Your own article disagrees with you. It says the projection was based on the period during the program and the weeks which followed. Not over the course of the following year. And of course, given the spike, that projection is ludicrous.What studies have shown is that Cash For Clunkers simply pulled sales of vehicles "forward" meaning that people who have bought later in the year bought during the two months that CFC was running. Studies also show that a much higher percentage of people who traded in their "clunkers" for new cars defaulted on their payments than was normally the case. They couldn't afford a new car or the new car payments even with the subsidy from taxpayers and pressure from the Federal Government on dealers to approve loans. I'm sure that did "wonders" for their credit ratings!
At any rate, you still have to fudge the numbers to come up with $24,000/vehicle by excluded most of the cars sold from the equation. The truth is, it cost tax payers about $4,300 per vehicle and injected several billion dollars into the economy. But yhen, you've proven truth matters not to a con tool.
And, as always, a con tool would look at the specific cost per car only, add them up, and make a judgement. It does not consider the overall effect on the industry, and what it accomplished in saving the industry, revenue to the government in a time of massive recession, savings in ongoing social programs, and so forth. Nor does it consider the costs of businesses going out of business without such a stimulus. Instead, it takes some specific estimates and looks at only those that agree with conservative talking points.
Coming from a con tool that says that he is a businessman is really funny. Any real, solid business person looks at the overall picture, not simply what he wants to see. That is the purview of the con tool. Do you know of one of those, Faun??
A "real, solid business person" doesn't get sold on a con job, Georgie! A real business person asks if there is a more efficient way to achieve the same or better results. Ever watch one of those "Swimming with the Sharks" type reality shows? When people stand in front of the investors and give their spiel...it's never about an "overall picture"...it's about costs and profit potential. It's about the bottom line. So let's look at the bottom line for Cash For Clunkers...
It was originally sold as a program that would cost about a billion dollars...it ended up costing 2.8 billion! Red flag time!!! Either someone didn't have a clue as to determining cost or someone was bullshitting you when they gave you that estimate!
It did create a serious spike in car sales...but that spike was followed by an equally serious nosedive in car sales...leading analysts to posit that CFC "pulled forward" sales that would have happened later anyways.
It was set up so that only certain cars could qualify for the program...because of that a large percentage of cars sold were not produced by American car makers but by Japanese car makers. Wonderful for the Japanese auto industry...not so great for the American auto industry!
It prompted many Americans who couldn't really afford to pay the payments for a new car to buy one anyways to take advantage of the subsidy. A large number of those Americans then defaulted on their car payments, lost the vehicle and had their credit rating damaged.