rhodescholar
Gold Member
- Banned
- #661
So far 0 countries have come forward with any kind of operations, to take out the air defense systems, establish a no fly zone, nothing, there is a Russian Naval Base in Syria also, you really think their just going to sit there if NATO starts bombing Assads troops?
The public pressure to act will be overwhelming, there is no way the Western governments will be able to withstand it. Ass-ad will be given a choice: allow a safe have in the Western part of the country, or be liquidated under a massive Serbian-type assault.
I may sound overconfident, but the US' latest radar detection systems can obliterate the syrian air defenses without much difficulty. It isno accident that israel buzzes ass-ad's palaces at will when they feel like it, and took out the nuclear reactor rather easily in '07. That's a good example where the US financial aid investments in israel come in quite handy.
Also, in 1999 Turkey threatened ass-ad and he backed down quickly, since he understands one thing only - force. Another massacre and you will see Russian leverage vanish; already they are talking about replacing ass-ad. Notice how no one mentions the chinese anymore?
Ass-ad is out of options, and he has pinned himself into a corner from which there is only one eventual option; the Hague, unless the rebellion captures and kills him first, which is also a possibility.