2aguy
Diamond Member
- Jul 19, 2014
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There is a story perpetuated by propaganda ministries that the number of gun sales have gone up, and that is why murders have gone down. We've seen that story parroted right here in this topic.
This is why it is particularly funny to see someone saying that correlation does not equal causation when confronted with the fact the percentage of gun ownership has plunged.
"More guns" does not mean "more gun owners".
It's a simple fact there is a much smaller percentage of gun owners in America.
If the rubes buy into the story that gun ownership is linked to the murder rate, then how come they suddenly deny it is when shown the percentage of owners is at a record low?
Hmmmm...
Gun-Homicide Rate Decreased as Gun Ownership Increased
Based on data from a 2012 Congressional Research Service (CRS) report(and additional data from another Wonkblog article “There are now more guns than people in the United States”), the number of privately owned firearms in U.S. increased from about 185 million in 1993 to 357 million in 2013.
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Is gun ownership really down in America? | Fox News
Surely, gun control advocates such as GSS director Tom Smith view this decline as a good thing. In a 2003 book of mine, I quoted Smith as saying that the large drop in gun ownership would “make it easier for politicians to do the right thing on guns” and pass more restrictive regulations.
Other gun control advocates have mentioned to me that they hope that if people believe fewer people own guns, that may cause others to rethink their decision to own one themselves. It is part of the reason they dramatically exaggerate the risks of having guns in the home.
The Associated Press and Time ignored other polls by Gallup and ABC News/Washington Post.
These polls show that gun ownership rates have been flat over the same period. According to Gallup, household gun ownership has ranged from 51 percent in 1994 to 34 percent in 1999. In 2014, it was at 42 percent – comparable to the 43-45 percent figures during the 1970s.
A 2011 Gallup poll with the headline “Self-Reported Gun Ownership in U.S. Is Highest Since 1993” appears to have gotten no news coverage.
The ABC News/Washington Post poll shows an even more stable pattern, with household gun ownership between 44 and 46 percent in 1999. In 2013, the ownership rate was 43 percent.
There are other measures that suggest that we should be very careful of relying too heavily on polling to gauge the level of gun ownership. For example, the nationally number of concealed handgun permits has soared over the last decade: rising from about 2.7 million in 1999 to 4.6 million in 2007 to 11.1 million in 2014.
The National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) shows that the number of gun purchases has grown dramatically over time –doubling from 2006 to 2014.
I didn't realize that Gallup was part of the NRA.....
How about ABC news/Washington Post...are they also on the payroll of the NRA?
Do you have any real data or are you just wishful thinking again?
States with easy to obtain concealed carry permits are less safe from gun violence than States with difficult to obtain concealed carry permits - how do real statistics square with your -ehem- opinion... opinion poll?
Concealed Carry
In regulating the right to carry a concealed weapon, states generally fall into one of two camps: “may issue” and “shall issue.” In the “may issue” states, law enforcement agencies are granted discretion in determining who receives a permit. In the “shall issue” states, law enforcement has little to no discretion, and is obligated to issue a permit to just about any applicant that meets basic requirements. Four states do not require a permit to carry a concealed firearm.
Among the “may issue” states, the average rate of gun homicides in 2013 was only slightly lower than the rate among “shall issue” states, and states that do not require a permit to carry a concealed weapon.
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Can you explain why it is that as more Americans own and carry guns.....we now have over 357 million guns in private hands, and over 13 million people carry guns for self defense......that our gun murder rate has gone down, not up? Our gun suicide rate has gone down, not up? Our gun accidental death rate has gone down, not Up?
I give you credit for working really-really hard trying to make your case but-----but... FAIL
Looking up lists, checking them twice... +,+, then cherry picking the parts that you like and ignoring the parts you don't just makes you look like an ideology driven gun freak - facts be damned.
The facts from your own link tell a different story from the one you wish it told, the fact that there are islands of violence in an otherwise relatively safe state doesn't take away from the fact that states with strong gun laws average having less gun violence than states with lax gun laws - no matter how you try to spin, slice and dice the numbers.
While conservatives are busying trying to shutdown any debate on gun control following the 45th school shooting this year by yelling about Chicago’s murder rates — apparently unaware that Chicago is the third largest city in the country but not even in the top five cities with the highest murder rate per capita — and reflexively decrying any mention of gun control as a “gun grab,” what if we just entertained their wildest conspiracy theories for just a bit?
A 2015 study found that when guns are used to kill people in the United States, they are overwhelmingly used for murder rather than self-defense. That study found that in 2012, there were only 259 justifiable homicides, or what is commonly referred to as self-defense, compared to 8,342 criminal firearm homicides. In 2008-2012, the report says, guns were used in 42,419 criminal homicides and only 1,108 justifiable homicides.
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And sorry.....nice use of the word "gun violence" because those states that the anti gun studies include for "gun violence" have more suicides, not gun murder..but they throw in suicides to get their numbers high.
Wyoming is a great example that you guys cite all the time......high gun ownership, high gun "violence" ....why?
Because they have more suicides and almost 0 gun murders.......but nice try.