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The day of reckoning will come when the Fed starts to tighten, according to Schiff. “It is amazing Bernanke can admit he has no exit strategy,” he explained, noting the Fed will monetize some of its Treasury and mortgage holdings, but will have to sell a lot of both to normalize its monetary stance. Bernanke has made it clear they will telegraph the move to the market, but Schiff believes telling others they will sell “is the worst thing they can do [as] everyone will try to front-run the Fed.”
That is when “public selling will overwhelm the Fed,” Schiff says as “the big buyers are only there because the Fed is.” While the central bank is buying a big chunk of all debt issued by the Treasury, it holds only about 15% of debt outstanding Bernanke explained, rendering it unable to stop a run on Treasuries, which would lead to interest rates rising very quickly.
With bond prices falling and rates surging, banks will be left with depreciating assets (Treasuries) and stuck with low yielding long-term loans. As the “rug is pulled from under the banks,” the housing market will collapse as well, Schiff believes. The housing market will also breakdown.
Peter Schiff And The Coming Housing Collapse: The Fed, Instead Of Lehman, Owns The Mortgage Market - Forbes