Toro
Diamond Member
And I know a lot of people who won't.
Regarding polls, it's still six months out and things can change, but when polls show us things over and over again, we have to take those things seriously.
In the primaries - forget the caucuses - Trump has either been coming in at or below his polling numbers. Voters who are deciding in the last few days are voting overwhelmingly for someone else. He has a bedrock of support amongst a minority of voters but isn't expanding much beyond that. His negatives amongst Republican women have gone up during the election, with nearly half having a negative view of him.
Something has to change for Trump, because if this keeps going, the GOP are going to get crushed.
Or not.
No way those "Republican Women" vote for Hillary. It just won't ever happen. Again, the GOP can run fucking C'Thulhu and the Republican Rank and File will vote for him.
Polls have Hillary leading Trump by 10% amongst married women, a group Romney won.
Republican women don't have to vote for Hillary. Many just won't show up, and the Independent women will do the rest.
That is the actual big question. Actual crossover voting will be dwarfed by sitting at home on their hands on both sides. With the unpopularity of the top candidates, there will be a LOT of sitting at home. No way Hillary gets the black turnout or youth turnout that Obama got
Blacks will come out almost as hard. They have been in the primaries.
Young people probably won't though.