I don't pretend to know--I actually have no gut feeling--how the vote will go. I do know that Biden et al have told us we likely won't know the outcome for days on many elections, and however the vote goes, that does not generate confidence in the process. The losing side will seriously wonder.Just for perspective for you hammerheads so you don’t move the goalposts.
“In the 22 midterm elections from 1934 -2018, the President's party has averaged a loss of 28 House seats and four Senate seats. The president’s party has gained seats in both houses only twice.”
That’s how high the bar is just to be an average election. In order to be a wave we’ll need to see something bigger than average.
The Senate is too close to call. The House was always gonna bounce back after 19 new gerrymandered seats were spun this election cycle in the spring.
The democrats have higher expectations after the Pubs nominated 2 historically bad candidates putting the Senate in play. We’ll see how they end up but know where the goalposts are located.
The 2022 Midterm Elections: What the Historical Data Suggest. | The American Presidency Project
www.presidency.ucsb.edu
I still want a specific federal law that in federal elections, poll watchers from all parties represented to be able to be close by and present through the entire process and that the counting continues non stop until all the votes are counted and the results announced. I want drop boxes eliminated. And I want mailed ballots signed and notarized and compared to the voter registration. Then we might have confidence that our elections are honest and secure again.
