If someone offered you a $20 bet on whether Trump will be the nominee, would you take it on the side of him being the nominee?
I'd say it's 50/50 at this point. Either walker will be the nominee, or Trump will.
So there's a 100% chance that it will be Walker or Trump? Interesting. In that case, do you want to take the following bet: if the nominee is either Walker or Trump I pay you get $20. If not, you pay me $30. Interested?
I'm never bet money unless it's a sure thing.
So when you say "Either walker will be the nominee, or Trump will" you don't actually mean that? You just mean that that's the result with a very high probability? I'm curious, what in life would count as a sure thing?
Normally it's when some ignoramus claims proposition 'A' is true when I happen to know it's not true.
Can you give an example?