Jobless claims drop to lowest level in eight years

You are wrong, the BLS has defined part-time the same as they always have, less than 35 hours a week, so it would include everyone who might have had their hours cut to under 30 as a result of Obamacare.

And the far left lies and propaganda continues.

A little-known section in the Obamacare health reform law defines “full-time” work as averaging only 30 hours per week. Which is why so many companies cut their part-time employees down to 25 to 28 hours a week, to comply with the laws that Obamacare changed.

So either you are lying to protect your dear leader or really do not underrated anything beyond your far left programming.

Don't like it then don't vote far left..

Which has nothing to do with BLS statistics...

Has everything to deal with it, just like how Clinton and the far left changed how we count unemployment in this US since 1993.

This can change numbers and for one person to work at three jobs to make a living and thus skew the statistics and the numbers.

So the labor shows that more jobs are being taken, but is that one job per person or three jobs per person.
 
You don't know what you are talking about. There aren't 100 million unemployed because a large number of that 100 million aren't looking for a job. You don't count someone as unemployed if they don't want to be employed.


Well, that depends upon what the meaning of "want" is. There are plenty of people who "want" a job, but have give up actively looking.

Such people used to be counted in the U6 definition of unemployment as long term discouraged workers. The government conveniently changed the definition in 1994.

Shadowstats calculates U6 according to the old definition, and it's an ugly picture: 23% under and unemployed.

Alternate Unemployment Charts

The seasonally-adjusted SGS Alternate Unemployment Rate reflects current unemployment reporting methodology adjusted for SGS-estimated long-term discouraged workers, who were defined out of official existence in 1994. That estimate is added to the BLS estimate of U-6 unemployment, which includes short-term discouraged workers.
The U-3 unemployment rate is the monthly headline number. The U-6 unemployment rate is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) broadest unemployment measure, including short-term discouraged and other marginally-attached workers as well as those forced to work part-time because they cannot find full-time employment.


Alternate Unemployment Charts

I understand that the BLS definitions changed in 1994. The U6 still counts those who would like and are able to work but have not looked recently. You must be thinking that they were previously included in the U3 stats.

Sorry if I'm not buying what shadowstats is saying about the unemployment rate. They have no credibility as far as I'm concerned.



Congratulations on your commitment to staying ignorant.
 
Well, that depends upon what the meaning of "want" is. There are plenty of people who "want" a job, but have give up actively looking.

Such people used to be counted in the U6 definition of unemployment as long term discouraged workers. The government conveniently changed the definition in 1994.

Shadowstats calculates U6 according to the old definition, and it's an ugly picture: 23% under and unemployed.

Alternate Unemployment Charts

The seasonally-adjusted SGS Alternate Unemployment Rate reflects current unemployment reporting methodology adjusted for SGS-estimated long-term discouraged workers, who were defined out of official existence in 1994. That estimate is added to the BLS estimate of U-6 unemployment, which includes short-term discouraged workers.
The U-3 unemployment rate is the monthly headline number. The U-6 unemployment rate is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) broadest unemployment measure, including short-term discouraged and other marginally-attached workers as well as those forced to work part-time because they cannot find full-time employment.


Alternate Unemployment Charts

I understand that the BLS definitions changed in 1994. The U6 still counts those who would like and are able to work but have not looked recently. You must be thinking that they were previously included in the U3 stats.

Sorry if I'm not buying what shadowstats is saying about the unemployment rate. They have no credibility as far as I'm concerned.



Congratulations on your commitment to staying ignorant.

Because I don't trust shadowstats? :lol:
 
Your point is irrelevant. If there are 100 million unemployed and they aren't being counted because they have dropped off UI, the numbers are going to look great.

You don't know what you are talking about. There aren't 100 million unemployed because a large number of that 100 million aren't looking for a job. You don't count someone as unemployed if they don't want to be employed.


Well, that depends upon what the meaning of "want" is. There are plenty of people who "want" a job, but have give up actively looking.

Such people used to be counted in the U6 definition of unemployment as long term discouraged workers.
The government conveniently changed the definition in 1994.

Shadowstats calculates U6 according to the old definition, and it's an ugly picture: 23% under and unemployed.

Alternate Unemployment Charts

The seasonally-adjusted SGS Alternate Unemployment Rate reflects current unemployment reporting methodology adjusted for SGS-estimated long-term discouraged workers, who were defined out of official existence in 1994. That estimate is added to the BLS estimate of U-6 unemployment, which includes short-term discouraged workers.
The U-3 unemployment rate is the monthly headline number. The U-6 unemployment rate is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) broadest unemployment measure, including short-term discouraged and other marginally-attached workers as well as those forced to work part-time because they cannot find full-time employment.


Alternate Unemployment Charts

First of all shadowstats numbers are completely made up by simply adding tens of millions to the unemployed number. If you added those same tens of millions to Bush's U-6 rate it would have been almost 50% when he left office.

And discouraged workers, who are less than one million, have their own rate under the BLS and it is the U-4 rate not the U-6 rate which includes people who ARE working!!! The U-4 rate is the unemployed plus the discouraged and it presently is 6.5%, not shadowstats made up 23%.

Table A-15. Alternative measures of labor underutilization

U-4 Total unemployed plus discouraged workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus discouraged workers
 
And the far left lies and propaganda continues.

A little-known section in the Obamacare health reform law defines “full-time” work as averaging only 30 hours per week. Which is why so many companies cut their part-time employees down to 25 to 28 hours a week, to comply with the laws that Obamacare changed.

So either you are lying to protect your dear leader or really do not underrated anything beyond your far left programming.

Don't like it then don't vote far left..

Which has nothing to do with BLS statistics...

Has everything to deal with it, just like how Clinton and the far left changed how we count unemployment in this US since 1993.

This can change numbers and for one person to work at three jobs to make a living and thus skew the statistics and the numbers.

So the labor shows that more jobs are being taken, but is that one job per person or three jobs per person.

The unemployment rate is calculated by a household survey. Is someone says they are working 35 hours/week then they are considered employed full-time. The ACA definition of part-time will not change any BLS calculations.
 
Never mind the 100 million out of work. I see the OP is mining in a thin seam once again.

Yup, there are preschoolers and 80 year olds out of work. Doesn't stop you from padding the statistics


I posted a link that described the effect of retiring baby boomers on unemployment ... real people that once worked and now choose not to ... that # is significant

think that matters to the right? ... hardly.
 
Never mind the 100 million out of work. I see the OP is mining in a thin seam once again.

Only the simple minded buy that crap. Try some facts.

From the Washington Post. (I can hear you squealing now about the messenger but it's a better source than yours, which must have been your ass.).


The Facts

The Bureau of Labor Statistics does show that there are nearly 92 million Americans out of the workforce. But dig into the numbers and it is clear that it’s silly to say all of these people are “on the sidelines” and need action from the president and the Congress.

This BLS document shows that the civilian noninstitutional population—essentially, people over the age of 16–is nearly 247 million. The civil labor force is 155 million, with a participation rate of 62.8 percent. So that leaves nearly 92 million “not in the labor force.” What does that mean?

Essentially, it means everyone above the age of 16 who is not working. The BLS breaks it down even further, and it quickly becomes clear that the vast majority of these people are retired or simply are not interested in working, such as stay-at-home parents.

•6 million want a job now but cannot find one.

•2.4 million did not actively search for work.

•1.5 million did not search for work because they are students or left the job market for family reasons, illness or some other factor.

•900,000 are discouraged and think no job is available.

Add that up, along with the 10.3 million who are unemployed, and then maybe you could say there are 21 million people who are “on the sidelines” of the job market. But the other 80 million people have permanently left the work force.

FROM: wp.com
 
Never mind the 100 million out of work. I see the OP is mining in a thin seam once again.

Only the simple minded buy that crap. Try some facts.

From the Washington Post. (I can hear you squealing now about the messenger but it's a better source than yours, which must have been your ass.).


The Facts

The Bureau of Labor Statistics does show that there are nearly 92 million Americans out of the workforce. But dig into the numbers and it is clear that it’s silly to say all of these people are “on the sidelines” and need action from the president and the Congress.

This BLS document shows that the civilian noninstitutional population—essentially, people over the age of 16–is nearly 247 million. The civil labor force is 155 million, with a participation rate of 62.8 percent. So that leaves nearly 92 million “not in the labor force.” What does that mean?

Essentially, it means everyone above the age of 16 who is not working. The BLS breaks it down even further, and it quickly becomes clear that the vast majority of these people are retired or simply are not interested in working, such as stay-at-home parents.

•6 million want a job now but cannot find one.

•2.4 million did not actively search for work.

•1.5 million did not search for work because they are students or left the job market for family reasons, illness or some other factor.

•900,000 are discouraged and think no job is available.

Add that up, along with the 10.3 million who are unemployed, and then maybe you could say there are 21 million people who are “on the sidelines” of the job market. But the other 80 million people have permanently left the work force.

FROM: wp.com

Not squealing about the source but can definitely hear you parroting left wing rags. Again, the calculus changed in 1994. The u3 is hardly representative as an official number for unemployment.
 
Great news, RW!
This must mean that we can now raise interest rates above inflation and end QE.....Yippee!!!

The lefties are bragging about how great the economy...
Wht aren't they pushing for cuts in food stamps?
 
If 200,000 jobs are created and 200,000 people file for UE benefits.

How is this such great news?
 
Last edited:
Correct me if I am wrong, but didn't the current administration re-define what "part time" is?

You are wrong, the BLS has defined part-time the same as they always have, less than 35 hours a week, so it would include everyone who might have had their hours cut to under 30 as a result of Obamacare.

And the far left lies and propaganda continues.

A little-known section in the Obamacare health reform law defines “full-time” work as averaging only 30 hours per week. Which is why so many companies cut their part-time employees down to 25 to 28 hours a week, to comply with the laws that Obamacare changed.

So either you are lying to protect your dear leader or really do not underrated anything beyond your far left programming.

Don't like it then don't vote far left..

It redefined it for health care purposes. It did NOT redefine it for Labor Force Statistics purposes. The BLS definition of full time is 35 or more hours a week and Obamacare definitions have nothing to do with that.
 
If 200,000 jobs are created and 200,000 people file for UE benefits.

How is this such great news?

All of this data comes from different places.

The weekly UE numbers are the numbers of people filling for UE benefits in all states totaled.

The monthly unemployment rate is based on a household survey.

The monthly number of jobs added is based on a workplace survey.

But yes, the number of jobs created that is given each month is the number of jobs created in that month minus the number of jobs lost.
 
You are wrong, the BLS has defined part-time the same as they always have, less than 35 hours a week, so it would include everyone who might have had their hours cut to under 30 as a result of Obamacare.

And the far left lies and propaganda continues.

A little-known section in the Obamacare health reform law defines “full-time” work as averaging only 30 hours per week. Which is why so many companies cut their part-time employees down to 25 to 28 hours a week, to comply with the laws that Obamacare changed.

So either you are lying to protect your dear leader or really do not underrated anything beyond your far left programming.

Don't like it then don't vote far left..

It redefined it for health care purposes. It did NOT redefine it for Labor Force Statistics purposes. The BLS definition of full time is 35 or more hours a week and Obamacare definitions have nothing to do with that.

I've been waiting for you to show up. Nobody knows more about this stuff than you.

Be prepared for Kosh to call your post far left propaganda.
 
If 200,000 jobs are created and 200,000 people file for UE benefits.

How is this such great news?

Because the 200,000 created is a NET after deducting those who lost jobs.

So are you saying that 400,000+ jobs were created?

First, unemployment isn't just people filing UI claims and neither UI claims nor the jobs numbers are used for the unemployment rate.

There is a survey, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, that shows the number of hires and separations. The latest data is from May and we see that between May 1st and May 31st, approximately 4.7 MILLION people were hired and 4.5 MILLION lost/left their jobs.

Seriously, I don't get how anyone could think the total hires could be as low as the 200 thousands and not recognize that must be a net change.
 
Economic good news

Jobless claims drop to 284,000, lowest since 2006

The number of people seeking U.S. unemployment benefits fell last week to its lowest level in eight years.

The Labor Department says weekly applications for unemployment aid dropped 19,000 to a seasonally adjusted 284,000. That's the lowest reading since February 2006, nearly two years before the Great Recession began.

The four-week average, a less volatile measure, declined 7,250 to 302,000. Claims for jobless aid have been falling for the past three months.

Applications are a proxy for layoffs. When businesses hold onto staff, increased hiring and stronger economic growth often follows.

Hiring is at its healthiest clip since the late 1990s and the 6.1 percent unemployment rate is at a 5 1/2-year low. Employers added 288,000 jobs in June, the fifth straight month of job gains above 200,000.

I love how the Rightwingers on this board dismiss this news because they are too immature to give Obama credit for anything. If Romney was president right now, they wouldn't stop talking about it.
 
Your point is irrelevant. If there are 100 million unemployed and they aren't being counted because they have dropped off UI, the numbers are going to look great.

You don't know what you are talking about. There aren't 100 million unemployed because a large number of that 100 million aren't looking for a job. You don't count someone as unemployed if they don't want to be employed.


Well, that depends upon what the meaning of "want" is. There are plenty of people who "want" a job, but have give up actively looking.
Given up, or stopped? There's a difference. If you stop looking for work because you have to look after your sick old mother and can't take a job, is that "giving up?"

Such people used to be counted in the U6 definition of unemployment as long term discouraged workers.
Before 1994, there was no equivalent of the current U6. Marginally attached to the labor force wasn't even calculated at the time.

The government conveniently changed the definition in 1994.
Because those who haven't looked for work in over 6 months are no more likely than those who say they don't want a job to start looking.

Shadowstats calculates U6 according to the old definition, and it's an ugly picture: 23% under and unemployed.
The old U6 was people looking for full time work plus half the people looking for part time work plus half the people working part time for economic reasons as a percent of the labor force minus half the part time labor force.

If you do the math (I double dog dare you), you'll see he's adding more than 20 million people to the U6. that's 5 times as many people who even want a job but aren't already included in the U6. His numbers don't work.
 

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