Toro
Diamond Member
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- #401
Again, for a second time, privatization will have zero effect on the economy or actual savings. As I explained quite clearly, these instruments will simply change hands, and no new money enters the economy. The only beneficiaries are the financial sectors due the potential for significant transaction costs. Over the next 40 years, quite frankly, I rather see an expansion of the economy and an increased standard of living for the majority of Americans, not for money manger capitalism (the very people that are responsible for the crisis).
I fundamentally disagree with this.
The duration of govies in the Barclay's Agg is, what, 5 years? What's 5 year debt yielding? Less than 2%? The long-term average is 3%-4%. Reinvested, that's all recipients invested in SS will receive. Investing in stocks over the next 100+ years will generate for greater returns, even if stocks are over-valued today. The equity risk premium is 3%-4%. Equities will do much better than government debt, especially at the end of a 35-year bull market in debt.
The composition of savings matters.
All fair points, but handing over SS to Wall Street is another nightmare waiting to happen. The profit motive is involved. On the other hand, the public sector serves everyone, which is why I'm a proponent as SS being turned into a retirement program (part of the social contract).
The vast majority can't even afford to adequately fund their IRAs or 401k since their incomes are too low to begin with. The old corporate pensions have went the way of the dinosaur with the evisceration of the industrial economy.
Which is why I think participation in SS should be compulsory. People simply don't save enough.
However, the structure should be different IMHO. FICA taxes would go into a defined benefit pension plan, a United States Pension Plan, and receive benefits upon retirement drawn from the plan. Or people could have the option to opt out but still have FICA taxes deposited into an IRA-like structure. Or, acknowledging that people generally are bad investors, if someone decides to pull out, a portion of the taxes remain in the USPP and the individual can invest only a portion of his contributions.