There is always a third, fourth, fifth, party. What I said was a significant third party. Most significantly Perot in both 1992 and 1996. You can't treat an election with an extraDuopoly candy pulling 19% of the vote off the table, with the same comparison standard as one with no significant third party siphoning their votes, and claim that 50.1% means the same thing. It doesn't. Simple statistical math. You're employing a false comparison.
You can when the third party is pulling the vast majority of its votes from just one of the other two parties. You want to claim that is not the case, but have no proof. You say I have no proof. Well then its a wash. Given that, your back to the basic fact that Bush won a majority for the first time since 1988. Nothing is going to change that. Theorize all you want to. The success of a third party candidate simply shows the weakness of one of the two other candidates or both of them. So Bush's candidacy after 4 years as President was so strong that there was no significant third party challenge to him. More credit to Bush and his first four years in office. Its a fact. You can scream and cry about it all you want to, but nothing you say is going to change the fact that Bush got the first majority in the popular vote since 1988. A 16 year gap. A significant accomplishment for Bush. No amount of haranguing about what some third party attempt meant, or did, is going to change that.
I don't KNOW that's the case and YOU DON'T EITHER. Not that complex dood.
You can't just plug in your own fake facts to make your theory work.
MOREOVER, having a significant third party challenge has nothing to do with how "strong" the incumbent (if there is one) is. That's another leap.
The point you're desperately aiming for here simply does not work. You can't compare a two-way race to a three-way race and claim 50.1% means the same in each. It doesn't.
Again, this is all just simple speculation by YOU!
FACT: Bush got 50.73% of the vote in 2004, the first majority in the popular vote since 1988. NOTHING YOU HAVE STATED HAS, OR WILL EVER, CHANGE THAT!
If you can't follow simple statistics there's no point in going on.
Your point is fake. And I've already explained why. You can't sit here and change how numbers work just because you'l like them to work a certain way. Can't be done.
Look in the mirror. That's what you do.
The fact that Bush won by the first majority in the popular vote, since 1988, is indisputable. You can spend endless amounts of time trying to qualify this or that, theorize that this means that or doesn't mean that. Go ahead. It won't change anything.
BUSH WAS THE FIRST PRESIDENT TO GET ABOVE 50% in the POPULAR VOTE SINCE 1988. That is an indisputable fact.
Next thing we know you'll be disputing the law of gravity or that George Bush was ever President of the United States.
I'll try this one more time, simplifying it down to the most basic possible level.
Imagine we conduct a poll, with multiple choice responses. Doesn't matter what the poll is about, we're only concerned here with statistics.
In this poll the possible answer choices are either "A" or "B". That's it.
Out of 931 respondents 402 choose A while 529 choose B. Clearly B "wins" with just under 57%.
Now take a similar poll but this time offer three choices, "A", "B" and "C".
This time the same group returns 302 for "A", 429 for "B" and 200 for "C". B still wins with 46%.
Is the first more significant than the second? Is it valid to compare a two-way poll with a three-way?
Proportions.
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