Hoosier4Liberty
Libertarian Republican
- Oct 14, 2013
- 465
- 87
One tactic of liberals is to say that this new young generation is extremely liberal and as they grow old enough to vote they will be hard-core Democrats.
This couldn't be further from the truth. The people who turned 18 when Bush was President are quite liberal in voting. However, the youngest voters are much more conservative.
Democrats have a young people problem, too
Most specifically:
If we zero in even further on the youngest of the millennials in these polls those who turned 18 during Obamas first term the potential challenges for Democrats become even clearer. Among self-reported voters who were 18 years old in 2012, Mitt Romney, not Obama, won the majority: 57 percent. Romney also won 59 percent among 19-year-olds, and 54 percent among 20-year-olds. These youngest voters of 2012 had entered the electorate in 2010-2012, when Obamas popularity was much lower than the high point of his inauguration. Only among the oldest of the youngest 21-year-olds, whose political memories would have been forged during Obamas first year in office and perhaps during his first presidential campaign did Obama win a clear majority (75 percent).
These young voters who were 16 and 17 in 2012 will turn out in 2014 and will likely be just as Republican as those 18-20 year olds voters were in 2012.
538 also discusses this as well:
Partisan Loyalty Begins at Age 18 | FiveThirtyEight
So in 2014, the GOP does stand a very good chance of taking back the Senate majority. Especially since idiots like Paul Broun did not get nominated.
This couldn't be further from the truth. The people who turned 18 when Bush was President are quite liberal in voting. However, the youngest voters are much more conservative.
Democrats have a young people problem, too
Most specifically:
If we zero in even further on the youngest of the millennials in these polls those who turned 18 during Obamas first term the potential challenges for Democrats become even clearer. Among self-reported voters who were 18 years old in 2012, Mitt Romney, not Obama, won the majority: 57 percent. Romney also won 59 percent among 19-year-olds, and 54 percent among 20-year-olds. These youngest voters of 2012 had entered the electorate in 2010-2012, when Obamas popularity was much lower than the high point of his inauguration. Only among the oldest of the youngest 21-year-olds, whose political memories would have been forged during Obamas first year in office and perhaps during his first presidential campaign did Obama win a clear majority (75 percent).
These young voters who were 16 and 17 in 2012 will turn out in 2014 and will likely be just as Republican as those 18-20 year olds voters were in 2012.
538 also discusses this as well:
Partisan Loyalty Begins at Age 18 | FiveThirtyEight
So in 2014, the GOP does stand a very good chance of taking back the Senate majority. Especially since idiots like Paul Broun did not get nominated.
