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Biden’s numbers aren’t even real. He is not in the government right now, he has no legacy, he is a dumbass and he is no “moderate”.Total BS
The 2020 election is just like the 2016
Same states in play
Trump won 5 states and the election by going for the workers
The same thing again
This time the proof is there more jobs
Vietnam signs a deal worth 15 billion worth of American goods while trump was in Vietnam
His jobs programs will be kicking in stronger and stronger each month
He will win easily 2020
Especially when Barr starts investigations into the democrat crimes
Well, where is the polling data that support your conclusions? There is none at this time. Trump has the lowest average approval rating of any sitting President in history after two years in office. Presidential approval ratings are a strong predictor of whether a President will be re-elected. You typically need a 50% approval rating in the GALLUP poll to be re-elected President although a few a Presidents of made it with just 48% approval. Trump is currently at 44% approval. No President has EVER been re-elected President when their disapproval numbers are higher than their approval numbers.
The unemployment figures have not benefited Trump at all. Every GALLUP poll conducted over the past two years has shown that the majority of Americans disapprove of the job Trump is doing.
Early polling shows 2016 is not going to be like 2020. Biden is essentially tied with Trump in the latest polling in Texas and Arizona. Trump could lose Texas in 2020 based on the latest polls. If Trump loses Texas in 2020, he will lose the election in an embarrassing landslide.
Black women don’t care about Biden and white women don’t really care about Sanders.Sanders white women voters going against bidens black women voters
In the general election the loser group will not turn out for the general election then trump will win in a landslide
Biden’s numbers aren’t even real. He is not in the government right now, he has no legacy, he is a dumbass and he is no “moderate”.Total BS
The 2020 election is just like the 2016
Same states in play
Trump won 5 states and the election by going for the workers
The same thing again
This time the proof is there more jobs
Vietnam signs a deal worth 15 billion worth of American goods while trump was in Vietnam
His jobs programs will be kicking in stronger and stronger each month
He will win easily 2020
Especially when Barr starts investigations into the democrat crimes
Well, where is the polling data that support your conclusions? There is none at this time. Trump has the lowest average approval rating of any sitting President in history after two years in office. Presidential approval ratings are a strong predictor of whether a President will be re-elected. You typically need a 50% approval rating in the GALLUP poll to be re-elected President although a few a Presidents of made it with just 48% approval. Trump is currently at 44% approval. No President has EVER been re-elected President when their disapproval numbers are higher than their approval numbers.
The unemployment figures have not benefited Trump at all. Every GALLUP poll conducted over the past two years has shown that the majority of Americans disapprove of the job Trump is doing.
Early polling shows 2016 is not going to be like 2020. Biden is essentially tied with Trump in the latest polling in Texas and Arizona. Trump could lose Texas in 2020 based on the latest polls. If Trump loses Texas in 2020, he will lose the election in an embarrassing landslide.
All Trump has to do is run hard against reparations and call it the racism that it is, run against infanticide and run on the stability his domestic and international policies have created.
Best case scenario for Trump is that he loses by only one or two states in the electoral college. The worst case scenario is that he only wins a total of 12 states and 64 electoral votes. If Texas and Arizona flip blue in 2020, this could be the outcome.
Trump may get slaughtered in 2020 and win only the following states:
South Carolina
Mississippi
Alabama
Oklahoma
Kansas
Nebraska
South Dakota
North Dakota
Wyoming
Idaho
Utah
Alaska
That's only 64 electoral votes.
I see an unqualified opinion, but nothing to back it up. So lets just say we'll see in 2020. Remember how Hillary had a 95% probability of winning in 2016?
She won by 3 million votes. The polls were right. A fluke of the electoral college is how Trump pulled out a victory. Its rare that it happens. No sitting President has been re-elected without winning the Popular vote.
As I showed.....she did no such thing.
How many illegal aliens reside in the USofA?
It's something else you're clueless about.
Doesn't matter who they are because they will be voting again in 2020 and this time in even higher numbers AGAINST Trump.
I need to get you on record: just fine with you that illegal aliens vote in our elections.
You are the perfect example of why America-hating Democrats/Liberals need be exiles, and government schools revamped, the Leftist agents removed.
Please keep posting.
Again
This is easy
Trump is losing votes from New York and California and increasing votes in the industrial us
This is done by giving more to workers
So trump now has the 2020 race locked up
Each month that goes by he gets stronger in those worker states and weaker in California and New York
But that gives him a certain WIN !!
Well, the polls don't show that. He is down by 13 points against BIDEN in the latest poll in Michigan. I seriously doubt even Rasmussen would show Trump ahead of Biden in Michigan right now.
Trumps total votes in Wisconsin WERE LESS THAN MITT ROMNEYS IN 2012. THERE WAS NO INCREASE IN SUPPORT FOR THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEY IN 2016 in WISCONSIN.
Again fraud polls
Weighing the 18 yr old turn out wrong. Just to try to influence the voters for the dems
Did not work in 2016 with the mich polls way off
And will not work in 2020
After a bruising fight with sanders voters. The sanders voters will not turn out in cold mich
And with each month trumps job plan will kick in more and more for mich
And now the investigations of the real crooks the democrats will begin by Barr
Again. Trump will increase in the industrial states and decrease in California and New York
This makes a certain win by trump
I see an unqualified opinion, but nothing to back it up. So lets just say we'll see in 2020. Remember how Hillary had a 95% probability of winning in 2016?
She won by 3 million votes. The polls were right. A fluke of the electoral college is how Trump pulled out a victory. Its rare that it happens. No sitting President has been re-elected without winning the Popular vote.
As I showed.....she did no such thing.
How many illegal aliens reside in the USofA?
It's something else you're clueless about.
Doesn't matter who they are because they will be voting again in 2020 and this time in even higher numbers AGAINST Trump.
I need to get you on record: just fine with you that illegal aliens vote in our elections.
You are the perfect example of why America-hating Democrats/Liberals need be exiles, and government schools revamped, the Leftist agents removed.
Please keep posting.
Trump appears to be a Russian asset, so everything needs to be done to remove him from office. Better to have illegals voting in US elections(which THEY are not in any significant amount) than to have a Russian asset sitting in the White House. Russia and their potential asset in the White House are a far bigger threat than anyone from Latin America.
I'm a Republican and prior to 2016 had NEVER voted for a Democrat.
Best case scenario for Trump is that he loses by only one or two states in the electoral college. The worst case scenario is that he only wins a total of 12 states and 64 electoral votes. If Texas and Arizona flip blue in 2020, this could be the outcome.
Trump may get slaughtered in 2020 and win only the following states:
South Carolina
Mississippi
Alabama
Oklahoma
Kansas
Nebraska
South Dakota
North Dakota
Wyoming
Idaho
Utah
Alaska
That's only 64 electoral votes.
I see an unqualified opinion, but nothing to back it up. So lets just say we'll see in 2020. Remember how Hillary had a 95% probability of winning in 2016?
She won by 3 million votes. The polls were right. A fluke of the electoral college is how Trump pulled out a victory. Its rare that it happens. No sitting President has been re-elected without winning the Popular vote.
Stop with that bullshit. HILLARY LOST TO TRUMP. There is no "popular vote" there is only the Electoral College.
Watch the video and see how the MSM went thru all the states and said that there was no way Trump could win the election.
The MSM/CNN said in the video that Hillary had a 95% probability of winning the election. Its the election that matters not the popular vote. The polls were all wrong.
01. The National Polls are predicting the popular vote.
02. Over 90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college. There have been 58 Presidential elections. In only 5 of those elections, did the popular vote winner, fail to win the electoral college. Its a rare fluke when the popular vote winner is not the winner of the electoral college.
03. The National Polls predicted Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote.
04. Hillary Clinton won the popular vote proving that the polls were correct.
05. Trump's victory in the electoral college was a rare fluke and it was a victory by very tiny margins in three states that the Hillary Campaign had neglected in terms of visits and funding.
06. One news organization predicted Hillary has a 95% chance of winning is not representative of all polling organizations and all elections before that time or since that time. The prediction also was NOT 100% chance of winning either.
07. The national polls correctly predicted the popular vote in 2016. No sitting President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.
08. There is such a thing as rare win under unlikely conditions based on probability. That is exactly what happened in 2016. Trump was lucky. You can be lucky once, but it would not be rational to believe that 2016 shows or proves that Trump is going to win in 2020. The razor thin margin of victory and how improbable the victory was in 2016 makes it extremely unlikely that situation will repeat itself in 2020.
09. Trump will not be re-elected President in 2020 without winning the popular vote. The average of his approval ratings the past two years and the early polling match ups against Biden done by multiple polling agencies, all show that Trumps chances in 2020 are even less likely than they were in 2016.
1. We aren't talking about national polls, my video shows how the MSM predicted THE 2016 ELECTION (not national polls)
2. irrelevant
3. irrelevant (the popular vote does not elect the president)
4. Wrong. The MSM polls in my video predicted Hillary would win the election (the pop vote is irrelevant)
5. A win is a win baby, come on 2020
6. The majority of polls predicted that Hillary would win the election, i.e. the EC, they were wrong for whatever reasons
7. the 2016 pop vote is irrelevant, 2020 will be decided by the EC, NOT the popular vote
8. Agreed. Trump barely won in 2016 in spite of the FBI, DOJ, and MSM's coordinated efforts. He and we were very lucky. Since you cite history, don't incumbent presidents usually win re-election? I think they do.
Trump will likely win reelection in 2020
9. Stop with that popular vote bullshit. CA and NY can "harvest" all the votes they want and the EC negates their efforts.
I see an unqualified opinion, but nothing to back it up. So lets just say we'll see in 2020. Remember how Hillary had a 95% probability of winning in 2016?
She won by 3 million votes. The polls were right. A fluke of the electoral college is how Trump pulled out a victory. Its rare that it happens. No sitting President has been re-elected without winning the Popular vote.
As I showed.....she did no such thing.
How many illegal aliens reside in the USofA?
It's something else you're clueless about.
Doesn't matter who they are because they will be voting again in 2020 and this time in even higher numbers AGAINST Trump.
I need to get you on record: just fine with you that illegal aliens vote in our elections.
You are the perfect example of why America-hating Democrats/Liberals need be exiles, and government schools revamped, the Leftist agents removed.
Please keep posting.
Trump appears to be a Russian asset, so everything needs to be done to remove him from office. Better to have illegals voting in US elections(which THEY are not in any significant amount) than to have a Russian asset sitting in the White House. Russia and their potential asset in the White House are a far bigger threat than anyone from Latin America.
I'm a Republican and prior to 2016 had NEVER voted for a Democrat.
Rasmussen polls likely voters
Some polls uses only adults
Other polls uses only registered voters
The most likely voters are the 50- 64 group. Which is the strongest for trump
The least likely voters are the 18 yr olds and they vote most for democrats
A poll that does not use likely voters is a fraud poll. Because it weighs the 18 yr old vote heavier than reality and the 50-64 less than reality
Doing that makes the polls a fraud poll done to give excitement to the over weighted group and deflation to the under weighted group
See now. How fraud polls work !!!
Here is where one can go and read
The polls on Hillary against trump by 16 points and sanders against trump by 22 points. This is in Michigan where trump beat Hillary
The fraud polls off by 17 points
Clinton, Trump Hold Big Leads in Michigan: Poll
Rasmussen polls likely voters
Some polls uses only adults
Other polls uses only registered voters
The most likely voters are the 50- 64 group. Which is the strongest for trump
The least likely voters are the 18 yr olds and they vote most for democrats
A poll that does not use likely voters is a fraud poll. Because it weighs the 18 yr old vote heavier than reality and the 50-64 less than reality
Doing that makes the polls a fraud poll done to give excitement to the over weighted group and deflation to the under weighted group
See now. How fraud polls work !!!
Rasmussen does automated polling which means they can only call landlines. That means they cannot by law call people who have cellphones. That puts them in danger of overpolling Republicans. Likely voters means that you are guessing at what the turnout will be.
RCP Average 10/13 - 11/3 -- 49.7 42.4 Democrats +7.3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 11/1 - 11/3 774 LV 50 43 Democrats +7
CNN 11/1 - 11/3 1151 LV 55 42 Democrats +13
ABC News/Wash Post 10/29 - 11/1 737 LV 52 44 Democrats +8
Rasmussen Reports 10/28 - 11/1 2500 LV 45 46 Republicans +1
IBD/TIPP 10/25 - 11/3 798 LV 50 41 Democrats +9
Economist/YouGov 10/28 - 10/30 1296 RV 47 42 Democrats +5
NPR/PBS/Marist 10/28 - 10/29 509 LV 52 43 Democrats +9
Harvard-Harris 10/26 - 10/28 1835 RV 47 38 Democrats +9
Reuters/Ipsos 10/24 - 10/30 1383 LV 49 42 Democrats +7
USA Today/Suffolk 10/18 - 10/22 1000 LV 51 43 Democrats +8
FOX News 10/13 - 10/16 841 LV 49 42 Democrats +7
This is the average of the polls in the 2018 midterms. Rasmussen missed everything. They had Republicans ahead by 1 which means they missed it by a whopping 8.3 points.
Interesting. A good rebuttal would be a poll showing Trump beating Biden in 2020. I've not seen any yet.
The public has well over a year to watch millions of dollars wasted on a personal vendetta against the president. Those millions of dollars that would be spent on the country's needs.
The public has well over a year to fully comprehend what the Democrat open borders policy means.
The public has well over a year to learn about the full extent of Democrat infanticide.
The public has well over a year to calculate the cost of the green new deal and reparations and the cost of the care and feeding of the invading army.
Democrats might have to be incarcerated for their own protection while they mindlessly shriek Pussy Grabber, Orange Man Bad. Doesn't anybody CARE!
Here is where one can go and read
The polls on Hillary against trump by 16 points and sanders against trump by 22 points. This is in Michigan where trump beat Hillary
The fraud polls off by 17 points
Clinton, Trump Hold Big Leads in Michigan: Poll
These polls were taken in March. Most of the later polling had Clinton ahead by 5-7 points in Michigan.
Interesting. A good rebuttal would be a poll showing Trump beating Biden in 2020. I've not seen any yet.
How'd your polls work out in 2016? Still calling Hillary Madame President?
