william the wie
Gold Member
- Nov 18, 2009
- 16,667
- 2,402
Due to Gerrymandering by both sides less than 10% of house seats are actually competitive in a normal election. With the economy getting stronger it is unlikely but possible that the Ds could take the house. The reason it is unlikely is that the radical wing of the Ds have been acting out ever since Trump was elected. That will drive D turnout in the primaries and more radical Ds than mainstream Ds will likely win D primaries. That will lose most independents. The Independent voters and a decent percentage mainstream Ds will simply skip the mid-terms or hold their noses and vote R.
The senate is not really in play due to the lopsided number of seats with D incumbents that will have to deal with radical Ds in the primaries. Hence my question how bad will it get for the Ds tonight?
The senate is not really in play due to the lopsided number of seats with D incumbents that will have to deal with radical Ds in the primaries. Hence my question how bad will it get for the Ds tonight?