- Thread starter
- #81
back to the OP.
climate scientists are claiming that this latest super El Nino is only about 10% responsible for the spike in 2015 temps, which are continuing into 2016.
there are three possibilities. temps stay at this record height, temps drop slightly, or temps drop dramatically.
the first is unlikely because the warm water fuelling the El Nino is not inexhaustible. the flush of extra water vapour from evaporation is what warms the atmosphere, as everyone should know.
the second case is more interesting. could this latest super El Nino cause a step jump like the 1998 El Nino? a drop afterwards but not all the way down to the previous average. perhaps.
or the third case, where the following La Nina drops the temps back down to the previous average, or even lower.
the one thing I am sure of is that the climate scientists, at least in the media, will blame most or all of the temperature drop on La Nina. unlike the 10% 'assist' given to the ongoing El Nino.
climate scientists are claiming that this latest super El Nino is only about 10% responsible for the spike in 2015 temps, which are continuing into 2016.
there are three possibilities. temps stay at this record height, temps drop slightly, or temps drop dramatically.
the first is unlikely because the warm water fuelling the El Nino is not inexhaustible. the flush of extra water vapour from evaporation is what warms the atmosphere, as everyone should know.
the second case is more interesting. could this latest super El Nino cause a step jump like the 1998 El Nino? a drop afterwards but not all the way down to the previous average. perhaps.
or the third case, where the following La Nina drops the temps back down to the previous average, or even lower.
the one thing I am sure of is that the climate scientists, at least in the media, will blame most or all of the temperature drop on La Nina. unlike the 10% 'assist' given to the ongoing El Nino.