Midterm history sets bar high for a “wave”

[citygator]

2018, we are told, was a blue wave - a referendum on Trump, no less.

My guess is exactly none of the people who made this argument 4 years ago will claim the reverse.

Obama was the most popular president in a generation. He lost his midterms. It’s inevitable.

 

[M14 Shooter]

Obama was the most popular president in a generation. He lost his midterms. It’s inevitable.

This could not be more irrelevant to what I said.
So, I accept your concession.

Oh... November 2010, Obama was 44A/47D
Where's Joe?

 

[Meathead]

Obama was the most popular president in a generation. He lost his midterms. It’s inevitable.

Obama was last in a series of failed presidents going back to Clinton's 2nd term. It was the same scenario that led to the Civil War. His supposed popularity was a result of a fawning press and little more.

He had no crowning achievements outside of bin Laden amd so damned by faint praise. A truly popular president like Reagan and FDR hands down his successor to his party and wins his second term stronger than his first. Obama did no such thing.

 

[citygator]

Red wave has been downgraded to spotting.

 

[M14 Shooter]

Red wave has been downgraded to spotting.

November 2010, Obama was 44A/47D
Where's Joe?

 

[Flash]

The only thing that has really changed is the Republicans chances of taking the Senate have improved but it’s still a toss up the Republicans chances of taking back the House were always very good.

The Democrats have a better opportunity to steal the Senate elections. All they have to do is come up with a few boxes of fraudulent ballots in Philly and Atlanta and whamo, two stolen Senate seats, thank you very much. Other states also.

Worked great in 2020 to steal the Presidental election. The boxes are already to go.

 

[Lastamender]

Or just wait a few hours for results.

Hours are fine, days are not.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

With Republicans blocking student loan relief by the GOP it may not bode well for the GOP.

Blocking? Do you mean voting against the legislation?

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

NC (Burr/Beasley) no drama win for Burr

Budd.......Burr is retiring.

 

[C_Clayton_Jones]

Blue wave has fizzled... seemingly. Looks like a normal election with no red/blue waves. Looks like inflation is hurting democrats and being racist anti-freedom anti-democracy women hating totalitarians is hurting republicans.

True.

Of course, Democrats aren’t to blame for inflation, although they’re going to take the hit anyway.

But Republicans have only themselves to blame for being racist anti-freedom anti-democracy women hating totalitarians.

 

[M14 Shooter]

But Republicans have only themselves to blame for being racist anti-freedom anti-democracy women hating totalitarians.

 

[C_Clayton_Jones]

And on Wednesday nothing will change.

and on Jan 1st 2023 nothing will change

This time next year nothing will have changed

Nothing will get accomplished, either.

And that some approve of gridlock and stalemate is also part of the problem.

 

[C_Clayton_Jones]

This is the type of shit we see from the Democrat scum.

At least this one was caught in time. Just think how many more from the Democrat districts won't be caught.


View attachment 722075

This fails as a hasty generalization fallacy.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

Nothing will get accomplished, either.

And that some approve of gridlock and stalemate is also part of the problem.

The less congress does, the better the country is.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Nothing will get accomplished, either.

And that some approve of gridlock and stalemate is also part of the problem.

When Biden and the dems are driving us toward the cliff, stopping the bus is a good thing.

 

[Flash]

This fails as a hasty generalization fallacy.

The stolen election of 2020 is all the proof that America needs to know that the Democrats are scum.

They are going to try to do the same thing with the Senate races. We know they are. They already have the fraudulent ballots printed up and ready to go if the Republican is ahead.

 

[M14 Shooter]

That’s how high the bar is just to be an average election. In order to be a wave we’ll need to see something bigger than average.

Biden: Approal / Disapproval

Historical approval rates:

What happened 1994 and 2010?

 

[Meathead]

True.

Of course, Democrats aren’t to blame for inflation, although they’re going to take the hit anyway.

But Republicans have only themselves to blame for being racist anti-freedom anti-democracy women hating totalitarians.

If Trump can be blamed for the Chinese virus, certainly Brandon can be blamed for inflation.

 

[Whodatsaywhodat.]

Just for perspective for you hammerheads so you don’t move the goalposts.

“In the 22 midterm elections from 1934 -2018, the President's party has averaged a loss of 28 House seats and four Senate seats. The president’s party has gained seats in both houses only twice.”

That’s how high the bar is just to be an average election. In order to be a wave we’ll need to see something bigger than average.

The Senate is too close to call. The House was always gonna bounce back after 19 new gerrymandered seats were spun this election cycle in the spring.

The democrats have higher expectations after the Pubs nominated 2 historically bad candidates putting the Senate in play. We’ll see how they end up but know where the goalposts are located.

The 2022 Midterm Elections: What the Historical Data Suggest. | The American Presidency Project

www.presidency.ucsb.edu

Never underestimate democrats and their cheating .

 

[M14 Shooter]

Senate:
RCP puts the GOP @ 48 w/ 8 toss-ups
In those, the GOP leads in WI PA NV and GA.

House
RCP puts the GOP at 227 w/ 34 toss-ups

There you go.