Let's talk about migrant crime.

berg80

Diamond Member
Oct 28, 2017
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It's a top of mind issue for many Americans, especially Repubs. Why? Cuz, there is no crime wave?

Trump's claims of a migrant crime wave are not supported by national data

An NBC News review of available 2024 crime data shows overall crime levels dropping in cities that have received the most migrants.

According to a recent Pew poll, 57% of Americans said that a large number of migrants seeking to enter the country leads to more crime. Republicans (85%) overwhelmingly say the migrant surge leads to increased crime in the U.S. A far smaller share of Democrats (31%) say the same. The poll found that 63% of Democrats say it does not have much of an impact.

But despite the former president’s campaign rhetoric, expert analysis and available data from major-city police departments show that despite several horrifying high-profile incidents, there is no evidence of a migrant-driven crime wave in the United States.
“This is a public perception problem. It’s always based upon these kinds of flashpoint events where an immigrant commits a crime,” explains Graham Ousey, a professor at the College of William & Mary and the co-author of “Immigration and Crime: Taking Stock.” “There’s no evidence for there being any relationship between somebody’s immigrant status and their involvement in crime.”

Ousey notes the emotional toll these incidents have taken and how they can inform public perception, saying, “They can be really egregious acts of criminality that really draw lots of attention that involve somebody who happens to be an immigrant. And if you have leaders, political leaders who are really pushing that narrative, I think that would have the tendency to sort of push up the myth.”


Alex Nowrasteh’s paper, “Illegal Immigration and Crime in Texas,” is cited on MSNBC’s Velshi


Debunking the Myth of the ‘Migrant Crime Wave’

In the past few months, politicians and certain media outlets have latched on to a narrative that recent immigrants, especially undocumented ones, are causing spikes in crime. Instead of gathering data and examining the issue empirically, they are making this broad assertion based on highly publicized individual incidents of crime by undocumented immigrants. All acts of violence must be taken seriously. But policymakers should not attribute blame to entire classes of people when individuals commit crimes.

The research does not support the view that immigrants commit crime or are incarcerated at higher rates than native-born Americans. In fact, immigrants might have less law enforcement contact compared to nonimmigrants. Focusing on the facts is imperative, especially given that immigration has become a top issue for voters ahead of the election.


Okay, so where oh where could the idea of a migrant crime wave be coming from if not from reality? Could it be the usual suspects? Perhaps we should begin with where the term came from.


FactChecking Trump’s Immigration-Related Claims in Phoenix and Las Vegas


Study: Fox News ran nearly 400 weekday segments on “migrant crime” in the first 10 weeks of 2024


Fox News spent the first months of 2024 blaming President Joe Biden for an unverifiable surge of violent “migrant crime” as the right-wing network geared up to try to reinstall Donald Trump in the White House. In reality, immigrants commit fewer crimes on average than native-born Americans, violent crime reportedly continues to fall from its Trump-era heights, and there is no evidence of a migrant-driven crime spike.

Fox ran at least 388 weekday segments that featured significant discussion of “migrant crime” from January 1 through March 8, according to a Media Matters review. Only 11 of those segments even hinted at the idea that on the whole most migrants are not criminals (that tally includes segments criticizing politicians or journalists at other networks who made the point).


Make no mistake, in Trumpworld if the Orange Bigot says it, and Faux reinforces it, it's true. Together, they can create an alternative reality not reflective of what is going on in the real world. The believers, they don't need no stinkin' facts or evidence.

If you think this phenomenon OF MAKING SHIT UP only applies to the non-existent "migrant crime" wave, THINK AGAIN.
 
Hateful, inaccurate rhetoric directed at migrants can have consequences beyond people believing in bullshit.

 

Louisiana police chief details migrant's arrest for rape, robbery: 'Most heinous crimes we've seen in a while'​


 

Maryland​

An illegal immigrant from El Salvador was arrested in Langley Park, Maryland, in February for the death of a 2-year-old boy who was shot and killed.

Prince George’s County Police Department charged Nilson Trejo-Granados, 25, with first- and second-degree murder for shooting the boy, Jeremy Poou Caceres, while his mother had taken him on a walk. Police told the DailyMail that the gunfire “was intended for Jeremy and his mom.”

The suspect was previously charged in Maryland with theft, at which point U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement attempted to have local police hold him in custody until they could transfer him to federal custody. The local officials refused, setting Trejo-Granados free.

He was arrested again in the state in September and again ICE’s request was denied.

Trejo-Granados had been ordered deported by a federal immigration judge in Newark, New Jersey, in November 2022, but ICE had not been able to take him into custody.

Minnesota​

In January, two men and one woman were killed by a man who posed as a UPS delivery truck driver at their home in a Minneapolis suburb.

The fake UPS employee, Alonzo Pierre Mingo, was charged with three second-degree murder charges when he and two accomplices fatally shot the three adults in the home, 42-year-old Shannon Patricia Jungwirth, her son, 20-year-old Jorge Alexander Reyes-Jungwirth, and her husband, 39-year-old Alberto Trejo Estrada.

The suspect was previously detained by ICE, according to a 2019 court document. He was convicted in federal court in Minnesota of felony gun possession in 2020. UPS confirmed to Fox News that the company had hired him as a seasonal employee.

Colorado​

In December, a Denver woman and her teenage son were killed after being struck by a drunk driver speeding at 100 mph.

Salvadoran citizen Jose Guadalupe Menjivar-Alas, who was previously deported four times between 2009 and 2015, was arrested in the deaths of Melissa Powell, 47, and her son, 16-year-old Riordan Powell, on Dec. 12, 2023.

After each removal, Menjivar-Alas illegally reentered the country but was not apprehended by Border Patrol agents. He was arrested in Boulder County four times for alcohol-related driving offenses in 2007, 2016, and 2019, according to a local Fox News outlet.

Texas​

Illegal immigrant Jose Santiago Chairez was arrested and will face charges of capital murder and aggravated assault for the murders of two sisters and shooting his daughter in Dallas over Thanksgiving weekend last year.

The victims, 47-year-old Catalina Valdez Andrade and 43-year-old Merced Andrade Ballon, were shot in the head on Nov. 24 at their home in Farmers Branch, Texas.

The daughter told police that her father had shot all three. Police have not disclosed a motive behind the attack.

ICE has asked local police to keep Chairez in custody until he can be transferred to federal custody.

Ohio​

A Haitian illegal immigrant who came across the border illegally in August 2022 was charged in September for causing a vehicle crash that injured 26 school children and killed 11-year-old Aiden Clark.

Hermanio Joseph was driving in Lawrenceville, Ohio, when his minivan drifted across the center line and crashed into an oncoming Northwestern Local Schools bus on Aug. 22, 2023.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

The bus swerved off the side of the road and overturned into an embankment. The bus did not have seatbelts for students to wear.

Local police found Joseph was driving with an invalid license, which he had obtained from the Mexican government. He faces a fourth-degree felony vehicular homicide charge.

 
The demented LEFT's pet "migrants" are actually ILLEGAL ALIENS.
Just being here IS A CRIME.
And by the overwhelming numbers of them being here is a MASSIVE CRIME WAVE itself.
:evil:
 

Louisiana police chief details migrant's arrest for rape, robbery: 'Most heinous crimes we've seen in a while'​


I wasn't able to see any of your posts cuz I had you on ignore. Clearly, migrants commit crimes as your anecdotal examples show. It's just that the data show there is no migrant crime wave.

Ousey notes the emotional toll these incidents have taken and how they can inform public perception, saying, “They can be really egregious acts of criminality that really draw lots of attention that involve somebody who happens to be an immigrant. And if you have leaders, political leaders who are really pushing that narrative, I think that would have the tendency to sort of push up the myth.”
 

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