The Derp
Gold Member
- Apr 12, 2017
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- #81
Absolutely. As the bubble expands, borrowers have lower and lower credit scores.
2003 borrowers with the same credit scores as 2005 borrowers have 2 years of equity gains as well as 2 years worth of payments. The 2003 borrower is less likely to default.
If both borrowers lost their job on Jan 2, 2006 and stopped paying their mortgage, the earlier buyer is less likely to lose the house. The 2003 buyer is more likely to be able to sell the home and pay back the bank.
The 2005 buyer paid more and has little or no gain to cushion the bank's risk.
If you think you've discovered something new about this bubble, or bubbles in general, this is me chuckling at you.
So a few things here:
1. The mortgages that backed the securities had different standards between 2003 and 2005. We know this because the Bush Administration's Working Group said so.
2. The mortgages from pre-2004 that backed securities had higher standards and lower default rates, and took longer to enter delinquency than the mortgages from 2004-7 that backed other securities but had "dramatically weakened" standards and higher default rates.
3. The mortgages that entered delinquency first were those from 2004-7, which were also the mortgages used to back all those securities created during 2004-7, and would end up going toxic (because the mortgages that backed them entered delinquency). They were also the mortgages that Bush's Working Group said had "dramatically weakened underwriting standards beginning in 2004 and extending to 2007. So the question is why did Bush's regulators dramatically weaken underwriting standards for subprime loans beginning in 2004? The answer is obvious; they wanted to inflate a mortgage bubble to make the economy look like it was growing as a result of tax cuts when it was really only growing because of debt.
4. So a security backed by a loan from 2003 wouldn't and didn't go toxic before a security backed by a loan from 2005 that did. So what you're trying to do is conflate all securities into one pot and that they're all the same; maybe you do that because you can only think of it in such broad terms due to your limited brain power, or maybe because you recognize the distinction between securities, recognize it supports my argument that the MBS that went toxic were those backed by loans from 2004-7 that you guys were issuing like crazy, you just simply don't want to admit that I'm right, because of your shitty ego.
So once again, you've managed to make something all about you and how you need to be coddled. Pathetic.