colfax_m
Diamond Member
- Nov 18, 2019
- 38,988
- 14,843
Lots of rationalizations. Population growth can drive GDP growth but that hasn’t changed much since Obama. It was still “pathetic” for Obama to not get 3% annual GDP growth but “the best ever” with Trump.1. Yes I remember the painfully slow Obama "recovery" from "the great" recession. Terrible performance.Remember in 2016 how Republicans were criticizing Obama for never getting annual GDP growth above 3%?1. No one ever gets the GDP growth over 3%, duh. GDP is not necessarily the only metric for an economy.What does that even mean? The stock market is not the economy. No serious economist uses that as a proper surrogate for economic activity because, get this, it’s been prone to bubbles.Trump's economy was on track to be the the best ever until China released the Covid-19 pandemic.
If it was the greatest economy, why couldn’t he even get GDP growth above 3%?
2. The US stock market is the economic arbiter for economic power, startups, company growth, sales, cash flow, EBIDA, dividends, etc. A healthy stock market typically means a healthy economy. In 1929 the stock market crash stopped the economy cold. Recessions mean the economy is contracting. The Fed has a 2% target for inflation, and has been printing money. Everything is interrelated, so GDP isn't the only indicator for a good economy, there are many types of cycles.
3. A rising stock market means everyone's 401k's are rising, people keep investing, unemployment keeps going down, its a good thing.
I do. I guess you don’t.
A healthy stock market does not mean a healthy economy. Look no further than the many bubbles in the last 100 years. The stock market his record highs before the subprime mortgage crisis demonstrated that the economy was built on unsustainable debt. The economy was not good but people were so obsessed with their 401k to notice.
Only about half the country owns any stock. Stock market does not translate to employment. You know what does? GDP growth.
2. We're in a bubble now, the stock-market is "overbought", expect a correction sooner rather than later. The stock market is "self-correcting" as long as the SEC does its job to keep manipulation to a minimum. China Joe is doing his best to create a recession.
3. The graph below shows US GDP, not GDP growth. It almost doubled since Obama's first term. 1% for Trump is not the same as 1% for Obama.
View attachment 449698
The graph below shows US population growth, projected to be about 0.3%, not many new consumers to jack up GDP growth, or pay for entitlements.
View attachment 449700
But at least you admit the market is a bubble, which basically contradicts your point that the economy is the best ever because the stock market says so. Yes, it corrects, but that means it’s an unreliable indicator.
Your posts are a lot of rationalizations. The fact is the economy did okay under Obama. The economy did okay under Trump. Neither had the effect that their enemies and supporters claim.