Nate Silver: "The model is ready. And here's our headline: the presidential election isn't a toss-up."

[DigitalDrifter]

Very encouraging, but we'll see.
It just shows how bad a president AND candidate Joe Biden truly is. If Americans were happy, a sitting president would have a huge and insurmountable lead over a convicted felon.

Polling expert Nate Silver has revealed his forecasting model for the 2024 presidential debate, and it doesn’t look good for Joe Biden.
The election guru’s prediction suggests that Donald Trump is favored to beat Biden, and it’s not even close.
Silver admits his model, similar to what he built for the website FiveThirtyEight for the 2020 election, isn’t perfect and there are still factors to consider in the next few months.
But his initial results show Trump has a 65.7 percent chance of winning, while Biden has just a 33.7 percent chance of victory. Silver said:

The election is 'no longer a toss-up' with one candidate way ahead

It is one day until Donald Trump and Joe Biden meet for their first 2024 debate, which could have a massive impact on the election.

www.dailymail.co.uk

 

[shockedcanadian]

Very encouraging, but we'll see.
It just shows how bad a president AND candidate Joe Biden truly is. If Americans were happy, a sitting president would have a huge and insurmountable lead over a convicted felon.

The election is 'no longer a toss-up' with one candidate way ahead

It is one day until Donald Trump and Joe Biden meet for their first 2024 debate, which could have a massive impact on the election.

www.dailymail.co.uk

if Trump has such a big lead he just has to show up, be civilized and connect with Americans in a positive manner and compare his presidency with Bidens.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

if Trump has such a big lead he just has to show up, be civilized and connect with Americans in a positive manner

he is fucked then.

 

[yidnar]

he is fucked then.

well well well ... a dem actually got enough neurons to fire to say something funny .

 

[Oddball]

Silver hasn't been right since Barry the Boiking.

 

[pknopp]

well well well ... a dem actually got enough neurons to fire to say something funny .

Trump has never been civil.

Maybe someone has convinced him that he would benefit by being civil but he knows that wouldn't play well with his core constituents so it's why he is downplaying the debate.

He could win by losing.

 

[yidnar]

Trump has never been civil.

Maybe someone has convinced him that he would benefit by being civil but he knows that wouldn't play well with his core constituents so it's why he is downplaying the debate.

He could win by losing.

Trumps core cares about his policies .. being civil will not hurt him ..

 

[pknopp]

Trumps core cares about his policies .. being civil will not hurt him ..

Being as he rarely if never gets any of his policies enacted, it can't be about that.

 

[DigitalDrifter]

Silver hasn't been right since Barry the Boiking.

He picked Biden over Trump in 2020.

 

[pknopp]

He picked Biden over Trump in 2020.

He picked Hillary over Trump in 2016. I do believe he is one to learn from his mistakes though.

 

[BluesLegend]

You waking up now Dems? America hates your guts!

 

[BluesLegend]

When you (Dems) CRAM THROUGH an unpopular Dem agenda over the objections of the American people and don't give a shit about your likeability then you drop to 33%.

 

[pknopp]

When you (Dems) CRAM THROUGH an unpopular Dem agenda over the objections of the American people and don't give a shit about your likeability then you drop to 33%.

Noted: Trump lost in 2020. As a country we have a very long history of gaining power and then blowing it.

 

[Dragonlady]

Very encouraging, but we'll see.
It just shows how bad a president AND candidate Joe Biden truly is. If Americans were happy, a sitting president would have a huge and insurmountable lead over a convicted felon.

The election is 'no longer a toss-up' with one candidate way ahead

It is one day until Donald Trump and Joe Biden meet for their first 2024 debate, which could have a massive impact on the election.

www.dailymail.co.uk

Let me link you to Project 538 because Silver isn't saying anything of the kind:

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

 

[Dragonlady]

When you (Dems) CRAM THROUGH an unpopular Dem agenda over the objections of the American people and don't give a shit about your likeability then you drop to 33%.

When you run an incompetent felon, you lose.

 

[BluesLegend]

Noted: Trump lost in 2020.

2020 was STOLEN by criminal filth Democrats. The past 4 years are permanently illegitimate. That's fine, we will get our REVENGE on the Dem assholes. It's going to be so sweet watching them writhe in agony as we undo their agenda.

 

[pknopp]

2020 was STOLEN by criminal filth Democrats.

No it wasn't. Dismissed. Trump blew it just as others before him did.

 

[BluesLegend]

When you run an incompetent felon, you lose.

Biden would know. 135 home refi's, 20 shell corporations, millions in foreign money, tax evasion just for starters. Hell, if Canada would like Biden we are happy to exile his ass up there.

 

[Dragonlady]

2020 was STOLEN by criminal filth Democrats. The past 4 years are permanently illegitimate. That's fine, we will get our REVENGE on the Dem assholes. It's going to be so sweet watching them writhe in agony as we undo their agenda.

You're permanently delusional. You'll get NOTHING.

Why does it make Republicans crazy when Democrats pull the economy out of the ditch, get people back to work and making money again?

 

[Lord-Humungus]

Very encouraging, but we'll see.
It just shows how bad a president AND candidate Joe Biden truly is. If Americans were happy, a sitting president would have a huge and insurmountable lead over a convicted felon.

The election is 'no longer a toss-up' with one candidate way ahead

It is one day until Donald Trump and Joe Biden meet for their first 2024 debate, which could have a massive impact on the election.

www.dailymail.co.uk

it shows both men are shitty and only look appealing when compared to the other screw up. Any decent person would have a commanding lead, that’s why we are basically tied up at this point