JimBowie1958
Old Fogey
- Sep 25, 2011
- 63,590
- 16,767
Terrorism and You--The Real Odds - Foreign and Defense Policy - AEI
The above scenario is for a case where there is one terrorist related plane crash a month, but we havent had one in over ten years, so the odds are really more like 1 in 60 million.
And dont say these draconic powers we h ave given the TSA has had any impact since they have not caught a damned one. We get groped when we fly because our political whores want us to think they are doing something constructive.
The most constructive thing we could do is exit the Middle East and put those troops on our border.
The odds of dying in an automobile accident each year are about one in 7,000, yet we continue to drive. The odds of dying from heart disease in any given year are one in 400 and of dying from cancer one in 600, yet many of us fail to exercise or maintain a healthy diet. We have learned to live with these common threats to our health. Yet we have been afraid to return to the malls and the skies....
In another hypothetical but horrible scenario, let us assume that each week one commercial aircraft were hijacked and crashed. What are the odds that a person who goes on one trip per month would be in that plane? There are currently about 18,000 commercial flights a day, and if that person's trip has four flights associated with it, the odds against that person's being on a crashed plane are about 135,000 to 1. If there were only one hijacked plane per month, the odds would be about 540,000 to 1.
The above scenario is for a case where there is one terrorist related plane crash a month, but we havent had one in over ten years, so the odds are really more like 1 in 60 million.
And dont say these draconic powers we h ave given the TSA has had any impact since they have not caught a damned one. We get groped when we fly because our political whores want us to think they are doing something constructive.
The most constructive thing we could do is exit the Middle East and put those troops on our border.