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The biggest question to ask is, Will Comrade Trump break 40%? I doubt he will, although he may have one more run before he goes off the teleprompter again and sticks his big foot into his big mouth.
The debates without a teleprompter are gonna be tough for him. Look for a noticable bulge under his suit coat....ala W vs Kerry.
Who cares what you doubt.
This is about the way things are leaning.
Must be frustrating to wake every morning, realizing you are stuck with Comrade Trump. But you gotta put on your best face, as ugly as it may be.
Nate Silver? Is that the same guy who put Trump's chances of winning the GOP nomination at "less than 1%"? That guy? He's a fucking dork.
The new "go to geek" for the LWNJ's is Sam Wang. He is doing a great job at providing "self soothing" services for LWNJ''s this election.
Princeton Election Consortium — A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004
Whatever makes you sleep at night...
I sleep like a baby at night. I am not emotionally attached to the outcome of this election. Can you say the same?
Nate Silver? Is that the same guy who put Trump's chances of winning the GOP nomination at "less than 1%"? That guy? He's a fucking dork.
The new "go to geek" for the LWNJ's is Sam Wang. He is doing a great job at providing "self soothing" services for LWNJ''s this election.
Princeton Election Consortium — A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004
Whatever makes you sleep at night...
I sleep like a baby at night. I am not emotionally attached to the outcome of this election. Can you say the same?
Hillary must be shitting her pant suit over this.Election Update: Clinton’s Lead Keeps Shrinking
This is Nate Silver, not Sean Hannity (although I would guess Sean is going to be all over it in his usual dumbassed style).
The clearest pattern is simply that Trump has regained ground since Clinton’s post-convention peak. He now has a 31 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only model, and a 33 percent chance according to polls-plus. For a deeper look, let’s run through our set of 10 framing questions about the election1 in light of the most recent polling:
Wow...up to 33%...I would not give him 3.3 %.
Disagreed. He's a smart guy, but he can only go by the numbers, not divine the future with tea leaves.Nate Silver? Is that the same guy who put Trump's chances of winning the GOP nomination at "less than 1%"? That guy? He's a fucking dork. ...
"As long as Trump has a mouth, he will lose in November."
JimH52
"As long as Trump has a mouth, he will lose in November."
JimH52
You just keep believing that.
I recall watching Bill Mahr say that he was worried people would get complacent and Trump will get elected.
Know-it-alls like you make this election fun.
Whether Trump or Clinton wins....there is going to be a lot of sad disappointed people in November.
Me, I am disappointed one way or the other.
Post #89
Hillary must be shitting her pant suit over this.Election Update: Clinton’s Lead Keeps Shrinking
This is Nate Silver, not Sean Hannity (although I would guess Sean is going to be all over it in his usual dumbassed style).
The clearest pattern is simply that Trump has regained ground since Clinton’s post-convention peak. He now has a 31 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only model, and a 33 percent chance according to polls-plus. For a deeper look, let’s run through our set of 10 framing questions about the election1 in light of the most recent polling:
Wow...up to 33%...I would not give him 3.3 %.
Hillary must be shitting her pant suit over this.Election Update: Clinton’s Lead Keeps Shrinking
This is Nate Silver, not Sean Hannity (although I would guess Sean is going to be all over it in his usual dumbassed style).
The clearest pattern is simply that Trump has regained ground since Clinton’s post-convention peak. He now has a 31 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only model, and a 33 percent chance according to polls-plus. For a deeper look, let’s run through our set of 10 framing questions about the election1 in light of the most recent polling:
Wow...up to 33%...I would not give him 3.3 %.
I am not sure what she is doing.
You'd think they would be worried, but maybe not.
If they're smart they'd be worried. Notice how quickly she backpedaled on the "basket of deplorables" remark. If she wasn't worried, she'd have let it stand.I am not sure what she is doing.
You'd think they would be worried, but maybe not.
Election Update: Clinton’s Lead Keeps Shrinking
This is Nate Silver, not Sean Hannity (although I would guess Sean is going to be all over it in his usual dumbassed style).
The clearest pattern is simply that Trump has regained ground since Clinton’s post-convention peak. He now has a 31 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only model, and a 33 percent chance according to polls-plus. For a deeper look, let’s run through our set of 10 framing questions about the election1 in light of the most recent polling:
Wow...up to 33%...I would not give him 3.3 %.
