What's wrong or right about the la times poll?

So Odi won't be lonely tonight...

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The LA Time poll has a consistent bias of around +6 for Trump, due to the way they initially chose a sample that over-represented Republicans, a sample that doesn't change.

What they did wrong was ask people how they voted in 2012, and assign proportions based on that. No other poll did that. The problem with that method is that some people tend to "remember" they voted for the winner. So, even though the election results were 51-47, a sample of people will report voting around 54-44. That means some Romney voters were put into the Obama column, putting extra Republicans into the sample.
 
Oh if Breitbart says so then it has to be true...

But isn't the guy who runs Breitbart also running the Trump campaign....
That's like asking Hannity who seems to be working for Trump to ask Trump a tough question.
 
The LA Time poll has a consistent bias of around +6 for Trump, due to the way they initially chose a sample that over-represented Republicans, a sample that doesn't change.

What they did wrong was ask people how they voted in 2012, and assign proportions based on that. No other poll did that. The problem with that method is that some people tend to "remember" they voted for the winner. So, even though the election results were 51-47, a sample of people will report voting around 54-44. That means some Romney voters were put into the Obama column, putting extra Republicans into the sample.
Which is exactly why Clinton leads in the poll at times huh? LOL.
 
The LA Time poll has a consistent bias of around +6 for Trump, due to the way they initially chose a sample that over-represented Republicans, a sample that doesn't change.

What they did wrong was ask people how they voted in 2012, and assign proportions based on that. No other poll did that. The problem with that method is that some people tend to "remember" they voted for the winner. So, even though the election results were 51-47, a sample of people will report voting around 54-44. That means some Romney voters were put into the Obama column, putting extra Republicans into the sample.

So in other words, they are using the MSM/Democratic Party model of polling?
 

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