2.3oC in the Niño-3 and Niño-1+2 regions, respectively (Fig. 2). Subsurface temperature anomalies remained substantially above average (Fig. 3), partly in response to a downwelling oceanic Kelvin wave, which resulted in strong positive subsurface anomalies across the central and eastern Pacific (Fig. 4). This anomalous warmth has subsequently persisted in association with El Niño-related ocean-atmosphere coupling. This coupling includes enhanced convection over the central equatorial Pacific (Fig. 5), along with persistent low-level westerly wind anomalies over the western and central equatorial Pacific and persistent upper-level easterly wind anomalies over the central Pacific. Also, the equatorial Southern Oscillation Index (EQSOI) remained negative during the month. Collectively, these features reflect weak to moderate strength El Niño conditions.

Nearly all models predict El Niño (3-month values of the Niño-3.4 index 0.5oC or greater) to continue throughout 2015, and many are also predicting SST anomalies to increase during the next several months (Fig. 6). These forecasts are supported by the continuation of positive subsurface temperature anomalies, enhanced convection near the Date Line, and the persistence of low-level westerly wind anomalies. Given these factors, it is likely that SST anomalies will continue to increase in the coming months. However, model forecast skill tends to be lower during the Northern Hemisphere spring, which somewhat limits confidence in these forecasts. Therefore, there remains considerable uncertainty about how strong this event may become. In summary, there is an approximately 90% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere summer 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015 (click CPC/IRI consensus forecast for the chance of each outcome for each 3-month period).

This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). Forecasts are also updated monthly in theForecast Forum of CPC's Climate Diagnostics Bulletin. Additional perspectives and analysis are also available in an ENSO blog. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 11 June 2015. To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to: [email protected].


Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
NOAA/National Weather Service
College Park, MD 20740
 
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Yep, the Northeast is still cold. And here in the West, we are warm, and too dry. Stuck weather pattern. Just as predicted by Dr. Francis.

meaning no el nino right?

Those pesky little facts keep biting him on the ass.. Old fraud keeps spewing the mantra. Its like they have added a few more paid shills to flood this board with AGW crap.. now we have 8 who spew the same drivel over and over again..


Climate Prediction Center ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

Accessed 03 June 2015

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)
DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION

issued by
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society
14 May 2015

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory



Synopsis: There is an approximately 90% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere summer 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015.

By early May 2015, weak to moderate El Niño conditions were reflected by above-average sea surface temperatures (SST) across the equatorial Pacific (Fig. 1), and by the corroborating tropical atmospheric response. The latest weekly Niño indices were +1.2oC in the Niño-4 region, +1.0oC in the Niño-3.4 region, and +1.2oC and +2.3oC in the Niño-3 and Niño-1+2 regions, respectively (Fig. 2). Subsurface temperature anomalies remained substantially above average (Fig. 3), partly in response to a downwelling oceanic Kelvin wave, which resulted in strong positive subsurface anomalies across the central and eastern Pacific (Fig. 4). This anomalous warmth has subsequently persisted in association with El Niño-related ocean-atmosphere coupling. This coupling includes enhanced convection over the central equatorial Pacific (Fig. 5), along with persistent low-level westerly wind anomalies over the western and central equatorial Pacific and persistent upper-level easterly wind anomalies over the central Pacific. Also, the equatorial Southern Oscillation Index (EQSOI) remained negative during the month. Collectively, these features reflect weak to moderate strength El Niño conditions.

Nearly all models predict El Niño (3-month values of the Niño-3.4 index 0.5oC or greater) to continue throughout 2015, and many are also predicting SST anomalies to increase during the next several months (Fig. 6). These forecasts are supported by the continuation of positive subsurface temperature anomalies, enhanced convection near the Date Line, and the persistence of low-level westerly wind anomalies. Given these factors, it is likely that SST anomalies will continue to increase in the coming months. However, model forecast skill tends to be lower during the Northern Hemisphere spring, which somewhat limits confidence in these forecasts. Therefore, there remains considerable uncertainty about how strong this event may become. In summary, there is an approximately 90% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere summer 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015 (click CPC/IRI consensus forecast for the chance of each outcome for each 3-month period).

This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). Forecasts are also updated monthly in theForecast Forum of CPC's Climate Diagnostics Bulletin. Additional perspectives and analysis are also available in an ENSO blog. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 11 June 2015. To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to: [email protected].


Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
NOAA/National Weather Service
College Park, MD 20740
Again, not that I want to point this out due to redundancy, but since you all continue to post these articles, I'll say it again, PREDICTION, look at the title f00L. There is no evidence, empirical data, nothing to support an el nino.

Edit: BTW, here in Chicago, we are going to drop 20 degrees today to continue the existing cycle we've been in, again due to no el nino, no west to east winds.
 
Yep, the Northeast is still cold. And here in the West, we are warm, and too dry. Stuck weather pattern. Just as predicted by Dr. Francis.

meaning no el nino right?

Those pesky little facts keep biting him on the ass.. Old fraud keeps spewing the mantra. Its like they have added a few more paid shills to flood this board with AGW crap.. now we have 8 who spew the same drivel over and over again..


Climate Prediction Center ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

Accessed 03 June 2015

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)
DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION

issued by
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society
14 May 2015

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory



Synopsis: There is an approximately 90% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere summer 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015.

By early May 2015, weak to moderate El Niño conditions were reflected by above-average sea surface temperatures (SST) across the equatorial Pacific (Fig. 1), and by the corroborating tropical atmospheric response. The latest weekly Niño indices were +1.2oC in the Niño-4 region, +1.0oC in the Niño-3.4 region, and +1.2oC and +2.3oC in the Niño-3 and Niño-1+2 regions, respectively (Fig. 2). Subsurface temperature anomalies remained substantially above average (Fig. 3), partly in response to a downwelling oceanic Kelvin wave, which resulted in strong positive subsurface anomalies across the central and eastern Pacific (Fig. 4). This anomalous warmth has subsequently persisted in association with El Niño-related ocean-atmosphere coupling. This coupling includes enhanced convection over the central equatorial Pacific (Fig. 5), along with persistent low-level westerly wind anomalies over the western and central equatorial Pacific and persistent upper-level easterly wind anomalies over the central Pacific. Also, the equatorial Southern Oscillation Index (EQSOI) remained negative during the month. Collectively, these features reflect weak to moderate strength El Niño conditions.

Nearly all models predict El Niño (3-month values of the Niño-3.4 index 0.5oC or greater) to continue throughout 2015, and many are also predicting SST anomalies to increase during the next several months (Fig. 6). These forecasts are supported by the continuation of positive subsurface temperature anomalies, enhanced convection near the Date Line, and the persistence of low-level westerly wind anomalies. Given these factors, it is likely that SST anomalies will continue to increase in the coming months. However, model forecast skill tends to be lower during the Northern Hemisphere spring, which somewhat limits confidence in these forecasts. Therefore, there remains considerable uncertainty about how strong this event may become. In summary, there is an approximately 90% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere summer 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015 (click CPC/IRI consensus forecast for the chance of each outcome for each 3-month period).

This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). Forecasts are also updated monthly in theForecast Forum of CPC's Climate Diagnostics Bulletin. Additional perspectives and analysis are also available in an ENSO blog. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 11 June 2015. To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to: [email protected].


Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
NOAA/National Weather Service
College Park, MD 20740

Yep... The SOI jumped up for one day then it fell below zero again the last three days.. After June 21 the Southern Oscillation, if it has formed, usually dies rather quickly. We have a very limited window remaining for anything of importance to form.

Time will tell.
 
BBC said today that Scotland is under a freeze warning with possibilities of severe weather, to maybe include sleet or snow.

In June.
 

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